Crazy-Tambourine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-13 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

5% 33% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	4	$821	436	436	+0	open	—	02-24 06:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$775	409	409	+0	open	—	02-26 16:41
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$760	451	451	+0	open	—	02-01 08:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$628	461	461	+0	open	—	03-05 07:25
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?	4	$506	319	319	+0	open	—	04-10 19:29
will nvda reach 200 in march	3	$496	435	286	+150	open	—	03-02 21:36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$439	228	228	+0	open	—	04-14 21:31
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	3	$378	204	204	+0	open	—	03-02 06:51
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$327	190	190	+0	open	—	02-14 19:31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	1	$300	411	0	+411	open	—	07-01 19:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	1	$300	364	0	+364	open	—	07-26 08:41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	3	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 14:35
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	2	$251	156	156	+0	open	—	02-06 19:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	2	$227	132	132	+0	open	—	08-02 11:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$227	56	179	-122	open	—	06-25 02:12
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	4	$222	136	136	+0	open	—	02-01 12:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	2	$221	123	123	+0	open	—	08-02 10:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$221	134	134	+0	open	—	06-07 15:42
will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	2	$206	120	120	+0	open	—	06-09 19:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$205	110	110	+0	open	—	06-12 03:37
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	02-16 21:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$185	140	140	+0	open	—	01-30 13:12
will nvda dip to 152 in march	2	$165	90	90	+0	open	—	03-25 13:03
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$157	88	88	+0	open	—	03-15 04:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$155	93	93	+0	open	—	03-20 14:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$153	80	80	+0	open	—	03-20 11:41
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	2	$151	106	106	+0	open	—	02-27 09:42
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$143	153	0	+153	open	—	02-18 10:58
nvda above 190 on february 27 2026	2	$129	285	285	+0	open	—	02-26 09:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	2	$114	68	68	+0	open	—	08-02 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 20:33:36	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xd5decc…
08-13 15:07:24	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0xca99db…
08-13 06:13:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0x1ee553…
08-13 06:10:31	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xea550a…
08-09 04:36:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x66302c…
08-08 10:26:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xc75104…
08-06 10:46:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x8c10a0…
08-02 13:00:50	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x98895f…
08-02 11:50:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	132	97¢	$127	0xfb97c8…
08-02 10:43:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	68	95¢	$64	0x6c5943…
08-02 10:42:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0x933070…
08-01 07:45:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xa18494…
08-01 07:44:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x5ed13c…
08-01 07:44:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x667c2f…
08-01 07:44:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x1e60a0…
07-27 14:26:48	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcbf46e…
07-26 08:41:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	364	82¢	$300	0x989cb7…
07-15 21:18:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x4f7c0a…
07-15 20:44:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x059ff0…
07-14 20:12:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x806156…
07-13 12:35:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	77	19¢	$15	0xa9aa59…
07-12 17:54:16	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3f0a87…
07-12 14:56:02	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x9417f7…
07-12 00:57:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x718e34…
07-12 00:20:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0cd372…
07-12 00:19:29	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1621b2…
07-11 23:06:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa8f9b5…
07-11 18:03:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8257f4…
07-11 15:42:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe8531d…
07-09 21:24:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x526744…
07-09 08:24:38	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2c80f4…
07-06 20:27:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xba7e13…
07-06 18:19:41	atp dimitro fery 2026 07 06	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x51beef…
07-06 08:14:01	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Auger-Aliassime	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0073dc…
07-05 20:28:13	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x244044…
07-05 18:28:47	atp augeral fokina 2026 07 05	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6b7789…
07-05 14:00:20	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Roman Safiullin	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xbff147…
07-05 13:17:34	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Roman Safiullin	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xbb25e6…
07-05 12:59:46	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x89d862…
07-05 09:48:28	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xac189f…
07-04 20:32:10	atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	Grigor Dimitrov	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x3658f4…
07-04 15:38:50	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x5322bb…
07-04 07:35:17	atp khachan cobolli 2026 07 04 match total 36pt5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x74629d…
07-04 07:18:46	atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbdc593…
07-03 20:53:01	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe2d2e3…
07-03 20:29:52	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e11fa…
07-03 19:04:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb4f481…
07-03 12:53:59	atp rinderk djokovi 2026 07 03 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x412f7d…
07-02 11:31:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x377e7e…
07-01 20:23:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc717d3…
07-01 19:27:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0xa553b3…
07-01 19:04:17	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x730364…
07-01 17:32:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf275f5…
07-01 11:09:05	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x009dc1…
07-01 06:04:55	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xaff3ba…
07-01 06:03:05	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd5d16a…
06-30 20:12:02	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x3a63ea…
06-30 14:24:17	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x725e59…
06-30 07:49:04	atp tsitsip djokovi 2026 07 01 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5a95a1…
06-29 16:27:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x96f63a…
06-29 06:44:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0d38fa…
06-29 04:18:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xd8da86…
06-28 18:15:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x513d5d…
06-27 04:18:14	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x26ebe5…
06-25 02:12:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x276a70…
06-25 01:58:52	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Czechia	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe88eab…
06-23 20:26:35	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Ghana	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf1692e…
06-23 04:12:02	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3b9dc8…
06-23 04:09:58	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1a9c5e…
06-22 17:27:04	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8a62c8…
06-22 16:54:37	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4a65a1…
06-22 16:10:56	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x74b83c…
06-21 19:11:55	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x6de93c…
06-21 17:35:13	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x254c2e…
06-21 17:32:31	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x22f71a…
06-21 17:30:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x52a498…
06-21 13:08:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xecf9c9…
06-21 13:06:29	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd23f0b…
06-20 12:30:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x98e2da…
06-20 12:24:07	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x2dcf5f…
06-20 12:24:02	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xae5f81…
06-19 11:16:49	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x458322…
06-18 19:33:22	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6cf668…
06-18 17:45:08	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb7b2eb…
06-18 17:42:46	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x3c1f77…
06-18 16:12:19	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x423215…
06-17 20:43:29	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebfdd0…
06-17 20:00:56	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd2c112…
06-16 21:03:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d55c4…
06-16 20:48:05	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x505cf9…
06-16 10:27:46	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaba0c7…
06-15 20:43:00	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x7a2133…
06-15 19:27:27	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x8fcdef…
06-14 20:06:13	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xeefd14…
06-14 19:54:21	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc5b955…
06-14 18:36:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf681f7…
06-14 08:19:42	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x814b1a…
06-13 17:31:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x89ba6c…
06-13 13:36:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x292307…
06-12 12:45:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x828ba8…