Nice-Nonbeliever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$745

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

8,667

Trades

31,128

lifetime

Volume

$283.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-05 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$696

Other

0% 7% -$51

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:10 UTC	8	$751	451	356	+95	Up	+$46	08-21 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:50 UTC	6	$723	373	373	+0	Up	+$23	07-06 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:10 UTC	12	$688	363	357	+6	Up	+$24	07-07 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:40 UTC	6	$556	381	238	+143	Up	+$59	08-21 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:30 UTC	5	$540	331	248	+83	Down	+$3	07-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$496	270	270	+0	Up	+$36	08-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:20 UTC	6	$490	334	193	+141	Down	+$31	08-21 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	13	$480	318	318	+0	Up	+$20	08-23 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$480	513	0	+513	Down	+$33	05-02 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:20 UTC	13	$450	248	248	+0	Down	+$40	08-21 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 04:55 UTC	6	$430	460	0	+460	Up	+$12	07-09 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:45 UTC	3	$420	447	0	+447	Up	+$27	08-21 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	5	$414	421	105	+315	Up	+$109	08-21 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:25 UTC	4	$410	427	0	+427	Up	+$17	07-06 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:10 UTC	5	$407	209	209	+0	Up	+$7	08-21 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$400	438	0	+438	Down	+$38	05-02 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:05 UTC	4	$400	454	0	+454	Up	+$54	07-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$400	412	0	+412	Down	+$12	05-02 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:10 UTC	5	$385	267	167	+100	Up	+$46	08-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$379	435	0	+435	Up	+$56	05-02 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:30 UTC	12	$366	193	193	+0	Up	+$16	08-17 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:25 UTC	13	$356	194	194	+0	Up	+$26	08-21 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$354	186	186	+0	Up	+$14	08-23 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	6	$353	350	88	+263	Down	-$259	07-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$349	225	140	+84	Up	+$13	08-23 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$340	183	183	+0	Up	+$20	09-18 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:35 UTC	6	$340	359	0	+359	Down	+$19	07-08 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:15 UTC	9	$338	182	182	+0	Up	+$18	09-18 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 13:45 UTC	5	$331	260	120	+140	Down	+$1	07-15 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:35 UTC	6	$330	361	0	+361	Down	+$31	07-08 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0xa4a7df…
11-05 01:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf28ec1…
11-05 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa65910…
11-05 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x232c15…
11-05 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xef5d63…
11-05 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1552ca…
11-05 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xba1dbd…
11-05 01:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xcf64d8…
11-05 01:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x6a0e1b…
11-05 01:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x0f86bd…
11-05 01:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x32fbdb…
11-05 01:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x7ee582…
11-05 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc7a115…
11-05 01:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x63cd13…
11-05 01:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xfd9ca4…
11-05 01:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6d84b0…
11-05 01:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xde6563…
11-05 01:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x90577d…
11-05 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x07257e…
11-05 01:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xefd9d9…
11-05 01:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x16c875…
11-05 01:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd934ce…
11-05 01:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x300539…
11-05 01:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x12dedf…
11-05 01:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x910770…
11-05 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x8ff6c6…
11-05 01:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x9885b6…
11-05 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x014697…
11-05 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xab266d…
11-05 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x23a15a…
11-05 00:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0029cd…
11-05 00:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2913ec…
11-05 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3d3e6e…
11-05 00:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x024662…
11-05 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x2095d6…
11-05 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc5cfe2…
11-05 00:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4fe8b8…
11-05 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xca1eaa…
11-05 00:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x695898…
11-05 00:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x749295…
11-05 00:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xcb5daa…
11-05 00:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xcd8a0a…
11-05 00:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x200dcb…
11-05 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd6d592…
11-05 00:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4f6e3f…
11-05 00:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x58ab30…
11-05 00:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x93138e…
11-05 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6ec93f…
11-05 00:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x37f62f…
11-05 00:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa2edcd…
11-05 00:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x631d2a…
11-05 00:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x37c4f9…
11-05 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xedf919…
11-05 00:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x9b5359…
11-05 00:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x0f4206…
11-05 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x804b5d…
11-05 00:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa36848…
11-05 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4539b0…
11-05 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1dfa7e…
11-05 00:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x67e3ca…
11-05 00:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x14cef8…
11-05 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd6448a…
11-05 00:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xe9a070…
11-05 00:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x338b25…
11-05 00:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x081e25…
11-05 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x4a4e43…
11-05 00:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x48899c…
11-05 00:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xeeef29…
11-05 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2405f9…
11-05 00:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4bcca4…
11-05 00:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2104fd…
11-05 00:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb3beaa…
11-04 23:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3599cc…
11-04 23:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x4c378c…
11-04 23:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x906c13…
11-04 23:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcf5c40…
11-04 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x010fc0…
11-04 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x817800…
11-04 23:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xacded6…
11-04 23:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xea14d4…
11-04 23:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x2abb22…
11-04 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x056cad…
11-04 23:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaa67ee…
11-04 23:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa3604a…
11-04 23:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x3490c5…
11-04 23:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x70c30a…
11-04 23:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x1028f3…
11-04 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd62f85…
11-04 23:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8b3dfa…
11-04 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0786be…
11-04 23:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaa2f81…
11-04 23:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc98f08…
11-04 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xe3257e…
11-04 23:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe5ee84…
11-04 23:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x60844e…
11-04 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x0fa86d…
11-04 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x019c8e…
11-04 23:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	52¢	$40	0x96d331…
11-04 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xddbd82…
11-04 23:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b6cb3…