Realized P&L
-$890
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
1,771
Trades
9,251
lifetime
Volume
$42.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$84
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-07 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
49% 47% -$35
Sports
48% 51% -$848
Politics
1% 53% +$5
Crypto
1% 75% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -24 -$19 90¢ $-21 -$2 06-12 16:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -150 -$35 12¢ $-18 +$16 06-12 16:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -28 -$13 62¢ $-17 -$4 06-12 16:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -299 -$15 4¢ $-11 +$5 06-12 16:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 06-12 16:47
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -9 -$3 30¢ $-3 +$0 06-12 16:47
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -3 -$1 90¢ $-2 -$2 06-12 16:47
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 06-12 16:47
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-12 16:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3 -$2 52¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 16:47
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -9 -$5 10¢ $-1 +$4 06-12 16:47
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -4 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-12 16:47