Absolute-Comparison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

1,373

Trades

7,640

lifetime

Volume

$124.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-12 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 99% $-11

Other

9% 99% +$1

Sports

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 567 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-15 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-25 15:17
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$1.1K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	07-09 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$857	768	768	+0	open	—	06-17 09:15
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$775	506	506	+0	open	—	06-19 13:43
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	3	$742	482	482	+0	open	—	06-16 21:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$678	600	600	+0	open	—	06-16 16:22
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners total 8pt5	3	$587	527	527	+0	open	—	06-21 13:47
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners total 8pt5	2	$566	555	555	+0	open	—	06-17 09:13
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 9pt5	3	$558	507	507	+0	open	—	06-26 14:53
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	2	$511	527	527	+0	open	—	06-22 14:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$500	500	500	+0	open	—	05-30 05:58
will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	5	$490	351	351	-0	open	—	06-18 17:20
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$479	345	345	+0	open	—	06-18 17:20
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	3	$474	532	532	+0	open	—	06-24 12:53
cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	3	$464	500	344	+156	open	—	06-15 10:43
will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	2	$455	340	340	+0	open	—	06-25 17:16
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	2	$440	500	500	+0	open	—	06-23 14:17
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 corners total 8pt5	2	$425	500	500	+0	open	—	06-16 10:43
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$389	240	240	+0	open	—	06-27 07:51
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$359	240	240	+0	open	—	06-27 10:32
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	8	$328	173	173	+0	open	—	06-30 14:40
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$301	220	220	+0	open	—	07-06 14:01
will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	5	$283	292	292	+0	open	—	06-27 17:16
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	2	$278	260	260	+0	open	—	06-15 11:17
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$262	344	344	+0	open	—	06-17 15:54
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	2	$262	240	240	+0	open	—	06-21 12:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	4	$261	179	179	+0	open	—	06-17 09:46
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$260	685	685	+0	open	—	06-19 13:07
will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	6	$246	404	404	+0	open	—	06-28 14:22
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$245	0	278	-278	open	—	06-15 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 06:16:28	will titan esports club win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409497	O 1.5	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x9472d2…
07-11 15:50:40	vct 2026 china stage 2 win total edward gaming 20260710195935284	O 4.5	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x8d60a2…
07-11 12:15:08	vct 2026 china stage 2 win total edward gaming 20260710195935284	O 4.5	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x9dba0e…
07-11 11:54:22	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x9429d2…
07-11 09:31:58	will titan esports club win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409497	O 1.5	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0xf8be45…
07-11 08:41:17	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xac81c0…
07-10 21:03:56	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	66	24¢	$16	0xc3ab84…
07-10 11:07:11	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xf8fb38…
07-09 14:12:41	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xbb093f…
07-09 14:12:35	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	226	59¢	$134	0x6603ca…
07-09 13:41:47	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2f53b3…
07-09 08:46:23	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	226	59¢	$134	0xcc13f0…
07-08 16:50:29	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	623	7¢	$44	0x8df287…
07-08 16:50:11	will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfd25a9…
07-08 12:33:28	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	No	BUY	136	38¢	$52	0xa3a150…
07-08 07:45:10	will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc86230…
07-08 06:24:37	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	623	8¢	$49	0x4382bc…
07-07 14:07:37	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	Yes	SELL	28	73¢	$21	0x425595…
07-07 09:24:05	enhanced breakers 1 thor bjornsson to break deadlift record 20260706212327367	Yes	BUY	28	76¢	$22	0x18951d…
07-06 14:41:43	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	167	15¢	$25	0x034ffa…
07-06 14:26:16	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x459d20…
07-06 14:01:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	95	69¢	$66	0x3cea2f…
07-06 12:06:01	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	SELL	120	66¢	$79	0xf5739b…
07-06 10:14:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb76d77…
07-06 09:12:38	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xf99b1e…
07-06 07:44:20	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0xa49fec…
07-06 07:08:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xeebf80…
07-06 07:05:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x99f535…
07-05 14:36:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	60	64¢	$38	0xe70e47…
07-05 06:59:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xe9d3eb…
07-04 16:08:41	will team liquid make a roster change before september 20260701203528368	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x28d376…
07-03 14:15:32	will kylian mbappe score 7 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231100203	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x711244…
07-03 09:10:50	will kylian mbappe score 7 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231100203	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x12813e…
07-03 09:09:08	will kylian mbappe score 7 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701231100203	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$25	0xe49a10…
07-03 07:50:44	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	Yes	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0x1cdfdb…
07-03 07:30:55	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xe4580f…
07-03 07:30:20	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x68e64a…
07-02 15:05:04	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x841adb…
07-02 13:54:58	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xf1c007…
07-02 09:48:31	will kylian mbappe score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0x4daf86…
07-02 07:55:31	will kylian mbappe score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0xaefb22…
07-02 05:59:04	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x3ad94a…
07-02 05:16:37	will team liquid make a roster change before september 20260701203528368	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xde58e5…
07-01 15:33:28	will belinda bencic advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336832	Yes	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x5cfc71…
07-01 15:26:55	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x461b61…
07-01 15:25:40	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	58	53¢	$31	0x9dabae…
07-01 15:25:38	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xd88301…
07-01 15:09:53	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xeec133…
07-01 13:25:22	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xf82cec…
07-01 12:31:31	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x972889…
07-01 11:50:16	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8ea8e2…
07-01 11:45:47	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	92	19¢	$17	0xc56a25…
07-01 10:29:17	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf6b0a6…
07-01 10:24:32	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xd4f7d6…
07-01 08:20:29	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x85c1f4…
07-01 08:20:22	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xafff8e…
07-01 07:42:02	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	42	82¢	$35	0x51c749…
06-30 14:41:07	will elina svitolina advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336848	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x74a44b…
06-30 14:40:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xd39804…
06-30 14:40:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0x5dbaed…
06-30 13:43:14	will belinda bencic advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336832	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x4bb169…
06-30 12:13:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6674ea…
06-30 12:13:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xbcd91b…
06-30 12:13:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x70b295…
06-30 12:13:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xc5658d…
06-30 12:13:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xad02d3…
06-30 12:13:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0ba2c4…
06-30 07:22:52	will elina svitolina advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336848	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0x67fb51…
06-30 06:13:13	will elina svitolina advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336848	No	BUY	46	84¢	$38	0x1e2dfe…
06-30 05:48:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	173	95¢	$164	0xb96529…
06-30 05:32:14	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x387ae3…
06-29 14:30:56	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	Yes	SELL	183	5¢	$9	0x2f7dc3…
06-29 14:30:49	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	SELL	106	17¢	$18	0x24174b…
06-29 11:02:08	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	106	20¢	$21	0xa27eb0…
06-29 05:39:46	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	Yes	BUY	183	7¢	$12	0xd2ebd2…
06-28 15:25:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x22d552…
06-28 15:24:52	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	SELL	109	28¢	$31	0xa3cb9b…
06-28 15:23:19	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	Yes	SELL	63	5¢	$3	0x4eca0f…
06-28 15:09:16	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	105	50¢	$53	0x790a3c…
06-28 14:22:59	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x944c1c…
06-28 13:45:14	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	No	SELL	184	38¢	$70	0xe6f91d…
06-28 13:15:07	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x7a1798…
06-28 13:14:02	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x10d165…
06-28 13:07:10	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	44	36¢	$16	0x8fe15e…
06-28 13:07:01	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0xae0555…
06-28 13:00:49	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x1a334f…
06-28 11:57:52	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xf0e6bc…
06-28 11:56:41	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xeaecd8…
06-28 11:56:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xf9c2d9…
06-28 11:56:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x1d7136…
06-28 11:56:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	103	35¢	$36	0xfb1baa…
06-28 11:25:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xad7a6a…
06-28 11:01:46	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	No	BUY	184	37¢	$68	0x3a063a…
06-28 11:01:19	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x9cdf28…
06-28 10:28:38	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	27	31¢	$9	0xd8874b…
06-28 10:19:28	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x40696a…
06-28 10:19:08	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x909d1c…
06-28 10:19:08	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0x677e1a…
06-28 10:19:07	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x0e8efd…
06-28 09:33:41	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	245	29¢	$71	0x9cc4cb…