Phony-Software — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

6,817

lifetime

Volume

$275.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 08-10 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$1

Politics

30% 75% +$2

Tech

15% — —

Sports

7% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	105	$12.9K	14,838	14,824	+14	open	—	06-22 08:11
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	163	$10.5K	13,023	13,023	+0	open	—	07-09 12:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	99	$10.2K	8,492	8,492	+0	open	—	07-02 05:28
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	146	$8.7K	8,191	8,191	+0	open	—	07-12 14:47
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	82	$5.8K	5,189	5,189	+0	open	—	07-12 05:26
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	90	$5.3K	5,021	5,021	+0	open	—	06-25 23:45
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	64	$4.9K	4,085	4,085	+1	open	—	07-06 12:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	80	$4.9K	5,727	5,726	+0	open	—	06-30 23:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	64	$4.0K	4,710	4,710	+0	open	—	07-06 10:54
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	42	$3.8K	2,570	2,570	+0	open	—	06-26 16:42
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	39	$3.5K	3,112	3,112	+0	open	—	07-12 01:56
starmer out by july 31 2026	44	$3.5K	6,452	6,440	+11	open	—	06-22 00:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	67	$3.4K	4,056	4,056	+0	open	—	06-30 23:40
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	19	$3.2K	2,347	2,341	+6	open	—	06-22 09:46
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	33	$2.8K	2,549	2,549	+0	open	—	07-02 07:09
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	39	$2.8K	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	07-18 19:21
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	43	$2.7K	3,612	3,612	+0	open	—	06-28 22:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	35	$2.7K	3,286	3,286	+0	open	—	06-22 11:20
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	52	$2.2K	2,816	2,816	+0	open	—	07-11 22:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	35	$2.1K	2,102	2,102	+0	open	—	06-30 23:38
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	42	$2.0K	2,268	2,268	+0	open	—	06-28 22:03
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	45	$2.0K	3,132	3,131	+2	open	—	07-07 00:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	25	$1.9K	2,106	2,105	+0	open	—	06-30 23:03
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	15	$1.9K	1,031	1,031	+0	open	—	06-25 22:28
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	19	$1.9K	1,445	1,445	+0	open	—	06-29 06:00
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	35	$1.8K	2,216	2,216	+0	open	—	07-09 10:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	43	$1.7K	3,265	3,265	+0	open	—	06-24 17:31
iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	12	$1.7K	914	914	+0	open	—	06-27 21:36
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	21	$1.6K	6,096	6,096	+0	open	—	06-21 15:46
wti closes above 74 on july 10 2026	16	$1.5K	812	812	+0	open	—	07-10 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:30:36	eth updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x830acb…
08-10 20:20:52	sol updown 4h 1786392000	Up	SELL	163	60¢	$98	0xf49c67…
08-10 20:20:49	sol updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	163	64¢	$104	0x8f44e9…
08-10 20:06:09	btc updown 4h 1786392000	Up	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x6f9414…
08-10 20:06:06	btc updown 4h 1786392000	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0xd2f312…
08-10 17:24:15	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	369	2¢	$7	0x900f2c…
08-10 17:24:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	271	2¢	$6	0xb3bd8d…
08-10 17:24:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x6bd9c7…
08-10 16:47:30	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0x603a44…
08-10 16:47:28	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	539	20¢	$108	0xb69d80…
08-10 16:37:01	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xeb9a73…
08-10 16:24:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	441	18¢	$79	0xd4ac7e…
08-10 16:24:06	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	569	19¢	$108	0x1efd60…
08-10 16:03:21	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	208	22¢	$46	0x913c90…
08-10 16:03:15	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	479	23¢	$110	0xa461a9…
08-10 16:00:16	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260804194832575	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xe727bb…
08-10 15:59:39	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260804194832575	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x48e4b4…
08-10 15:54:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xbf7af7…
08-10 15:48:54	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x5486e0…
08-10 15:41:49	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xac3206…
08-10 15:37:37	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	118	16¢	$19	0x59cc6e…
08-10 15:37:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xac0329…
08-10 15:37:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x2ca151…
08-10 15:37:15	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	384	16¢	$61	0x317aa1…
08-10 15:32:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	649	17¢	$110	0x20517c…
08-10 15:15:06	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x64dd3e…
08-10 15:13:58	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	129	15¢	$19	0x3412e1…
08-10 15:13:54	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	133	16¢	$21	0x44d106…
08-09 21:59:51	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xdfc23f…
08-09 21:59:49	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xdfc8a8…
08-09 21:58:00	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xf9fa00…
08-09 21:57:58	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8390a3…
08-09 21:56:10	eth updown 4h 1786305600	Up	SELL	71	68¢	$48	0x1b083e…
08-09 21:56:07	eth updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$49	0x07cd40…
08-09 21:04:27	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	SELL	31	63¢	$19	0x3a5694…
08-09 21:04:24	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x5046b8…
08-09 16:58:16	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	162	64¢	$104	0xb0f943…
08-09 16:58:12	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	162	68¢	$110	0x518999…
08-09 14:42:39	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x1b4616…
08-09 14:39:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	89	33¢	$29	0x1d92f3…
08-09 14:24:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	94	59¢	$56	0xe71a34…
08-09 02:32:22	will leviatan win more than 3pt5 matches in vct 2026 americas stage 2 20260710215217322	O 3.5	SELL	194	90¢	$175	0x8068b4…
08-09 02:29:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$19	0xf9749c…
08-09 02:29:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x4e4df9…
08-09 02:29:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x4e4df9…
08-09 02:12:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x91e176…
08-08 17:59:33	will aemond targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401069	Yes	SELL	109	19¢	$21	0x8e4e1e…
08-08 17:59:30	will aemond targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401069	Yes	BUY	109	22¢	$24	0x0d5151…
08-08 03:16:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xb2cb3a…
08-08 03:11:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb5dfdb…
08-08 03:11:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x62345f…
08-08 01:06:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0x082c92…
08-08 00:54:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	214	12¢	$26	0x4996ff…
08-08 00:54:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xff03f4…
08-08 00:53:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0xa060f1…
08-07 22:47:51	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xf751c7…
08-07 22:47:46	btc updown 4h 1786132800	Down	BUY	91	73¢	$66	0x979f9d…
08-07 22:41:43	eth updown 4h 1786132800	Up	SELL	92	18¢	$17	0x4a73a8…
08-07 22:41:42	eth updown 4h 1786132800	Up	BUY	92	18¢	$17	0xd933ff…
08-06 21:02:09	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	No	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xf1d87e…
08-06 20:55:18	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	Yes	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0x0b714c…
08-06 20:50:06	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	Yes	BUY	91	80¢	$73	0x0c26bf…
08-06 00:00:03	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x1eafb6…
08-06 00:00:00	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xf02b47…
08-05 22:14:48	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	92	1¢	$1	0x83456e…
08-05 21:30:48	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	SELL	91	14¢	$13	0x099778…
08-05 21:30:45	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0xb5fef5…
08-05 21:08:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	SELL	94	20¢	$19	0x509521…
08-05 21:08:27	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	94	22¢	$21	0x70710b…
08-05 20:28:36	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	SELL	92	16¢	$15	0xc59729…
08-05 20:28:35	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	92	17¢	$16	0x4d39f5…
08-05 20:19:20	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	SELL	66	26¢	$17	0x3b9c14…
08-05 20:19:17	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	66	26¢	$17	0xd927ee…
08-05 20:14:45	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xfef4d5…
08-05 20:00:41	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xfccdb1…
08-05 19:14:45	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	SELL	74	25¢	$18	0x986f49…
08-05 19:09:38	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xb6d972…
08-05 19:09:35	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	94	26¢	$24	0xd9b11e…
08-05 19:03:48	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	SELL	94	72¢	$67	0x6f04f1…
08-05 19:03:45	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	94	74¢	$69	0xb5a99f…
08-05 18:50:44	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x946a04…
08-05 18:45:44	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x23c91a…
08-05 18:19:59	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	SELL	95	78¢	$74	0x4fc65e…
08-05 18:08:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x98926c…
08-05 09:02:30	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x83e692…
08-05 08:57:54	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf28895…
08-05 08:35:36	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xab16c5…
08-05 08:22:20	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x658a2a…
08-05 08:19:18	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x54bf9d…
08-05 07:42:12	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0xf8856b…
08-05 07:40:44	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x6d2a4b…
08-05 07:07:05	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x88e0eb…
08-05 07:07:05	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x4aa7fd…
08-05 07:05:54	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x74a6a8…
08-05 07:05:45	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x710188…
08-05 07:05:45	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x5fd30e…
08-05 07:05:45	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x0c4230…
08-05 04:47:53	will yash patel be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611345	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x25b742…
08-05 04:35:02	will yash patel be evicted in big brother season 28 week 4 20260730205611345	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x9e1b5f…
08-05 01:32:06	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	SELL	89	19¢	$17	0x179c1b…