Realized P&L
-$21.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
4.5%
Resolved
2,772
Trades
17,819
lifetime
Volume
$518.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$3.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 11-03 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
57% 8% -$13,713
Politics
26% 10% -$5,067
Tech
9% 3% -$1,526
Sports
6% 7% -$1,363
Pop-Culture
1% 10% -$55
Crypto
1% 7% -$98
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 577 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +666 $581 67¢ $447 -$134 10-02 16:48
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +611 $486 69¢ $420 -$66 10-21 04:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +268 $192 83¢ $222 +$29 09-23 17:45
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +666 $87 33¢ $219 +$133 10-02 16:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +211 $120 91¢ $192 +$72 10-07 23:45
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +611 $131 31¢ $192 +$60 10-21 04:50
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +244 $102 62¢ $151 +$49 10-07 18:43
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +188 $152 74¢ $140 -$12 10-31 21:59
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +179 $151 76¢ $136 -$14 10-31 22:48
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +182 $135 68¢ $123 -$12 10-03 05:05
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +106 $84 90¢ $96 +$13 09-21 15:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 4 Yes +101 $86 94¢ $94 +$9 10-29 04:57
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +244 $152 38¢ $93 -$59 10-07 18:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes — +152 $93 54¢ $81 -$11 11-02 09:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No — +152 $59 46¢ $71 +$11 11-02 09:13
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +114 $98 55¢ $62 -$36 10-11 11:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -73 -$119 82¢ $-60 +$59 06-18 18:53
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 Yes +182 $52 32¢ $59 +$7 10-03 05:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +114 $39 46¢ $52 +$13 10-11 11:53
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +92 $81 56¢ $51 -$30 10-02 08:20
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +188 $38 26¢ $48 +$10 10-31 21:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +268 $80 17¢ $46 -$34 09-23 17:52
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +179 $30 24¢ $43 +$13 10-31 22:48
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +50 $26 85¢ $42 +$17 09-28 19:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +92 $19 44¢ $41 +$22 10-01 22:16
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +60 $27 68¢ $40 +$14 09-19 13:27
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +50 $27 55¢ $27 +$0 10-28 21:02
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +50 $22 46¢ $23 +$0 10-28 20:50
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +60 $43 32¢ $20 -$23 09-19 13:37
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +211 $93 9¢ $19 -$74 10-07 23:46