Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
6,048
lifetime
Volume
$255.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$339
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-21 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 100% +$1
Politics
31% 75% +$2
Tech
16%
Sports
7%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -382 $-332 74¢ $-284 +$48 06-18 18:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -15 $-15 96¢ $-15 $-0 06-18 18:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -15 $-14 94¢ $-14 $-0 06-18 18:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 18:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 18:54
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 +$0 06-18 18:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:55
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 18:56
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 28¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 18:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$0 06-18 18:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +0 $0 86¢ $0 $-0 06-27 19:56
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +0 $11 $0 $-11 06-30 23:11