Absolute-Comparison — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,307

Trades (90d)

1,899

10,320 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20.2K

$185.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-30 10:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 96% -$134

Sports

20% 30% -$220

Other

9% 88% -$413

Politics

2% 29% -$177

Tech

1% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	43	$9.2K	6,448	6,448	+0	No	-$19	07-03 06:52
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	32	$4.0K	4,083	4,083	+0	No	-$2	07-06 06:13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$3.5K	2,664	2,664	+0	No	-$6	07-14 09:08
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$2.4K	1,294	1,294	+0	No	+$1	06-22 14:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.3K	738	738	+0	Yes	-$1	07-07 08:21
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Cincinnati Reds	-$10	05-25 15:17
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$1.1K	806	806	+0	Yes	-$18	06-27 17:17
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$1.1K	1,014	1,014	+0	Yes	-$9	07-09 14:12
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$872	803	798	+5	No	-$3	07-14 11:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$857	768	768	+0	No	+$7	06-17 09:15
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$834	887	887	+0	No	$0	07-02 12:49
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$775	506	506	+0	Yes	-$5	06-19 13:43
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	3	$742	482	482	+0	No	-$10	06-16 21:35
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	14	$705	790	790	+0	Yes	-$10	07-07 14:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$678	600	600	+0	No	+$6	06-16 16:22
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$677	600	600	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 17:18
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners total 8pt5	3	$587	527	527	+0	Under	-$3	06-21 13:47
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners total 8pt5	2	$566	555	555	+0	Under	-$11	06-17 09:13
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 9pt5	3	$558	507	507	+0	Under	+$0	06-26 14:53
cs2 bb3 fut 2026 06 15	4	$550	500	500	+0	BetBoom Team	$0	06-15 10:43
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	2	$511	527	527	+0	Over	-$5	06-22 14:15
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$502	316	316	+0	No	-$3	06-21 08:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$500	500	500	+0	open	—	05-30 05:58
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$495	278	278	+0	Yes	-$4	06-15 20:56
will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	5	$490	351	351	-0	No	-$32	06-18 17:20
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$484	428	428	+0	No	-$3	06-03 17:12
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$479	345	345	+0	Yes	-$3	06-18 17:20
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	3	$474	532	532	+0	Yes	+$5	06-24 12:53
will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	2	$455	340	340	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 17:16
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	2	$440	500	500	+0	Over	+$0	06-23 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xbe7ff1…
10-30 09:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x15158a…
10-30 08:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x477fa2…
10-30 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf221f5…
10-30 07:49:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xfc0c4b…
10-30 07:49:36	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7f59b…
10-30 06:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1c1e9c…
10-30 06:24:51	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x866552…
10-30 05:24:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfcea88…
10-30 05:24:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa7eb96…
10-30 05:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf99c53…
10-30 04:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xabb502…
10-30 00:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa9c507…
10-29 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x19b7c4…
10-29 21:52:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x888fa2…
10-29 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xd76779…
10-29 20:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8c7d0f…
10-29 20:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x0d2638…
10-29 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x170288…
10-29 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x716d47…
10-29 20:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5125a5…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x114c20…
10-29 20:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6e815b…
10-29 20:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf724a1…
10-29 20:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb92d3e…
10-29 20:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xab62c5…
10-29 20:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x140765…
10-29 20:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x0b0fb4…
10-29 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x13494a…
10-29 17:09:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8d7345…
10-29 16:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x929a65…
10-29 16:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5aefd3…
10-29 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8e624b…
10-29 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6cb07c…
10-29 10:46:08	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6b1e2…
10-29 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6400a1…
10-29 10:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x154a76…
10-29 09:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xad5ef9…
10-29 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xef6051…
10-29 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7cd9bc…
10-29 08:19:53	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7eb052…
10-29 07:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9f0418…
10-29 03:34:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78b3b4…
10-29 02:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x808e9a…
10-29 02:11:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x04d81a…
10-29 01:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8e1888…
10-29 01:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8de576…
10-29 01:51:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 28?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xd1653b…
10-29 01:51:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 28?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xc4f312…
10-29 01:49:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe2457e…
10-29 01:49:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf826b6…
10-29 01:49:07	Will Solana dip to $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbd7daa…
10-29 01:48:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf6ef6e…
10-29 01:48:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbd56bf…
10-29 01:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd99384…
10-29 01:35:13	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x92c7ae…
10-29 01:35:13	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x36559a…
10-29 01:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0f8fb4…
10-29 01:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x873015…
10-29 01:18:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe0be50…
10-29 01:18:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcac0ac…
10-29 00:54:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9b7900…
10-29 00:54:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5c1943…
10-29 00:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9f1cdc…
10-29 00:44:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd01582…
10-29 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf89ab7…
10-29 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf2a80…
10-29 00:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49a928…
10-29 00:04:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x95c0bd…
10-29 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x58f258…
10-28 23:49:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa7b6e4…
10-28 23:14:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfd30f1…
10-28 22:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe83544…
10-28 22:29:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b124c…
10-28 22:29:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x193f8d…
10-28 22:09:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x808c88…
10-28 21:59:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xadbc31…
10-28 20:38:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x881fd3…
10-28 20:28:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6c8b03…
10-28 20:28:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x644ade…
10-28 20:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfdbbf3…
10-28 20:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9a7df8…
10-28 19:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x50f749…
10-28 17:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8e7d28…
10-28 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9b4f68…
10-28 14:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9ca858…
10-28 11:24:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01036d…
10-28 11:19:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x351f0b…
10-28 10:19:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8880e5…
10-28 10:19:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee9158…
10-28 09:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x83375d…
10-28 09:30:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc07ce9…
10-28 09:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x68a26f…
10-28 08:48:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9af712…
10-28 08:44:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4061b6…
10-28 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x983aec…
10-28 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1e6233…
10-28 08:38:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9aa806…
10-28 08:38:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x271e78…
10-28 08:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x95f0e5…