Realized P&L
-$6.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$855
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
109
Trades
987
lifetime
Volume
$40.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$3.08K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
41% 42% -$5,164
Politics
37% 31% -$1,006
Sports
15% 67% +$572
Crypto
7% 62% -$398
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,977 $1,104 66¢ $1.3K +$191 07-22 20:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $510 92¢ $925 +$415 05-09 10:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $175 76¢ $382 +$208 05-18 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,642 $1,132 10¢ $164 -$968 08-18 20:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes — +2,005 $541 5¢ $100 -$441 06-05 19:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +2,037 $292 4¢ $80 -$211 06-18 07:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 Yes +882 $198 4¢ $31 -$167 08-19 02:45
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -374 -$33 8¢ $-28 +$5 09-16 23:29
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +991 $69 2¢ $21 -$49 05-14 18:53
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -16 -$15 97¢ $-16 $0 09-17 02:20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -800 -$112 2¢ $-15 +$97 06-10 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $11 54¢ $12 +$2 10-30 21:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -300 -$18 2¢ $-5 +$13 06-05 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 -$18 1¢ $-4 +$14 05-18 02:40
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -475 -$38 0¢ $-2 +$36 05-10 02:59