Nice-Nonbeliever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$733

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

8,643

Trades

31,001

lifetime

Volume

$282.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-04 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$684

Other

0% 7% -$51

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	—	+11	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	11-04 23:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:10 UTC	8	$751	451	356	+95	Up	+$46	08-21 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:50 UTC	6	$723	373	373	+0	Up	+$23	07-06 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:10 UTC	12	$688	363	357	+6	Up	+$24	07-07 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:40 UTC	6	$556	381	238	+143	Up	+$59	08-21 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 23:30 UTC	5	$540	331	248	+83	Down	+$3	07-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$496	270	270	+0	Up	+$36	08-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:20 UTC	6	$490	334	193	+141	Down	+$31	08-21 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	13	$480	318	318	+0	Up	+$20	08-23 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$480	513	0	+513	Down	+$33	05-02 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:20 UTC	13	$450	248	248	+0	Down	+$40	08-21 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 04:55 UTC	6	$430	460	0	+460	Up	+$12	07-09 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:45 UTC	3	$420	447	0	+447	Up	+$27	08-21 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	5	$414	421	105	+315	Up	+$109	08-21 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:25 UTC	4	$410	427	0	+427	Up	+$17	07-06 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:10 UTC	5	$407	209	209	+0	Up	+$7	08-21 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$400	438	0	+438	Down	+$38	05-02 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:05 UTC	4	$400	454	0	+454	Up	+$54	07-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$400	412	0	+412	Down	+$12	05-02 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:10 UTC	5	$385	267	167	+100	Up	+$46	08-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$379	435	0	+435	Up	+$56	05-02 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:30 UTC	12	$366	193	193	+0	Up	+$16	08-17 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	13	$356	194	194	+0	Up	+$26	08-21 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$354	186	186	+0	Up	+$14	08-23 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:30 UTC	6	$353	350	88	+263	Down	-$259	07-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$349	225	140	+84	Up	+$13	08-23 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$340	183	183	+0	Up	+$20	09-18 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:35 UTC	6	$340	359	0	+359	Down	+$19	07-08 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:15 UTC	9	$338	182	182	+0	Up	+$18	09-18 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 13:45 UTC	5	$331	260	120	+140	Down	+$1	07-15 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:35 UTC	6	$330	361	0	+361	Down	+$31	07-08 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4fb6ae…
11-04 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xf2de33…
11-04 22:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xbf12e0…
11-04 22:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x0dd852…
11-04 22:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xbbbc2e…
11-04 22:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x764d9e…
11-04 22:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x2c36b8…
11-04 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xe52252…
11-04 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe891d6…
11-04 22:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x471e58…
11-04 22:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x7e6e6f…
11-04 22:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xd00491…
11-04 22:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x01c6bf…
11-04 22:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe80bea…
11-04 22:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x996b32…
11-04 22:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x122120…
11-04 22:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe6544a…
11-04 22:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc4b3bf…
11-04 22:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x07a242…
11-04 22:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9c7506…
11-04 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8a884a…
11-04 22:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xc67088…
11-04 22:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xeea1b6…
11-04 22:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0cadb1…
11-04 22:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x356aed…
11-04 22:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x28ef21…
11-04 21:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0f067e…
11-04 20:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x726a8e…
11-04 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd349f2…
11-04 18:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xb09b60…
11-04 16:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4fec2f…
11-04 14:31:12	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd536e7…
11-04 14:30:49	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xffcc07…
11-04 14:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x764664…
11-04 14:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7c9c1f…
11-04 14:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a260e…
11-04 14:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x52b5bc…
11-04 14:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4f9a67…
11-04 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa8c3b0…
11-04 13:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xac53f5…
11-04 13:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xeca6be…
11-04 13:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xe40243…
11-04 13:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xd5a948…
11-04 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb1f22e…
11-04 13:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x662ec5…
11-04 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6aefe0…
11-04 13:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xcdbf62…
11-04 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0x973be0…
11-04 13:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x4b3054…
11-04 13:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3496a0…
11-04 13:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x79a493…
11-04 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x075f53…
11-04 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x784a3d…
11-04 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1cb5be…
11-04 13:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf45e31…
11-04 13:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xbc7557…
11-04 13:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x6f4358…
11-04 13:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x156d55…
11-04 13:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x8d2fa0…
11-04 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x728b53…
11-04 13:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x319250…
11-04 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x10c5d1…
11-04 13:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1f9e82…
11-04 13:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x838d08…
11-04 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe37e6d…
11-04 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb2937c…
11-04 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3ba78d…
11-04 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x69565e…
11-04 13:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x42ac7f…
11-04 13:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x516224…
11-04 13:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5aeb5f…
11-04 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xec024e…
11-04 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5a0c5c…
11-04 13:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x385d57…
11-04 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x414091…
11-04 13:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa4b896…
11-04 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf15669…
11-04 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6f1186…
11-04 13:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1514f2…
11-04 13:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x70ad2a…
11-04 13:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x9ad6f8…
11-04 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x7d0841…
11-04 13:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x41f9e7…
11-04 13:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x258a63…
11-04 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe88875…
11-04 13:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0ef8cc…
11-04 13:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xed0452…
11-04 13:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x252450…
11-04 13:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$8	0xbbd02d…
11-04 13:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7224ed…
11-04 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6303eb…
11-04 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xe41afb…
11-04 13:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x8ab658…
11-04 13:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfde3d2…
11-04 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x436eb3…
11-04 13:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1f3032…
11-04 13:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8f1389…
11-04 13:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xcad449…
11-04 12:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x6ad14d…
11-04 12:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x0f0e75…