Insignificant-Nod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

10,858

Trades

14,921

lifetime

Volume

$387.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-26 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 96% -$128

Sports

33% 26% -$1,189

Other

17% 81% -$738

Politics

1% 33% -$18

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 502 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		+60	$17	0¢	$0	-$16	07-26 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	163	$20.5K	17,260	17,246	+14	No	-$29	07-03 03:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	154	$17.3K	14,482	14,482	+0	No	-$22	07-14 19:01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	91	$10.0K	7,996	7,993	+3	Yes	-$16	07-07 16:47
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	91	$7.4K	7,926	7,924	+2	No	-$43	07-08 20:13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$4.6K	3,405	3,405	+0	Dplus KIA	-$11	05-29 07:22
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	50	$4.6K	4,511	4,511	+0	Yes	+$272	07-08 18:14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$3.9K	2,651	2,649	+2	No	-$9	06-30 01:05
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	71	$3.5K	3,051	2,841	+210	Yes	-$163	07-18 22:06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	8	$3.2K	2,293	2,293	+0	Team WE	+$0	06-01 07:24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	16	$2.9K	2,197	2,197	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$192	05-29 23:18
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	2	$2.8K	1,746	1,746	+0	No	+$0	06-12 02:25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$2.4K	1,980	1,980	+0	No	-$13	07-07 19:32
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	4	$2.3K	1,501	1,501	+0	NRG	-$30	05-31 21:52
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.2K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	+$1	06-16 20:56
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$2.0K	2,154	1,904	+250	No	-$33	07-18 23:24
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.9K	1,634	1,634	+0	T1	-$21	05-28 10:30
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	45	$1.9K	1,460	1,359	+100	No	-$9	07-25 06:26
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	38	$1.8K	1,705	1,705	+0	Yes	-$15	07-12 18:12
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	29	$1.8K	1,870	1,870	+0	Yes	-$18	07-15 14:57
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$1.7K	1,616	1,616	+0	No	-$4	07-19 21:25
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.6K	2,056	2,056	+0	Gen.G	-$21	05-29 09:30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	3	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$9	05-31 15:17
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	2	$1.6K	1,597	1,597	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	05-31 17:05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	4	$1.5K	1,022	1,022	+0	Karmine Corp	-$20	05-30 14:30
Portugal leading at halftime?	19	$1.4K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	+$21	06-17 16:30
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$1.4K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	-$29	06-24 20:15
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	18	$1.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	Yes	-$5	07-12 02:45
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	2	$1.3K	1,001	1,001	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$20	05-31 17:40
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$1.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	Chicago Cubs	-$23	05-30 22:45
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	2	$1.2K	678	678	+0	Messi	-$27	06-18 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcce7ab…
10-26 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6a6d0e…
10-26 17:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa34ce0…
10-26 17:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2a3bd1…
10-26 16:55:00	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaca06b…
10-26 16:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x518a31…
10-26 15:19:51	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xda4d69…
10-26 13:29:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1bd27f…
10-26 13:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x16dfe0…
10-26 13:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xce5951…
10-26 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf18c85…
10-26 12:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x27026d…
10-26 12:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1f6884…
10-26 12:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5615d0…
10-26 12:20:14	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf18cf…
10-26 10:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6649ab…
10-26 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5b3ce0…
10-26 09:54:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf77343…
10-26 08:44:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xccf90c…
10-26 08:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd1f180…
10-26 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcdb151…
10-26 08:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8a96a6…
10-26 08:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x360d6a…
10-26 06:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc618f3…
10-26 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x48d017…
10-26 06:14:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x00a5e8…
10-26 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6fd1e1…
10-26 06:04:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x474749…
10-26 04:59:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc69108…
10-26 04:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaf50a5…
10-26 03:59:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc7a380…
10-26 03:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4960fa…
10-26 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb59f6f…
10-26 02:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xcdaf71…
10-26 02:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0eb08a…
10-26 02:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1900ce…
10-26 02:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb1d969…
10-26 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf8d4cf…
10-26 01:01:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x1d9b9d…
10-26 00:48:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaa6656…
10-26 00:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x14479d…
10-26 00:05:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9803e…
10-26 00:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa69683…
10-26 00:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x543d00…
10-26 00:00:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xcf6118…
10-26 00:00:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8f1221…
10-26 00:00:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x665dea…
10-26 00:00:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0278b4…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe422d6…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xde94ef…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd6c1fb…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xc70b6a…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x74afa5…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5457d7…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x505d74…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x32b542…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1c0058…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x087fa3…
10-25 21:39:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x457cf7…
10-25 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeee391…
10-25 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0b6aef…
10-25 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b9ecd…
10-25 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x616505…
10-25 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x536e95…
10-25 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x55afb6…
10-25 17:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeca6db…
10-25 17:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x72b4f2…
10-25 17:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb32529…
10-25 17:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x6d22bd…
10-25 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9d0596…
10-25 17:29:33	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x432bff…
10-25 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x704b5a…
10-25 16:34:38	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4ae769…
10-25 16:24:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc3e680…
10-25 16:03:33	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe2e8f4…
10-25 16:03:32	Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 19-25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8370da…
10-25 16:00:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe8abdf…
10-25 16:00:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1e1c9c…
10-25 16:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x175d19…
10-25 16:00:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x10c9b8…
10-25 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x954c88…
10-25 15:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1f42dc…
10-25 13:19:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc8efc7…
10-25 12:34:30	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xefe877…
10-25 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x17ac37…
10-25 10:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbdf2f8…
10-25 10:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xaa6347…
10-25 09:04:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x443ecb…
10-25 07:29:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x707681…
10-25 04:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xfc5b2b…
10-25 04:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x7e8d18…
10-25 03:04:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb0ac22…
10-25 02:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcd887a…
10-25 02:17:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf836c5…
10-25 02:17:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84628d…
10-25 02:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x323328…
10-25 00:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e8c5f…
10-24 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xbd7485…
10-24 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x1b2f2b…
10-24 21:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2bd233…