Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
47
Trades
102
lifetime
Volume
$120
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-17 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
52% 55% -$3
Politics
32% 67% -$7
Tech
13% 70% -$2
Sports
3% 100% +$0
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-17 08:46
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-25 07:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 05-28 08:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-17 08:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:21
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-28 08:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-09 16:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-09 19:18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-26 04:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:05
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-26 05:00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:45
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-26 04:52
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:42
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:43
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 06-25 07:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 06-08 07:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 06-26 04:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $0 05-28 07:45
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 57¢ $1 $0 06-26 04:49
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 56¢ $1 $0 06-26 04:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 24¢ $1 $0 07-17 08:31
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +7 $1 7¢ $1 $0 06-06 00:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +9 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-08 07:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 06-09 16:45