Disloyal-Tell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$153

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

914

lifetime

Volume

$404.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$442

Open exposure

$4.66K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

56% 62% -$9,623

Sports

33% 55% -$8,298

Politics

11% 50% +$2,843

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes		+5,147	$4,368	86¢	$4.5K	+$83	11-09 15:57
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No		+1,550	$139	14¢	$209	+$70	11-08 16:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	151	$74.2K	56,958	32,732	+24,226	Yes	+$5,242	05-10 18:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$63.5K	63,923	0	+63,923	Yes	+$384	01-28 15:04
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$49.7K	49,873	0	+49,873	Yes	+$155	03-18 16:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$33.7K	35,555	0	+35,555	Yes	+$1,844	11-03 05:50
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	179	$21.0K	43,966	12,979	+30,987	No	-$15,756	04-19 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$18.3K	16,389	15,612	+777	No	-$1,943	09-16 17:57
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	7	$14.1K	15,243	0	+15,243	Yes	+$1,167	07-04 21:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	13	$11.8K	12,332	0	+12,332	Yes	+$491	10-28 17:52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	32	$10.4K	11,111	0	+11,111	Yes	+$667	05-20 20:00
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	5	$8.2K	8,539	0	+8,539	Alexander Zverev	+$289	06-05 14:16
wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07	2	$5.0K	8,918	0	+8,918	Karolina Muchova	-$4,993	07-07 07:55
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	7	$4.5K	6,696	0	+6,696	open	—	11-09 15:57
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 8pt5	1	$4.2K	6,666	0	+6,666	Under	-$4,200	07-06 08:54
will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	2	$4.0K	5,555	0	+5,555	Yes	+$1,555	07-03 21:11
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	12	$3.9K	4,677	0	+4,677	Yes	+$798	06-12 20:01
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$3.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$3,840	07-06 06:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$3.8K	4,777	0	+4,777	Yes	+$955	11-03 11:54
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	28	$3.0K	5,999	0	+5,999	Yes	+$30	07-01 19:33
will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	3	$2.7K	4,975	0	+4,975	Yes	+$2,288	07-03 19:05
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	18	$2.6K	5,245	0	+5,245	Under	+$55	07-07 01:34
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	2	$2.5K	3,822	0	+3,822	Elena Rybakina	+$1,332	09-09 16:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2.2K	3,333	0	+3,333	No	+$1,167	09-16 18:16
wta sabalen osaka 2026 07 05	10	$2.1K	3,237	0	+3,237	Naomi Osaka	+$1,143	07-05 17:35
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	9	$2.1K	4,444	0	+4,444	Yes	+$156	04-13 10:01
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	1	$2.0K	2,202	0	+2,202	Mirra Andreeva	+$154	06-06 14:13
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	3	$2.0K	2,222	0	+2,222	Jannik Sinner	+$178	07-12 18:08
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$2.0K	3,333	0	+3,333	Paraguay	-$2,033	07-01 17:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.9K	2,419	0	+2,419	Yes	+$474	07-29 17:58
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	25	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$80	06-12 14:25
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.6K	2,222	0	+2,222	Türkiye	+$578	06-26 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 15:57:12	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	201	86¢	$173	0x91e1fe…
11-09 15:54:42	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	69	86¢	$59	0xc10638…
11-08 16:48:37	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	BUY	1,550	9¢	$139	0x8af462…
11-05 06:33:36	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	433	83¢	$359	0xf720fd…
11-05 05:43:21	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	4,327	85¢	$3,678	0x548928…
11-05 05:43:21	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x35e167…
11-05 05:43:21	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x014539…
11-04 05:22:36	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0xfe6014…
11-04 05:21:18	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	971	1¢	$11	0x40bd34…
11-04 05:19:00	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x836253…
11-04 05:18:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	2¢	$6	0x7f236d…
11-04 05:18:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0x5a79c0…
11-04 05:18:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$4	0x5374e9…
11-04 05:18:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x256a39…
11-04 05:16:39	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$3	0x7d76cd…
11-04 05:16:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xba18cb…
11-04 05:16:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	2¢	$10	0x14d102…
11-04 05:16:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$6	0x07b4b3…
11-04 05:14:37	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$1	0xd3b14e…
11-04 05:14:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb59d13…
11-04 05:14:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x4b3e67…
11-04 05:12:49	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x4dcf6c…
11-04 05:11:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd9f37e…
11-04 05:11:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x16fb81…
11-03 11:54:31	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,777	80¢	$3,822	0x633be3…
11-03 05:50:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33,333	95¢	$31,666	0xa376f8…
10-28 19:26:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	596	92¢	$548	0x6ac142…
10-28 19:26:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	456	92¢	$420	0x8aa7cd…
10-28 19:26:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	404	92¢	$372	0xd7ab25…
10-28 19:25:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	508	92¢	$468	0x952b9d…
10-28 19:25:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	257	92¢	$237	0x098c88…
10-28 17:52:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,826	97¢	$2,744	0xf0e458…
10-28 17:52:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	430	97¢	$418	0xfe8898…
10-28 17:52:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0xdcd173…
10-28 17:52:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,100	97¢	$1,068	0xac1904…
10-28 17:52:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	437	97¢	$424	0x8a5684…
10-28 17:52:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	873	97¢	$848	0x7f53f3…
10-28 12:31:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	830	95¢	$786	0xc9b191…
10-28 12:31:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$947	0xc23018…
10-28 12:31:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	219	95¢	$207	0x2b7253…
10-28 12:31:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	173	95¢	$164	0x08a397…
10-28 12:11:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,222	95¢	$2,106	0x253926…
10-28 09:35:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	95¢	$1,054	0xb9fc89…
10-27 11:35:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0x8eadad…
10-10 08:12:10	China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	1,046	98¢	$1,025	0xf7c59b…
10-10 08:12:07	China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x59a8b0…
10-10 08:12:00	China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xab7843…
09-16 18:16:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,106	65¢	$2,019	0xdcc8ae…
09-16 18:16:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	65¢	$147	0x029776…
09-16 17:57:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	666	87¢	$579	0x501784…
09-16 17:53:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	98	86¢	$84	0xf7e3e7…
09-16 17:53:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xcbc2d6…
09-11 16:51:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	17¢	$850	0x770005…
09-09 16:30:33	US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1,111	46¢	$511	0xf11591…
09-09 05:55:13	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	555	41¢	$228	0x6001de…
09-09 05:29:58	wta zhen rybakin 2026 09 08	Elena Rybakina	BUY	2,711	73¢	$1,979	0x2f2be8…
09-06 11:29:57	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	1,322	52¢	$686	0xae128b…
09-04 05:35:00	atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	Quentin Halys	BUY	306	36¢	$109	0x8d39ef…
09-04 05:34:55	atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	Quentin Halys	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x75df6f…
09-04 03:18:16	atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	Quentin Halys	BUY	106	12¢	$13	0x84072d…
09-04 03:18:13	atp zverev halys 2026 09 03	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe39e75…
09-03 16:52:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	58¢	$2,900	0xc1028d…
08-28 17:34:33	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6df895…
08-14 09:12:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,313	72¢	$3,105	0x8c5a6f…
08-14 09:09:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x88784a…
08-14 09:09:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x29bc20…
08-14 09:07:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	72¢	$288	0x5d831f…
08-14 09:07:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xaf4029…
08-14 09:04:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xa1eeee…
08-14 09:03:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x2aaf99…
08-14 09:00:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	842	72¢	$606	0x5d1b2b…
08-09 18:57:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,612	63¢	$9,836	0x3aff37…
07-29 17:58:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,222	81¢	$1,793	0xf21735…
07-29 05:39:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xab2661…
07-29 05:35:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0xaec144…
07-29 05:35:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	77¢	$49	0x136042…
07-19 20:04:42	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	1,111	74¢	$822	0x85f85b…
07-12 18:08:19	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	859	92¢	$790	0x0f8272…
07-12 18:08:16	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x855a45…
07-12 18:08:16	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1,264	92¢	$1,163	0x437dcc…
07-11 15:37:55	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	1,529	72¢	$1,101	0xe038fa…
07-11 15:37:55	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	529	72¢	$381	0x60625f…
07-11 15:37:46	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xf612b9…
07-11 15:37:44	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xe01cd7…
07-11 15:37:44	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc6fd41…
07-11 15:37:37	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x55ed9f…
07-11 15:37:35	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Linda Noskova	BUY	155	72¢	$111	0xab68f3…
07-07 12:00:13	wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07 set handicap home 1pt5	Osaka	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xe08cdf…
07-07 09:03:19	wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07 set handicap home 1pt5	Osaka	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe27b24…
07-07 08:10:47	wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07 set handicap home 1pt5	Osaka	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc1863f…
07-07 07:55:59	wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07	Naomi Osaka	BUY	8,888	56¢	$4,977	0x8a5b95…
07-07 01:34:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xee9645…
07-07 01:33:31	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	511	39¢	$199	0xea2d33…
07-07 01:33:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	131	39¢	$51	0x462d6e…
07-07 01:33:26	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xac50b8…
07-07 01:07:14	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	698	51¢	$356	0x76f329…
07-07 01:05:58	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	533	51¢	$272	0x52d2e0…
07-07 01:05:17	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xca5d13…
07-07 01:03:08	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	89	51¢	$45	0xb6c01a…
07-07 01:02:44	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2d6459…