Nice-Nonbeliever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$538

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

8,754

Trades

31,504

lifetime

Volume

$287.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-07 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$489

Other

0% 7% -$51

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	—	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-07 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:10 UTC	8	$751	451	356	+95	Up	+$46	08-21 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:50 UTC	6	$723	373	373	+0	Up	+$23	07-06 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:10 UTC	12	$688	363	357	+6	Up	+$24	07-07 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:40 UTC	6	$556	381	238	+143	Up	+$59	08-21 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:30 UTC	5	$540	331	248	+83	Down	+$3	07-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$496	270	270	+0	Up	+$36	08-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:20 UTC	6	$490	334	193	+141	Down	+$31	08-21 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	13	$480	318	318	+0	Up	+$20	08-23 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$480	513	0	+513	Down	+$33	05-02 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:20 UTC	13	$450	248	248	+0	Down	+$40	08-21 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 04:55 UTC	6	$430	460	0	+460	Up	+$12	07-09 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:45 UTC	3	$420	447	0	+447	Up	+$27	08-21 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	5	$414	421	105	+315	Up	+$109	08-21 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:25 UTC	4	$410	427	0	+427	Up	+$17	07-06 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:10 UTC	5	$407	209	209	+0	Up	+$7	08-21 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$400	438	0	+438	Down	+$38	05-02 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:05 UTC	4	$400	454	0	+454	Up	+$54	07-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$400	412	0	+412	Down	+$12	05-02 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:10 UTC	5	$385	267	167	+100	Up	+$46	08-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$379	435	0	+435	Up	+$56	05-02 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:30 UTC	12	$366	193	193	+0	Up	+$16	08-17 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:25 UTC	13	$356	194	194	+0	Up	+$26	08-21 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$354	186	186	+0	Up	+$14	08-23 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	6	$353	350	88	+263	Down	-$259	07-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$349	225	140	+84	Up	+$13	08-23 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$340	183	183	+0	Up	+$20	09-18 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:35 UTC	6	$340	359	0	+359	Down	+$19	07-08 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:15 UTC	9	$338	182	182	+0	Up	+$18	09-18 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 13:45 UTC	5	$331	260	120	+140	Down	+$1	07-15 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:35 UTC	6	$330	361	0	+361	Down	+$31	07-08 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xd8e00e…
11-07 12:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xba79f3…
11-07 12:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xffaf3a…
11-07 12:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd9c7d4…
11-07 12:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe77192…
11-07 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5ea69c…
11-07 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xad187a…
11-07 12:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4622e9…
11-07 12:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x36370e…
11-07 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8493c3…
11-07 12:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x655a69…
11-07 12:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0e3470…
11-07 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa8301c…
11-07 12:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2d7582…
11-07 12:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9f06ef…
11-07 12:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa73f15…
11-07 12:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2fd6e9…
11-07 12:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9bae03…
11-07 12:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0095ff…
11-07 12:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf17ad8…
11-07 12:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x87f9d5…
11-07 12:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x527c36…
11-07 12:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x70db12…
11-07 12:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf1e536…
11-07 12:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8b1fd5…
11-07 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x338225…
11-07 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe2e65b…
11-07 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xa839ab…
11-07 12:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xfee704…
11-07 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xefae8e…
11-07 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9f9d83…
11-07 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeaf3ad…
11-07 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4eabcd…
11-07 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1a61ec…
11-07 11:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x33ca26…
11-07 11:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x62a0b8…
11-07 11:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe0566b…
11-07 11:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcdbcaa…
11-07 11:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x309e2e…
11-07 10:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9b5b11…
11-07 10:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf4c141…
11-07 10:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc01c11…
11-07 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb68dd7…
11-07 02:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x304648…
11-07 02:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfc2a16…
11-07 02:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe9f39a…
11-07 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xfec38a…
11-07 02:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc0c14e…
11-07 02:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf5fddd…
11-07 02:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x949387…
11-07 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdbc05b…
11-07 01:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x17680f…
11-07 01:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x207463…
11-06 16:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbc3ff0…
11-06 15:31:24	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6af69f…
11-06 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0dca1b…
11-06 13:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x41ea02…
11-06 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x362d26…
11-06 13:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x625e67…
11-06 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe6e266…
11-06 05:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x942d60…
11-06 05:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xc43a5f…
11-06 05:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbab021…
11-06 05:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x87790d…
11-06 05:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x106c51…
11-06 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x92c64f…
11-06 05:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x13476f…
11-06 05:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcab447…
11-06 05:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcbc962…
11-06 05:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xa3b256…
11-06 05:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xa90139…
11-06 05:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x6d9d65…
11-06 05:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xec6fe4…
11-06 05:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6b4329…
11-06 05:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5ea42b…
11-06 05:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x5d8386…
11-06 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x2e097f…
11-06 05:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb364e0…
11-06 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x813d56…
11-06 05:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x909bac…
11-06 05:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xbb391c…
11-06 05:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xb8ea13…
11-06 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xafc2ba…
11-06 05:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0ba90c…
11-06 05:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2fd072…
11-06 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa81c32…
11-06 05:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe1e2e8…
11-06 05:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x021d04…
11-06 05:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xcfccc5…
11-06 05:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd53978…
11-06 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x874871…
11-06 05:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3a21d5…
11-06 05:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x95b40f…
11-06 05:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb5d3e7…
11-06 05:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd707b8…
11-06 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x11d98f…
11-06 05:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x955297…
11-06 05:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e2942…
11-06 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xfe924f…
11-06 05:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5ae148…