Modest-Latency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

186

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$748

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-04 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 52% -$147

Other

13% 12% -$29

Politics

2% 50% +$3

Sports

1% 20% -$7

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	3	$10	32	32	+0	open	—	10-04 20:11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-04 20:12
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	21	21	+0	open	—	10-04 20:11
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	2	$7	23	23	+0	open	—	10-04 20:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$7	20	0	+20	No	-$7	05-20 00:06
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	2	$7	30	0	+30	No	-$7	05-19 00:09
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	10-04 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	10-04 20:12
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	2	$6	23	23	+0	open	—	10-04 20:12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	2	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	10-04 20:13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	05-18 20:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	05-18 20:22
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	05-18 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	47	0	+47	Up	-$5	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-30 17:43
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	05-18 20:38
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	+$12	05-18 20:23
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$5	15	0	+15	Yes	+$10	05-18 20:25
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	05-18 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$2	05-07 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	-$5	05-09 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-12 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	65	0	+65	Down	-$5	05-08 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	65	0	+65	Up	-$5	05-08 19:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$5	4,543	0	+4,543	Up	-$5	05-08 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	5	$5	505	0	+505	Down	-$5	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	05-08 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 00:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-08 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 20:13:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x8d6a61…
10-04 20:13:29	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x10d281…
10-04 20:13:20	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x1eb266…
10-04 20:13:10	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x340d61…
10-04 20:12:55	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xf4890d…
10-04 20:12:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x81cee5…
10-04 20:12:31	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x857590…
10-04 20:12:22	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xbebb39…
10-04 20:12:16	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xee6e96…
10-04 20:12:07	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x059817…
10-04 20:11:53	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0xdeb9d3…
10-04 20:11:35	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0xd81165…
05-22 00:05:08	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x91d770…
05-21 01:59:40	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xee899e…
05-21 01:57:35	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x171ba1…
05-21 01:56:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdb0853…
05-21 00:04:24	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8b148b…
05-21 00:03:38	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa0eea9…
05-20 00:11:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x406262…
05-20 00:07:37	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd31d64…
05-20 00:06:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb1ace0…
05-20 00:05:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3ba147…
05-20 00:01:28	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfdff80…
05-19 05:08:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $425 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xd599ae…
05-19 01:18:34	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $425 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x732230…
05-19 00:26:18	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x62b902…
05-19 00:14:46	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x923907…
05-19 00:12:42	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x94c679…
05-19 00:09:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8b7f52…
05-18 20:41:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x387a9a…
05-18 20:40:47	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9cdb60…
05-18 20:40:38	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0332cc…
05-18 20:39:52	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6bbbaf…
05-18 20:39:42	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc64cb5…
05-18 20:38:55	Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x991cfc…
05-18 20:38:11	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x15b54f…
05-18 20:37:18	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbf57db…
05-18 20:35:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6ed542…
05-18 20:33:33	Istanbul: Lucas Poullain vs Mili Poljicak	Lucas Poullain	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4f33e0…
05-18 20:29:35	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfb7e49…
05-18 20:29:01	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb48f11…
05-18 20:28:05	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3db0d0…
05-18 20:26:13	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbb1217…
05-18 20:25:28	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2f5d1e…
05-18 20:24:21	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa70e67…
05-18 20:23:01	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xef4727…
05-18 20:22:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x787f4b…
05-18 20:21:33	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xacb642…
05-18 20:14:16	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x61312d…
05-15 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x9364f5…
05-15 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6f738c…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xf1df47…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd8a0ea…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9660b8…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x43de1d…
05-15 17:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x02a747…
05-15 17:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	413	1¢	$4	0x32f137…
05-15 01:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe29694…
05-15 01:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x74a5c8…
05-15 00:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x88848c…
05-14 23:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x07a7cb…
05-14 23:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x731bad…
05-14 22:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf5c23c…
05-14 21:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xd65141…
05-14 21:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdab0cd…
05-14 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9d2052…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0xf928cf…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa7e151…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9804b5…
05-14 20:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x97e14f…
05-14 20:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x712aa5…
05-14 20:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1076e0…
05-14 19:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xec3679…
05-14 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	409	1¢	$4	0xff9ce7…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0xe5824a…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xdfa70f…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb51c0b…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8c90a7…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x61625c…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4dd430…
05-14 03:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcce669…
05-14 03:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9bb14d…
05-14 03:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x0b92ef…
05-14 03:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0f8276…
05-14 02:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x61480c…
05-14 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x4f604d…
05-14 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb5a9c0…
05-14 02:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5ea284…
05-14 01:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x51c06e…
05-14 01:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0a69bc…
05-14 01:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1b663d…
05-14 01:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe81f6e…
05-14 00:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x06923c…
05-14 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xe68b7d…
05-14 00:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x54489b…
05-14 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd980d9…
05-13 23:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe90709…
05-13 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfae964…
05-13 22:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe7ca3f…
05-13 22:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd5a693…