Repentant-Confirmation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

62,082

Trades

566,275

lifetime

Volume

$4.87M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$46,453

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 7112 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	—	+60	$43	100¢	$60	+$17	10-30 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	194	$3.9K	6,081	+6,081	Up	-$634	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:20 UTC	51	$2.6K	3,726	+3,726	Up	+$38	07-22 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:45 UTC	76	$2.3K	4,088	+4,088	Down	-$716	07-21 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:50 UTC	50	$2.3K	3,556	+3,556	Up	-$261	07-23 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:55 UTC	53	$2.1K	2,810	+2,810	Down	+$348	07-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:45 UTC	60	$2.1K	3,069	+3,069	Up	-$198	07-22 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	58	$1.9K	3,328	+3,328	Down	-$171	07-17 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	52	$1.9K	2,161	+2,161	Up	+$165	07-20 15:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	66	$1.9K	2,502	+2,502	Up	-$417	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:50 UTC	65	$1.8K	2,784	+2,784	Up	-$1,412	07-22 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	41	$1.8K	2,664	+2,664	Up	+$557	07-16 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	92	$1.8K	2,704	+2,704	Up	-$104	06-01 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	130	$1.8K	3,831	+3,831	Up	-$703	07-24 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:40 UTC	35	$1.7K	2,045	+2,045	Up	-$255	07-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	98	$1.7K	2,739	+2,739	Up	-$571	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:10 UTC	46	$1.7K	2,565	+2,565	Down	-$441	07-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:20 UTC	50	$1.7K	2,499	+2,499	Up	-$52	07-16 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	66	$1.6K	2,461	+2,461	Down	-$871	07-21 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:30 UTC	52	$1.6K	2,632	+2,632	Down	+$300	07-16 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	41	$1.6K	2,917	+2,917	Up	-$16	08-14 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	69	$1.5K	2,484	+2,484	Up	-$696	08-20 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:50 UTC	34	$1.5K	2,576	+2,576	Down	-$69	08-28 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	30	$1.5K	2,836	+2,836	Up	-$411	07-21 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:00 UTC	50	$1.5K	2,584	+2,584	Down	+$473	07-17 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	43	$1.5K	2,647	+2,647	Up	+$453	07-21 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:10 UTC	42	$1.5K	2,441	+2,441	Down	+$384	07-22 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	47	$1.5K	2,659	+2,659	Up	-$301	06-18 18:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	85	$1.5K	2,440	+2,440	Up	-$134	08-27 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	109	$1.5K	2,763	+2,763	Up	-$80	06-01 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	54	$1.5K	2,578	+2,578	Up	+$195	07-22 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x1a013e…
10-30 18:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x1a5243…
10-30 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xeb5392…
10-30 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xb861c7…
10-30 18:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x1f74e1…
10-30 18:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x34ef26…
10-30 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9a53fb…
10-30 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x82225a…
10-30 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1bc901…
10-30 18:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x63fd18…
10-30 18:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x39f2a3…
10-30 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xbaf7c5…
10-30 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x91ec6c…
10-30 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c67a9…
10-30 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x41670e…
10-30 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0b726d…
10-30 18:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x55c228…
10-30 18:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xbe97c6…
10-30 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x749e6a…
10-30 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x44f237…
10-30 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x3a39cf…
10-30 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x39c649…
10-30 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x20a6f1…
10-30 18:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x24c953…
10-30 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x928790…
10-30 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x777016…
10-30 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x5d18b4…
10-30 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x931831…
10-30 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x12ed07…
10-30 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xad5e03…
10-30 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x75682a…
10-30 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x0a03f4…
10-30 18:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x10fd78…
10-30 18:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x10d5ca…
10-30 18:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xc699ce…
10-30 18:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x14c0d5…
10-30 18:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x982348…
10-30 18:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x788894…
10-30 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1cf6b1…
10-30 18:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0xeb1686…
10-30 18:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7890f7…
10-30 18:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xea1d2d…
10-30 18:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x81eb2b…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xff8f8c…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xff6815…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbb1959…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x578a9c…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x51acc1…
10-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c2257…
10-30 18:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x48c5b0…
10-30 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa13e0c…
10-30 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x6ec859…
10-30 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x222dc6…
10-30 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x04a7be…
10-30 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xc6990c…
10-30 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x5865e2…
10-30 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xa79e4e…
10-30 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8d1700…
10-30 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7120bd…
10-30 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x63b08d…
10-30 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x62ba3a…
10-30 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xb4de34…
10-30 17:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x87680a…
10-30 17:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x217b4b…
10-30 17:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb1c860…
10-30 17:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9b476f…
10-30 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcdfe1b…
10-30 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x464f61…
10-30 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xbcb7f3…
10-30 17:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x6524e9…
10-30 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd686c9…
10-30 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x0ebc2d…
10-30 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe74254…
10-30 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5629d1…
10-30 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4ccb77…
10-30 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2ed5d6…
10-30 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x24072a…
10-30 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x739c3e…
10-30 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x58e1ae…
10-30 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2fc821…
10-30 17:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x0de9fd…
10-30 17:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x5667f1…
10-30 17:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf6b29d…
10-30 17:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x113e47…
10-30 17:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x695d8b…
10-30 17:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x31f4c8…
10-30 17:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xcf2f23…
10-30 17:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x182737…
10-30 17:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x719870…
10-30 17:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xf43822…
10-30 17:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1be1f6…
10-30 17:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x28acd2…
10-30 17:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x272306…
10-30 17:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0d3f24…
10-30 17:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x08b6ec…
10-30 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xe6bc59…
10-30 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xd1acaa…
10-30 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xacf022…
10-30 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x96ee1a…
10-30 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x24dfac…