Insignificant-Nod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

1,201

Trades

8,147

lifetime

Volume

$201.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-30 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 99% $-1

Other

22% 100% +$5

Sports

12% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 533 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No		+6	$13	5¢	$0	$-13	06-27 15:39
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+0	$8	90¢	$0	$-8	06-28 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$4.6K	3,405	3,405	+0	open	—	05-29 07:22
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	8	$3.2K	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	16	$2.9K	2,197	2,197	+0	open	—	05-29 23:18
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	4	$2.3K	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	05-31 21:52
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.9K	1,634	1,634	+0	open	—	05-28 10:30
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.6K	2,056	2,056	+0	open	—	05-29 09:30
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	2	$1.6K	1,597	1,597	+0	open	—	05-31 17:05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	4	$1.5K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	05-30 14:30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$1.4K	1,200	852	+348	open	—	05-31 15:17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	2	$1.3K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	05-31 17:40
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$1.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	05-30 22:45
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	2	$1.2K	678	678	+0	open	—	06-18 17:34
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	2	$1.2K	1,188	1,188	+0	open	—	05-28 23:52
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-01 22:37
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	2	$1.1K	617	617	+0	open	—	05-31 19:10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$1.1K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	05-31 01:40
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	4	$1.1K	1,078	1,078	+0	open	—	05-28 14:30
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	8	$1.0K	665	665	+0	open	—	05-31 07:49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-30 05:23
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$985	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	06-13 12:56
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$969	584	584	+0	open	—	06-01 13:38
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	11	$958	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	05-30 14:14
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	3	$936	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-12 13:21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$904	718	718	+0	open	—	05-29 10:50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$882	723	723	+0	open	—	05-29 07:05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$876	789	789	+0	open	—	05-28 03:34
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	2	$860	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 00:30
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 first half total 2pt5	2	$845	500	500	+0	open	—	06-18 21:30
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 8pt5	2	$821	855	855	+0	open	—	06-13 10:29
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	4	$774	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	05-28 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:04:52	btc updown 5m 1782842400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd95e1d…
06-30 17:40:01	eth updown 5m 1782840900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde7036…
06-30 17:39:14	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	SELL	241	24¢	$58	0xec8664…
06-30 17:34:40	btc updown 5m 1782840600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15721a…
06-30 17:32:58	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9e7724…
06-30 17:32:01	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xf8ca1b…
06-30 17:13:01	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa15431…
06-30 17:04:44	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x066b4c…
06-30 16:59:16	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x14c470…
06-30 16:54:19	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x82e24e…
06-30 16:39:50	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa23cc…
06-30 16:35:17	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e2fed…
06-30 16:30:47	btc updown 15m 1782836100	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd925c1…
06-30 16:13:28	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x07143f…
06-30 16:06:50	will elena rybakina advance to the final in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629194614474	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x334c4a…
06-30 16:05:38	will coco gauff advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336847	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x34a7ed…
06-30 16:05:37	will coco gauff advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336847	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x69cef3…
06-30 16:04:41	btc updown 5m 1782835200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x513c14…
06-30 15:59:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x036a4e…
06-30 15:54:44	btc updown 5m 1782834600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05adf8…
06-30 15:45:38	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	234	65¢	$152	0xab24b1…
06-30 15:39:02	btc updown 5m 1782833700	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6d2f1c…
06-30 15:34:32	btc updown 5m 1782833400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7a242…
06-30 15:31:38	eth updown 5m 1782833100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56623c…
06-30 15:30:28	will iga swiatek advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336879	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xfa35ab…
06-30 15:24:38	btc updown 5m 1782832800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23bbac…
06-30 15:20:05	btc updown 5m 1782832500	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x27c0e7…
06-30 15:09:59	eth updown 5m 1782831900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4fc61f…
06-30 15:09:56	btc updown 5m 1782831900	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xffecb7…
06-30 15:04:47	eth updown 5m 1782831600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98c722…
06-30 15:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782831600	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x2f4e34…
06-30 14:59:52	eth updown 5m 1782831300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82f6b3…
06-30 14:59:34	btc updown 5m 1782831300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ee50a…
06-30 14:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782831000	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe5104e…
06-30 14:24:23	will elena rybakina advance to the final in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629194614474	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x0d6203…
06-30 14:24:11	btc updown 5m 1782829200	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfd31ae…
06-30 14:19:59	eth updown 5m 1782828900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87bfc6…
06-30 14:14:59	eth updown 5m 1782828600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd256e4…
06-30 14:09:55	btc updown 5m 1782828300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2aab3d…
06-30 13:54:59	btc updown 5m 1782827400	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f4e3a…
06-30 13:52:07	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x6ad79a…
06-30 13:49:37	btc updown 5m 1782827100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x660232…
06-30 13:44:56	btc updown 15m 1782826200	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x185321…
06-30 13:43:14	will belinda bencic advance to the quarterfinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193336832	Yes	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x4bb169…
06-30 13:39:49	eth updown 5m 1782826500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f41ac…
06-30 13:36:32	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x940ad2…
06-30 13:24:44	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1651a…
06-30 12:44:53	eth updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8ed6a7…
06-30 12:44:53	eth updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x890a9f…
06-30 12:44:50	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0b24bb…
06-30 12:39:59	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0x199dc2…
06-30 12:39:49	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x257335…
06-30 12:34:41	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2df562…
06-30 12:34:35	eth updown 5m 1782822600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3be7aa…
06-30 11:39:41	btc updown 5m 1782819300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab32e4…
06-30 11:35:16	btc updown 5m 1782819000	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x3e2f33…
06-30 11:21:47	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x337642…
06-30 11:10:02	btc updown 5m 1782817500	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf59eb6…
06-30 11:00:26	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x58b91f…
06-30 09:49:56	btc updown 5m 1782812700	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x55b79a…
06-30 09:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782811200	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa70aca…
06-30 08:59:59	eth updown 15m 1782809100	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x445e37…
06-30 08:39:16	btc updown 5m 1782808500	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcaa230…
06-30 07:43:25	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	210	5¢	$11	0xa98cad…
06-30 07:39:49	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbda7ad…
06-30 07:29:41	btc updown 5m 1782804300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f88cd…
06-30 07:11:13	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$1	0x34b775…
06-30 07:09:22	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x624ab2…
06-30 06:40:07	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2b4f7c…
06-30 06:14:47	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x9dbe2a…
06-30 06:09:56	btc updown 5m 1782799500	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e746c…
06-30 05:54:37	btc updown 5m 1782798600	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2ae1df…
06-30 05:39:47	btc updown 5m 1782797700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1b9f3…
06-30 05:24:25	btc updown 5m 1782796800	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xc6cc4b…
06-30 05:14:49	btc updown 5m 1782796200	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x504152…
06-30 05:04:59	btc updown 5m 1782795600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x53de19…
06-30 04:54:31	btc updown 5m 1782795000	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x20ad53…
06-30 04:49:29	btc updown 5m 1782794700	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3be810…
06-30 04:08:59	btc updown 5m 1782792300	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4ba896…
06-30 03:59:13	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	SELL	125	33¢	$41	0x4f7f4f…
06-30 03:49:32	btc updown 5m 1782791100	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc456f1…
06-30 03:32:01	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	No	BUY	120	37¢	$44	0x1e1d51…
06-30 03:30:01	btc updown 5m 1782789900	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc8c4ff…
06-30 03:24:13	btc updown 5m 1782789600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xf4dfef…
06-30 03:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782788700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9f248…
06-30 02:59:11	btc updown 5m 1782788100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x05f1ba…
06-30 02:40:08	btc updown 5m 1782786900	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x17df7c…
06-30 02:29:53	btc updown 5m 1782786300	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x591ab3…
06-30 02:26:52	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0xfb87de…
06-30 02:26:52	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	138	33¢	$46	0x592a6f…
06-30 02:26:50	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$6	0xc6fc6f…
06-30 02:20:32	btc updown 5m 1782785700	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa49e32…
06-30 02:13:35	btc updown 5m 1782785400	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x121784…
06-30 01:44:53	btc updown 5m 1782783600	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0a339e…
06-30 01:34:37	btc updown 5m 1782783000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79a40c…
06-30 01:29:11	btc updown 5m 1782782700	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x633c75…
06-30 01:24:56	eth updown 5m 1782782400	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd074d3…
06-30 01:14:58	eth updown 5m 1782781800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3311d8…
06-30 01:14:53	btc updown 5m 1782781800	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7c3fed…
06-30 01:05:38	btc updown 5m 1782781200	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x05a2fa…