Phony-Software 0x47084c…da9580
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
54
54 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$170
$170 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$103
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
60% 100% +$14
Other
33% 100% +$0
Crypto
7% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -16 $-15 96¢ $-15 $-0 05-07 11:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 05-11 16:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 $-12 72¢ $-11 +$1 05-10 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 05-10 20:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $7 74¢ $8 +$1 05-13 02:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 05-14 10:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -14 $-5 34¢ $-5 +$0 05-13 00:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 05-10 19:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 05-13 22:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 05-10 20:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 $-0 05-13 00:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -25 $-7 12¢ $-3 +$4 05-10 12:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No -4 $-3 64¢ $-3 +$0 05-08 11:49
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 05-13 00:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 +$0 05-10 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-0 05-13 23:20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 05-14 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -20 $-4 8¢ $-1 +$2 05-09 03:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +3 $2 44¢ $1 $-1 05-13 00:07
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -3 $-1 44¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 03:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +12 $5 8¢ $1 $-4 05-07 11:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 05-07 20:01