Crazy-Tambourine 0xb2a966…5225d5
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Realized P&L
+$302
Unrealized P&L
+$187
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
222
Trades
410
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$1.41K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-29 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
44% 49% -$21
Politics
27% 60% +$145
Crypto
17% 80% +$137
Sports
10% 50% -$5
Tech
1% 67% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +661 $500 87¢ $573 +$73 09-10 22:00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +350 $340 95¢ $333 -$7 09-24 12:44
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +143 $72 96¢ $137 +$65 10-17 14:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +121 $100 100¢ $120 +$20 08-08 10:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +95 $95 89¢ $85 -$10 10-07 05:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60 $50 82¢ $50 $0 10-29 14:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +72 $40 67¢ $48 +$8 10-27 16:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +50 $30 68¢ $33 +$3 10-08 17:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +37 -$23 57¢ $21 +$44 10-20 13:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +31 $20 37¢ $11 -$9 09-20 06:08