Phony-Software 0x47084c…da9580
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,311
lifetime
Volume
$104.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$618
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-01 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$1
Tech
26% — —
Politics
25% 75% +$2
Sports
7% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -382 $-332 86¢ $-326 +$6 06-18 18:53
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -155 $-141 84¢ $-131 +$10 06-30 04:42
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -84 $-83 100¢ $-84 $-1 06-18 18:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -15 $-15 96¢ $-15 $-0 06-18 18:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -15 $-14 94¢ $-14 $-0 06-18 18:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-18 18:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 18:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 18:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -4 $-4 95¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 18:54
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 +$0 06-18 18:55
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -3 $-2 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 18:55
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:55
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:55
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -2 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 18:57
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 18:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 18:58
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1 $14 93¢ $1 $-13 07-01 02:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -30 $-4 1¢ $-0 +$4 06-26 14:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-27 19:56
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +0 $1 89¢ $0 $-1 06-30 23:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 $-1 06-26 14:37
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 06-30 22:58
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $2 11¢ $0 $-2 07-01 00:46
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 06-30 22:53
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +0 $2 6¢ $0 $-2 06-30 12:03
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +0 $9 7¢ $0 $-9 06-25 18:22