Unconscious-Alloy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$322

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-26 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 50% +$403

Other

43% 0% $-82

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	11	$4.1K	6,174	0	+6,174	open	—	05-13 00:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	15	$2.2K	4,644	0	+4,644	open	—	05-15 22:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.3K	6,193	6,193	+0	open	—	03-29 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	19	$1.2K	1,418	1,418	+0	Up	+$330	05-11 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	12	$1.1K	2,369	0	+2,369	open	—	05-26 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	14	$1.0K	2,071	0	+2,071	open	—	05-26 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$600	1,161	0	+1,161	open	—	05-26 22:50
eth updown 5m 1774748700	2	$550	360	354	+5	open	—	03-29 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$430	881	0	+881	Up	$-430	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$375	671	0	+671	open	—	05-26 22:42
eth updown 5m 1774749300	4	$351	762	0	+762	open	—	03-29 01:56
btc updown 5m 1774747500	2	$314	220	216	+3	open	—	03-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$300	596	0	+596	Down	+$296	05-13 20:25
eth updown 5m 1774747800	1	$214	741	0	+741	open	—	03-29 01:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	4	$208	210	210	+0	Yes	$-82	05-12 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	8	$175	308	0	+308	open	—	05-26 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$165	392	0	+392	Down	$-165	05-14 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$150	266	0	+266	Down	+$116	05-13 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$130	450	0	+450	Down	+$320	05-14 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$100	421	0	+421	open	—	05-26 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$90	141	0	+141	Up	+$51	05-14 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$85	560	0	+560	Down	$-85	05-13 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$57	200	0	+200	Up	$-57	05-14 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$30	132	132	+0	Down	$-20	05-14 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	$-25	05-14 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$24	47	0	+47	Down	+$24	05-14 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$21	74	0	+74	Up	+$53	05-11 23:24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	4	$17	70	70	+0	open	—	05-15 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$5	42	42	+0	Up	$-5	05-13 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 23:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x012242…
05-26 23:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe7d620…
05-26 23:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x80cd7c…
05-26 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2c8ac3…
05-26 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xa027ed…
05-26 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x530dd0…
05-26 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x932f9c…
05-26 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x004f46…
05-26 23:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x52c516…
05-26 23:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xa81ed6…
05-26 23:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1547e5…
05-26 23:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xc9bd34…
05-26 23:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x498818…
05-26 23:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x7f9d27…
05-26 23:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	421	24¢	$100	0xb5a300…
05-26 22:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xd34f02…
05-26 22:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd6be5c…
05-26 22:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x21d893…
05-26 22:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x68c91e…
05-26 22:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xa3f88d…
05-26 22:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc4d475…
05-26 22:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xa4c867…
05-26 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x13f6d9…
05-26 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x02b903…
05-26 22:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7027a6…
05-26 22:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xeee66c…
05-26 22:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x70ea71…
05-26 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xedef8d…
05-26 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb129e2…
05-26 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x531e3c…
05-26 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5c92c2…
05-26 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15f3ab…
05-26 22:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x74c64e…
05-26 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xc79036…
05-26 22:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x71f3d4…
05-26 22:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6cc0ce…
05-26 22:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x84aa06…
05-26 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x56cd28…
05-26 22:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x190d68…
05-26 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0xec86bc…
05-26 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa9d8a9…
05-26 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x3df014…
05-26 22:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x12fb09…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	575	17¢	$100	0xeb8b5f…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0xc34504…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xb3e3c7…
05-26 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0x0514e0…
05-15 22:05:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x9a2344…
05-15 22:05:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x4b5444…
05-15 22:02:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0xd252a2…
05-15 21:56:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	116	34¢	$40	0x943d3a…
05-15 21:55:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xacee73…
05-15 21:55:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x33d70d…
05-15 21:54:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	846	35¢	$296	0x090141…
05-15 21:54:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	154	35¢	$54	0x3d59ac…
05-15 21:54:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	653	34¢	$222	0x457c44…
05-15 21:54:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8d2fe8…
05-15 21:54:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xeaa992…
05-15 21:54:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x774f15…
05-15 21:54:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x5c239f…
05-15 01:16:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3aa4d8…
05-15 00:55:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7d223e…
05-15 00:14:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x3bd77f…
05-14 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x8acd1e…
05-14 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0cd231…
05-14 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xd3eec7…
05-14 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa0f06e…
05-14 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	206	48¢	$100	0x4b7bdf…
05-14 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x469837…
05-14 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0xf78b04…
05-14 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0x74e469…
05-14 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4b616b…
05-14 00:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc56f96…
05-14 00:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64b5e6…
05-14 00:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x447248…
05-14 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x96cfc3…
05-14 00:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xde9283…
05-14 00:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x16b692…
05-14 00:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	165	39¢	$65	0x505092…
05-14 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x87a994…
05-14 00:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xc352c3…
05-14 00:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9051b2…
05-14 00:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x01f4b1…
05-14 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x3f9330…
05-14 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x520b31…
05-14 00:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x721ceb…
05-14 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0x417d3f…
05-14 00:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x6055e9…
05-14 00:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0x7480fd…
05-14 00:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x0f6bd4…
05-13 21:32:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xb80824…
05-13 21:32:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	527	76¢	$400	0x392891…
05-13 21:30:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0xf64200…
05-13 20:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x4f364c…
05-13 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x735c9a…
05-13 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x5b5300…
05-13 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	327	8¢	$25	0x0a7b65…
05-13 20:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0x5f7f76…
05-13 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x259c0a…
05-13 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x8aecb7…