Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$56,519
$56,314 in 24h
Trades
8,689
Unique wallets
1,477
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
53¢
Latest NO mid
47¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 00:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.2¢
(top1%: 61% YES on $22.7K
vs crowd: 51% YES on $50.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 131 | $14.7K | $10.2K | +$4.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 348 | $6.5K | $9.2K | $2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 544 | $3.5K | $3.8K | $334 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 454 | $1.2K | $1.2K | $52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 150 | $13.8K | $8.9K | +$4.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 286 | $4.6K | $6.7K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 159 | $481 | $968 | $486 |
| Median | 136 | $244 | $336 | $92 |
| Below median | 332 | $1.3K | $1.3K | $57 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 202 | $1.3K | $1.0K | +$280 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 183 | $3.4K | $4.3K | $961 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 29 | $845 | $832 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Down | +1,240 | $404 | $404 | 62 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Thirsty-Squid 0xda12…6967 | Up | +1,214 | $735 | $735 | 57 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Down | +1,172 | $425 | $425 | 55 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | +1,169 | $676 | $676 | 55 | 05-14 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17 | Up | +1,162 | $661 | $661 | 75 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Thirsty-Squid 0xda12…6967 | Down | +1,152 | $538 | $538 | 66 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Present-Donation 0x9d11…a3b8 | Down | +1,102 | $1,030 | $1,030 | 8 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Parched-Porter 0x42ed…5eba | Up | +1,065 | $522 | $522 | 20 | 05-14 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17 | Down | +1,012 | $392 | $392 | 76 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361 | Up | +900 | $644 | $644 | 18 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361 | Down | +900 | $251 | $251 | 18 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685 | Down | +900 | $266 | $266 | 18 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685 | Up | +850 | $571 | $571 | 20 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Up | +840 | $612 | $612 | 42 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03 | Down | +780 | $330 | $330 | 39 | 05-14 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4705…d03e | Up | +768 | $150 | $150 | 43 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Curly-Doubt 0xa731…c990 | Down | +631 | $317 | $317 | 32 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03 | Up | +620 | $449 | $449 | 31 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Curly-Doubt 0xa731…c990 | Up | +606 | $350 | $350 | 20 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 28 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Bony-Millet 0xe295…64eb | Down | +587 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-14 00:44 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | +550 | $381 | $381 | 14 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7 | Up | +540 | $371 | $371 | 18 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7 | Down | +540 | $167 | $167 | 18 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Up | +537 | $106 | $106 | 32 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa | Up | +513 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Great-Slump 0x4cd6…686f | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 29 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Sneaky-Raccoon 0xd9ea…22aa | Up | +494 | $364 | $364 | 26 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30 | Down | +486 | $146 | $146 | 12 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Sneaky-Raccoon 0xd9ea…22aa | Down | +468 | $227 | $227 | 24 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +465 | $102 | $102 | 9 | 05-14 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb | Up | +461 | $337 | $337 | 30 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Unconscious-Alloy 0xa7a6…254e | Down | +450 | $130 | $130 | 3 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Offbeat-Banana 0xc235…99f8 | Down | +442 | $179 | $179 | 13 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Charming-Tourism 0x57f1…5b0f | Down | +430 | $425 | $425 | 5 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +428 | $324 | $324 | 8 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Perfect-Downstairs 0x6649…4aa2 | Up | +411 | $145 | $145 | 9 | 05-14 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4705…d03e | Down | +410 | $93 | $93 | 25 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30 | Up | +406 | $262 | $262 | 18 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b | Down | +399 | $156 | $156 | 3 | 05-14 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9781…165f | Down | +367 | $92 | $92 | 17 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343 | Up | +362 | $201 | $201 | 39 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Mountainous-Tale 0x4e51…390e | Down | +352 | $348 | $348 | 3 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | +342 | $338 | $338 | 8 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02 | Up | +341 | $170 | $392 | 92 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694 | Up | +337 | $211 | $211 | 5 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694 | Down | +337 | $104 | $104 | 5 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Mad-Circadian 0xef81…494c | Down | +325 | $84 | $84 | 16 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b | Up | +320 | $196 | $196 | 15 | 05-14 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xae48…9469 | Up | +316 | $184 | $184 | 35 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Dead-Dinosaur 0xc263…9325 | Down | +314 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Automatic-Riding 0xa575…f2d0 | Up | +311 | $76 | $76 | 34 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Perfect-Downstairs 0x6649…4aa2 | Down | +309 | $205 | $205 | 19 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | +309 | $306 | $306 | 1 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215 | Down | +307 | $95 | $95 | 7 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215 | Up | +303 | $200 | $200 | 15 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Unrealistic-Gemsbok 0x7509…d031 | Down | +300 | $296 | $296 | 3 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Up | +300 | $222 | $222 | 8 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343 | Down | +296 | $103 | $103 | 31 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 00:50:25 | Glossy-Underwriting 0x85e7…d103 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf63ce0… |
| 05-14 00:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xe1d4…b20b | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf63ce0… |
| 05-14 00:50:23 | Impassioned-Yolk 0xf048…40ab | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x9b8a4e… |
| 05-14 00:50:23 | Glossy-Underwriting 0x85e7…d103 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x9b8a4e… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Glum-Subscription 0x8d00…0121 | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Decimal-Bike 0x9341…d75f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Humongous-Character 0x34e6…9b74 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Miniature-Beach 0xdbe0…26bc | Down | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xea55e6… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Focused-Doing 0xfd8a…3cbf | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | False-Hospital 0x7cc8…a9d7 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Glossy-Underwriting 0x85e7…d103 | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Dependent-Curler 0xe53f…06d7 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xdfb5…0e2b | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Silent-Authorisation 0xaba2…193a | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Giving-Redesign 0x71d2…4e76 | Down | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Growing-Midcourse 0xd780…f628 | Down | SELL | 323 | 99¢ | $320 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Glossy-Underwriting 0x85e7…d103 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xea55e6… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Mountainous-Tale 0x4e51…390e | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x597529… |
| 05-14 00:50:13 | Grateful-Safari 0x743f…420c | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc23a79… |
| 05-14 00:50:13 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xc23a79… |
| 05-14 00:50:13 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xc23a79… |
| 05-14 00:50:13 | Verifiable-Health 0x18b0…995c | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc23a79… |
| 05-14 00:50:13 | Giving-Redesign 0x71d2…4e76 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc23a79… |
| 05-14 00:50:09 | Confused-Fang 0xaf5f…dd13 | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x34d15c… |
| 05-14 00:50:09 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x34d15c… |
| 05-14 00:50:08 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8aee21… |
| 05-14 00:50:08 | Earnest-Somebody 0x1146…f1ee | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8aee21… |
| 05-14 00:50:06 | Punctual-Reciprocity 0x6e45…a8bc | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0c6f71… |
| 05-14 00:50:06 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0c6f71… |
| 05-14 00:50:04 | Blushing-Engineer 0x734e…ea25 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x04e2d9… |
| 05-14 00:50:04 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x04e2d9… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 309 | 99¢ | $306 | 0x4e0e99… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | False-Hospital 0x7cc8…a9d7 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x4e0e99… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Perfect-Downstairs 0x6649…4aa2 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7ca50d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x100894… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Down | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x0fd9b1… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdebe68… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Bustling-Bead 0xfe81…8f27 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x100894… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Thirsty-Squid 0xda12…6967 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdebe68… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Fond-Rank 0x13ff…8bd4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x7ca50d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcf5b87… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Thankful-Timetable-Correspondent 0x6657…4372 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xcf5b87… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Medium-Pretzel 0x6ad6…1758 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7ca50d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Black-Dream 0xeff1…a25c | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62dc2c… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 37 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xcf5b87… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 92 | 99¢ | $91 | 0x7ca50d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Second-Igloo 0xe361…5ff5 | Down | BUY | 73 | 99¢ | $72 | 0x7ca50d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Insignificant-Nod 0x4d1f…6465 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xdebe68… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Ready-Army 0xc227…d0c5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4e0e99… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x0fd9b1… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 92 | 99¢ | $91 | 0x4e0e99… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Great-Slump 0x4cd6…686f | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x4e0e99… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Meaty-Maintainer 0xf90e…cb17 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf3bf9d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Absolute-Comparison 0xd2db…ffcb | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcf5b87… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Curly-Doubt 0xa731…c990 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcf5b87… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Improbable-Medium 0x9d2f…0dda | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x62dc2c… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Early-Camera 0x05db…c718 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf3bf9d… |
| 05-14 00:50:02 | Second-Igloo 0xe361…5ff5 | Down | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xdebe68… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Closed-Resist 0x2943…a38f | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x2135b9… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x80f097… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Smug-Smolt 0x2fb4…be51 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x035814… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Long-Wilderness 0x7227…41f5 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd117af… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8ecd58… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Piercing-Armour 0x5c82…377c | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6acb5f… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Glamorous-Airplane 0x7d4b…1522 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe59135… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Fluffy-Hydrant 0xc1a6…ac3d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7f17cc… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Genuine-Petal-Amazon 0x1587…0e41 | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x30a0b2… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Up | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9d69eb… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Caring-Curtain 0x86fc…ee5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc86db8… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb268c7… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x5624…6d4d | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x001f4a… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Medium-Pretzel 0x6ad6…1758 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd77f10… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe66423… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2135b9… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x955d97… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Fond-Rank 0x13ff…8bd4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xbf035b… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Doting-Revitalisation 0x0e51…3a74 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x83ea00… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Hot-Hay 0x3aa1…12e5 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x81ce74… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Ready-Army 0xc227…d0c5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xfa8d5e… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d25…155a | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd73cb2… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x1ceb…b8f4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2e4f6… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81ce74… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x5a50…1435 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x9222e7… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Up | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x30a0b2… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xe522…b700 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x001f4a… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa080c4… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b72be… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x71a8…96c4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x37c23b… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Hot-Hay 0x3aa1…12e5 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb41cd5… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Bite-Sized-Fibre 0xbfad…c030 | Up | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2e4f6… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Black-Dream 0xeff1…a25c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1c2387… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x6abe…e9fd | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x1b72be… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Mad-Waterskiing 0x0e49…568e | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x0a073f… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x5e3f…c331 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa661bf… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | False-Hospital 0x7cc8…a9d7 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xb21e17… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | Some-Teletype 0x849a…750a | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa661bf… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xc0ca…0c2e | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x001f4a… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xccba…8ae4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x001f4a… |
| 05-14 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x78a0…6788 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x1ca055… |