Kind-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

10,445

Trades

49,294

lifetime

Volume

$301.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-27 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$4,186

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 947 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:05 UTC	37	$549	345	302	+43	Down	+$92	07-03 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:10 UTC	46	$517	310	271	+39	Down	+$55	07-03 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:00 UTC	49	$507	385	385	+0	Up	-$75	08-03 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	245	$491	633	631	+2	Down	-$8	05-11 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:20 UTC	8	$462	742	20	+722	Up	-$113	09-29 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:15 UTC	21	$435	444	444	+0	Down	+$245	06-25 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:20 UTC	37	$421	346	173	+173	Down	+$94	07-03 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	7	$414	784	0	+784	Down	-$61	09-29 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:35 UTC	21	$413	287	287	+0	Up	+$53	06-25 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$412	635	20	+615	Down	+$15	09-29 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	27	$390	635	241	+394	Up	-$63	09-18 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 08:05 UTC	16	$383	262	262	+0	Down	+$83	06-25 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 08:35 UTC	18	$373	338	255	+83	Up	+$46	06-25 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:25 UTC	22	$371	325	163	+163	Down	+$114	07-03 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:45 UTC	5	$370	600	0	+600	Up	+$30	09-29 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 19:50 UTC	21	$352	508	458	+50	Up	-$193	06-26 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	17	$348	336	245	+92	Down	+$2	09-18 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:55 UTC	10	$344	216	215	+1	Up	+$8	08-03 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 19:00 UTC	13	$341	230	230	+0	Down	+$29	06-21 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:35 UTC	148	$332	962	0	+962	Down	+$71	08-01 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:20 UTC	6	$329	624	0	+624	Down	-$129	09-29 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:50 UTC	40	$321	254	143	+111	Down	+$50	07-03 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:15 UTC	22	$319	289	289	+0	Down	-$81	06-25 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	17	$316	313	177	+137	Down	-$2	09-18 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:25 UTC	83	$310	664	0	+664	Down	-$93	08-01 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:20 UTC	14	$310	196	186	+10	Down	+$51	06-23 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	131	$309	317	304	+13	Up	-$1	05-08 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	5	$307	285	151	+133	Down	-$93	08-03 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:40 UTC	32	$304	603	0	+603	Up	+$2	08-27 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 22:00 UTC	28	$299	425	420	+5	Down	+$89	06-24 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfc1663…
10-27 01:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf306e0…
10-27 01:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1496c7…
10-27 01:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xd7abee…
10-27 00:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x3fd063…
10-27 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7e4303…
10-27 00:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x67b946…
10-27 00:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0xd54951…
10-27 00:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x228271…
10-27 00:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe5eeba…
10-27 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xf36b57…
10-27 00:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x8d807f…
10-27 00:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xc6205b…
10-27 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xd47619…
10-27 00:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x2db661…
10-27 00:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x613dc4…
10-27 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7f2a10…
10-27 00:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe4b763…
10-27 00:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x78b926…
10-27 00:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x057e60…
10-26 23:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8e8ce7…
10-26 23:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x73c142…
10-26 23:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xf3ed1d…
10-26 23:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x212106…
10-26 23:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xd17c8e…
10-26 23:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x7d62d8…
10-26 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xc2361d…
10-26 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xb01322…
10-26 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x9626e4…
10-26 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x61d25d…
10-26 23:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7c1fc8…
10-26 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb95f59…
10-26 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xb56952…
10-26 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xa5a582…
10-26 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0d745c…
10-26 23:18:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6427c3…
10-26 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x86a374…
10-26 23:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x257b19…
10-26 23:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa77a4c…
10-26 23:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x14ab96…
10-26 23:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x2230db…
10-26 23:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2d59d8…
10-26 23:03:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x552443…
10-26 23:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x35afcf…
10-26 23:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xc42728…
10-26 22:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe4f811…
10-26 22:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7640c0…
10-26 22:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbc0355…
10-26 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2e5ea3…
10-26 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x005744…
10-26 22:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xdba0f6…
10-26 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1d7009…
10-26 22:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0bf7e1…
10-26 22:46:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x825e41…
10-26 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa98c02…
10-26 22:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xca960f…
10-26 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x9def4c…
10-26 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x931f28…
10-26 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xefe995…
10-26 22:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xc9f574…
10-26 22:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x26d94e…
10-26 22:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x282db8…
10-26 22:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb61b60…
10-26 22:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1a1a87…
10-26 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2401ff…
10-26 22:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xe18c28…
10-26 22:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x89f374…
10-26 22:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xd5257d…
10-26 22:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xf24193…
10-26 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x149f66…
10-26 22:11:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7dd9a3…
10-26 22:11:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x34d76c…
10-26 22:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x1a0ea4…
10-26 22:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6e5d52…
10-26 22:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0xfe89d5…
10-26 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0xb51b34…
10-26 22:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe01f7b…
10-26 22:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x7674e3…
10-26 22:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe0fa52…
10-26 22:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x24bec8…
10-26 22:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x188ed0…
10-26 22:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xc165d3…
10-26 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0xedd86c…
10-26 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x776775…
10-26 22:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xbc7264…
10-26 22:00:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x108071…
10-26 22:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0xee1bf4…
10-26 21:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xabb59c…
10-26 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xc25ca3…
10-26 21:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x85a458…
10-26 21:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xd01a6c…
10-26 21:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x030503…
10-26 21:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x22b1a6…
10-26 21:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc94dc0…
10-26 21:43:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xc3b02e…
10-26 21:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x0146f6…
10-26 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xef1878…
10-26 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x70971c…
10-26 21:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x95b848…
10-26 21:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x541600…