Modest-Latency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

138

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$638

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-22 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 56% $-104

Other

7% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 00:06
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	2	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 00:09
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 20:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-18 20:22
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	47	0	+47	Up	$-5	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-30 17:43
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$2	05-07 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	$-5	05-09 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-12 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	65	0	+65	Up	$-5	05-08 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	65	0	+65	Down	$-5	05-08 23:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	5	$5	505	0	+505	Down	$-5	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-08 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 01:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-08 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-09 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-08 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-11 18:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-09 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-08 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-12 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-12 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 00:05:08	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x91d770…
05-21 00:03:38	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa0eea9…
05-20 00:11:26	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x406262…
05-20 00:06:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb1ace0…
05-20 00:05:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3ba147…
05-19 05:08:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $425 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xd599ae…
05-19 01:18:34	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $425 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x732230…
05-19 00:09:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8b7f52…
05-18 20:40:47	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9cdb60…
05-18 20:39:52	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6bbbaf…
05-18 20:35:37	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6ed542…
05-18 20:33:33	Istanbul: Lucas Poullain vs Mili Poljicak	Lucas Poullain	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4f33e0…
05-18 20:29:01	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb48f11…
05-18 20:23:01	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xef4727…
05-18 20:22:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x787f4b…
05-15 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x9364f5…
05-15 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6f738c…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xf1df47…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd8a0ea…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9660b8…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x43de1d…
05-15 17:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x02a747…
05-15 17:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	413	1¢	$4	0x32f137…
05-15 01:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe29694…
05-15 01:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x74a5c8…
05-15 00:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x88848c…
05-14 23:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x07a7cb…
05-14 23:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x731bad…
05-14 22:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf5c23c…
05-14 21:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xd65141…
05-14 21:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdab0cd…
05-14 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9d2052…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0xf928cf…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa7e151…
05-14 20:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9804b5…
05-14 20:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x97e14f…
05-14 20:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x712aa5…
05-14 20:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1076e0…
05-14 19:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xec3679…
05-14 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	409	1¢	$4	0xff9ce7…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0xe5824a…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xdfa70f…
05-14 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb51c0b…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8c90a7…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x61625c…
05-14 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4dd430…
05-14 03:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcce669…
05-14 03:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9bb14d…
05-14 03:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x0b92ef…
05-14 03:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0f8276…
05-14 02:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x61480c…
05-14 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x4f604d…
05-14 02:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb5a9c0…
05-14 02:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5ea284…
05-14 01:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x51c06e…
05-14 01:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0a69bc…
05-14 01:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1b663d…
05-14 01:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe81f6e…
05-14 00:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x06923c…
05-14 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xe68b7d…
05-14 00:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x54489b…
05-14 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd980d9…
05-13 23:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe90709…
05-13 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfae964…
05-13 22:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe7ca3f…
05-13 22:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd5a693…
05-13 22:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x15b336…
05-13 22:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe38071…
05-13 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9c6c52…
05-13 15:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xd45ccd…
05-13 15:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xa412ba…
05-13 15:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x73ce40…
05-13 15:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x91bfc1…
05-13 15:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xec7c85…
05-13 15:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x158e1b…
05-13 15:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x8ef3ef…
05-13 14:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbb41d9…
05-13 14:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xee9dff…
05-13 14:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2fe44c…
05-13 14:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf17688…
05-13 13:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x739f6c…
05-13 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd31014…
05-13 13:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x87e4b2…
05-13 12:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x108b98…
05-13 03:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9a51f4…
05-13 03:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdfe83c…
05-13 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa42f09…
05-13 02:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x521eb2…
05-13 00:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x0033e2…
05-13 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x69329e…
05-13 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x51f000…
05-13 00:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x1fba7a…
05-13 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x323890…
05-12 23:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb15943…
05-12 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x002192…
05-12 22:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7ee35f…
05-12 21:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xe783b5…
05-12 21:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x37e4a7…
05-12 20:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa8019a…
05-12 20:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf20b8d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	159	$25.3K	4,182	05-15 17:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	158	$21.6K	3,391	05-15 17:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	157	$19.4K	2,369	05-15 17:13
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	156	$30.1K	9,606	05-15 17:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	156	$26.1K	8,062	05-15 17:14
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	154	$96.8K	3,586	05-28 08:35
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	153	$51.8K	3,898	05-15 17:08
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	153	$6.59K	1,325	05-15 17:13