Fickle-Chord 0x34ed28…b09948
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Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
67
Trades
228
lifetime
Volume
$1.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$858
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-25 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
42% 100% +$79
Other
36% 62% -$9
Crypto
21% 62% -$18
Sports
1% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +289 $216 84¢ $244 +$28 10-17 18:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +119 $94 100¢ $119 +$25 10-22 19:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +44 $37 100¢ $44 +$7 09-05 10:33
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +38 $34 95¢ $36 +$2 08-22 21:02
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No +37 $32 90¢ $33 +$1 09-05 19:08
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +35 $29 90¢ $31 +$2 09-05 14:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $27 94¢ $29 +$2 08-22 21:02
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +31 $27 92¢ $28 +$2 08-23 04:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +30 $27 93¢ $28 +$1 08-22 21:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +29 $26 84¢ $25 -$1 07-24 00:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +25 $23 95¢ $24 +$0 08-23 12:52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 $0 08-22 21:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +28 $18 70¢ $20 +$2 10-25 21:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +20 $18 92¢ $19 +$1 08-14 21:39
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$1 08-14 21:44
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 08-23 12:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +15 $13 100¢ $15 +$2 07-23 22:04
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$1 08-23 12:52
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +15 $13 95¢ $14 +$1 07-23 21:25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$0 08-15 05:02
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +12 $11 85¢ $10 $0 08-14 21:42
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 08-10 19:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 08-15 10:54
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $0 08-10 19:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-31 20:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-01 14:10
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-23 12:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 07-31 20:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-31 20:39
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-31 20:43