Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$38,945
Trades
4,369
Unique wallets
805
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-26 00:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.4¢
(top1%: 27% YES on $21.6K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $35.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 153 | $5.8K | $18.4K | $12.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 203 | $1.7K | $4.5K | $2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 214 | $1.3K | $2.0K | $718 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 235 | $651 | $1.1K | $493 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 155 | $5.8K | $15.8K | $10.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 98 | $796 | $1.3K | $487 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 60 | $148 | $863 | $715 |
| Median | 70 | $224 | $536 | $312 |
| Below median | 184 | $535 | $1.1K | $574 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 78 | $249 | $3.1K | $2.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 108 | $787 | $2.0K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 52 | $834 | $1.3K | $456 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +2,656 | $2,629 | $2,629 | 4 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x83d4…c5ff | Up | +2,500 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe327…f1a8 | Up | +2,500 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | +2,426 | $2,423 | $2,423 | 8 | 10-26 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9d1…ddeb | Up | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 00:05 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,500 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 5 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,392 | $401 | $401 | 110 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +1,287 | $686 | $686 | 43 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,274 | $509 | $509 | 103 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,195 | $678 | $678 | 56 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +1,136 | $489 | $489 | 43 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,031 | $464 | $464 | 52 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +981 | $582 | $582 | 78 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +938 | $397 | $397 | 33 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +917 | $363 | $363 | 85 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +830 | $496 | $496 | 37 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +783 | $263 | $263 | 57 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +688 | $409 | $409 | 42 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +523 | $293 | $293 | 34 | 10-26 00:02 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +515 | $215 | $215 | 49 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x52b5…4057 | Up | +513 | $248 | $248 | 25 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +505 | $155 | $155 | 16 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 5 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +436 | $432 | $432 | 6 | 10-26 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8de…70f1 | Down | +400 | $372 | $372 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +397 | $296 | $296 | 11 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +394 | $155 | $155 | 33 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +370 | $43 | $43 | 12 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b1…9623 | Down | +357 | $318 | $318 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x18b8…c368 | Up | +355 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +352 | $195 | $195 | 30 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +352 | $152 | $152 | 22 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +348 | $140 | $140 | 34 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +338 | $197 | $197 | 13 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e59…bd9f | Up | +319 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +309 | $180 | $180 | 31 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fff…9b0a | Up | +300 | $60 | $60 | 12 | 10-26 00:02 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Crazy-Councilor 0xc017…7242 | Up | +256 | $137 | $137 | 22 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 8 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Courteous-Scrip 0x090e…7566 | Up | +249 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | +246 | $119 | $119 | 34 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Up | +240 | $135 | $135 | 3 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd518…2414 | Up | +226 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 10-26 00:00 |
| Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Up | +226 | $114 | $114 | 20 | 10-26 00:01 |
| Posh-Sherbet 0x95fa…66b3 | Down | +219 | $128 | $128 | 18 | 10-26 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +215 | $213 | $213 | 4 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +214 | $210 | $210 | 8 | 10-26 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +210 | $149 | $149 | 10 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Down | +205 | $88 | $88 | 2 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4590…5c5a | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-26 00:04 |
| Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Repentant-Confirmation 0x5195…d864 | Down | +200 | $96 | $96 | 19 | 10-26 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x01be…7c4d | Down | +188 | $186 | $186 | 4 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +185 | $89 | $89 | 23 | 10-26 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:06:15 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1af8bd… |
| 10-26 00:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x78a4…0569 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1af8bd… |
| 10-26 00:05:27 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 376 | 100¢ | $375 | 0x1c81d7… |
| 10-26 00:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xc82f…b8f1 | Down | SELL | 376 | 100¢ | $375 | 0x1c81d7… |
| 10-26 00:05:27 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2ed189… |
| 10-26 00:05:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa54…153c | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2ed189… |
| 10-26 00:05:24 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf4ec77… |
| 10-26 00:05:24 | (anonymous) 0xed13…8f3b | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf4ec77… |
| 10-26 00:05:23 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x2657aa… |
| 10-26 00:05:23 | (anonymous) 0xb6a8…ef36 | Down | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x2657aa… |
| 10-26 00:05:09 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x2c6d3b… |
| 10-26 00:05:09 | (anonymous) 0xd9d1…ddeb | Up | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x2c6d3b… |
| 10-26 00:04:48 | (anonymous) 0xd9d1…ddeb | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbc5575… |
| 10-26 00:04:48 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbc5575… |
| 10-26 00:04:45 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa1643b… |
| 10-26 00:04:45 | (anonymous) 0x91a0…1257 | Down | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa1643b… |
| 10-26 00:04:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xc7ef14… |
| 10-26 00:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x4590…5c5a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc7ef14… |
| 10-26 00:04:12 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x132738… |
| 10-26 00:04:12 | (anonymous) 0x9252…faa1 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x132738… |
| 10-26 00:04:09 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x222a94… |
| 10-26 00:04:09 | (anonymous) 0xc6b9…47ae | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x222a94… |
| 10-26 00:04:08 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1278b0… |
| 10-26 00:04:08 | (anonymous) 0xdbed…875a | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1278b0… |
| 10-26 00:04:05 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 169 | 99¢ | $168 | 0xf2bec2… |
| 10-26 00:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x6c18…54da | Down | SELL | 169 | 99¢ | $168 | 0xf2bec2… |
| 10-26 00:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x6b03ed… |
| 10-26 00:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xd17c…de17 | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x6b03ed… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x209b…4f65 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x7886…0153 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | Buttery-Back 0x5b32…3ca5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | Vibrant-Ladle 0x1529…c927 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 132 | 99¢ | $131 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Up | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x124d2e… |
| 10-26 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x2a43…2974 | Down | SELL | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x819d35… |
| 10-26 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x819d35… |
| 10-26 00:03:54 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x819d35… |
| 10-26 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Up | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x819d35… |
| 10-26 00:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97a7fe… |
| 10-26 00:03:51 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x97a7fe… |
| 10-26 00:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x97a7fe… |
| 10-26 00:03:51 | (anonymous) 0xf8c3…4048 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x97a7fe… |
| 10-26 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xf829…d50f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xffe39f… |
| 10-26 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xffe39f… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x88c88d… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0xb1fd…6f51 | Down | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x88c88d… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa66441… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 201 | 99¢ | $199 | 0xde06a4… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0xd922…e626 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xde06a4… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 2,259 | 99¢ | $2,237 | 0xde06a4… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x4590…5c5a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa66441… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xde06a4… |
| 10-26 00:03:47 | (anonymous) 0xe327…f1a8 | Up | BUY | 2,500 | 1¢ | $25 | 0xde06a4… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x83d4…c5ff | Up | BUY | 2,500 | 1¢ | $25 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 180 | 99¢ | $178 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x17734f… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xbd62…70d2 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x436476… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 341 | 99¢ | $337 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1,302 | 99¢ | $1,289 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Kind-Newsletter 0xfc18…3c01 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x436476… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0xfbb54a… |
| 10-26 00:03:44 | Nice-Nonbeliever 0x80d2…47df | Down | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x17734f… |
| 10-26 00:03:42 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa8db87… |
| 10-26 00:03:42 | (anonymous) 0x13e4…5ed2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8db87… |
| 10-26 00:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x751f…1047 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x42ae3d… |
| 10-26 00:03:41 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x42ae3d… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x1671ed… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 143 | 99¢ | $142 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x4dfa2d… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0xb0eadc… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xb0eadc… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x79e700… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0xb0eadc… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x5971…bec3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xecc2…d7c2 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf513a2… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Down | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xf513a2… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x9d2b…fb2c | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x55fb…188a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xd971d8… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x4dfa2d… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x2dd2…342b | Down | SELL | 67 | 99¢ | $66 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xd971d8… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x2eac…1b5d | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x77f8c4… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x77f8c4… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Double-Patty 0x0ee4…6bbd | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x5ebd…7c04 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf513a2… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Courteous-Scrip 0x090e…7566 | Up | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf513a2… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x1671ed… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xc397…97c3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa40211… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Green-Ephemera 0xdd1c…3f79 | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf513a2… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x79e700… |
| 10-26 00:03:39 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x4dfa2d… |