Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$65,547
Trades
2,746
Unique wallets
734
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-10-25
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-25 11:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $56.1K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $112.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 176 | $2.6K | $96.6K | $94.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 194 | $1.7K | $7.7K | $6.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 231 | $1.1K | $2.4K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 133 | $422 | $521 | $99 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 142 | $2.9K | $53.2K | $50.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 96 | $1.2K | $39.7K | $38.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 51 | $27 | $682 | $655 |
| Median | 53 | $61 | $571 | $510 |
| Below median | 139 | $388 | $958 | $571 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 82 | $198 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 118 | $555 | $2.9K | $2.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 53 | $392 | $7.9K | $7.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x70bc…ca86 | Up | +86,862 | $103 | $103 | 6 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | +26,720 | $26,693 | $26,693 | 16 | 10-25 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | Down | +25,920 | $25,894 | $25,894 | 16 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +9,008 | $8,999 | $8,999 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | +7,007 | $7,000 | $7,000 | 2 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Down | +4,000 | $3,996 | $3,996 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Thrifty-Care 0x1633…190c | Down | +3,899 | $3,895 | $3,895 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Strange-Registry 0xd760…f7f5 | Up | +3,476 | $400 | $400 | 5 | 10-25 11:06 |
| Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | +2,500 | $2,498 | $2,498 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1944…5fb7 | Up | +2,336 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-25 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8a4…c97f | Up | +1,526 | $790 | $790 | 5 | 10-25 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +1,400 | $1,393 | $1,393 | 7 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Everlasting-Aperitif 0x2465…5d84 | Up | +1,348 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 10-25 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x01be…7c4d | Down | +1,260 | $1,259 | $1,259 | 2 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,077 | $922 | $922 | 23 | 10-25 11:06 |
| Harsh-Antibody 0x0d6c…4dba | Down | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +982 | $972 | $972 | 8 | 10-25 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | +947 | $938 | $938 | 3 | 10-25 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd267…390d | Up | +752 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 10-25 11:05 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +743 | $347 | $347 | 24 | 10-25 11:05 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +664 | $54 | $54 | 32 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +655 | $213 | $213 | 33 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Down | +600 | $599 | $599 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +535 | $511 | $511 | 11 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Rectangular-Gaffer 0xe70d…dd35 | Down | +522 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1988…7d42 | Down | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x016d…9a6e | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Unlucky-Crinoline 0x3ff6…d170 | Down | +500 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +443 | $144 | $144 | 27 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +423 | $400 | $400 | 11 | 10-25 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | Down | +421 | $202 | $202 | 23 | 10-25 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 20 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd2…f796 | Up | +400 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-25 11:07 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +394 | $318 | $318 | 11 | 10-25 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f6e…1001 | Down | +382 | $381 | $381 | 2 | 10-25 11:10 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +364 | $253 | $253 | 11 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +359 | $310 | $310 | 15 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Down | +358 | $172 | $172 | 11 | 10-25 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb3…db3a | Up | +358 | $46 | $46 | 4 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +344 | $226 | $226 | 22 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +335 | $24 | $24 | 26 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +301 | $189 | $189 | 18 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 10-25 11:08 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +289 | $58 | $58 | 16 | 10-25 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +269 | $64 | $64 | 25 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 12 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +243 | $45 | $45 | 19 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +222 | $89 | $89 | 7 | 10-25 11:06 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +215 | $17 | $17 | 14 | 10-25 11:07 |
| Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-25 11:07 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | +190 | $48 | $48 | 21 | 10-25 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6567…a39a | Up | +180 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 10-25 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2cf…0169 | Up | +179 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 10-25 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +168 | $43 | $43 | 20 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +147 | $40 | $40 | 7 | 10-25 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x54be…735f | Up | +145 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +142 | $74 | $74 | 6 | 10-25 11:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 11:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x271d…0c22 | Down | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xb05d71… |
| 10-25 11:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x0f6e…1001 | Down | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xb05d71… |
| 10-25 11:10:26 | Unlucky-Crinoline 0x3ff6…d170 | Down | BUY | 494 | 100¢ | $494 | 0xec9e50… |
| 10-25 11:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x0f6e…1001 | Down | BUY | 364 | 100¢ | $363 | 0xec9e50… |
| 10-25 11:10:26 | (anonymous) 0xc82f…b8f1 | Down | SELL | 858 | 100¢ | $857 | 0xec9e50… |
| 10-25 11:10:11 | Unlucky-Crinoline 0x3ff6…d170 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf072bf… |
| 10-25 11:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf072bf… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xf440…eff8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Insignificant-Nod 0x4d1f…6465 | Down | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Down | BUY | 4,000 | 100¢ | $3,996 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xbaa4…8253 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Thrifty-Care 0x1633…190c | Down | BUY | 3,899 | 100¢ | $3,895 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…4dfc | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xc1cb…6424 | Down | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x4d42…23dd | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x3563…2243 | Down | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 6,506 | 100¢ | $6,500 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x3262…d094 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x9e79…c038 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…4dfc | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x6940…1c6c | Down | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Down | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…bdfd | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Absolute-Comparison 0xd2db…ffcb | Down | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Sociable-Physiology 0x452d…f886 | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xe6ec…b446 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | Down | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 1,670 | 100¢ | $1,668 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Harsh-Antibody 0x0d6c…4dba | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x70bc…ca86 | Up | BUY | 2,372 | 1¢ | $16 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x76c5…ca79 | Down | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…dde1 | Down | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xf396…744e | Down | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x223a…03ef | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x70bc…ca86 | Up | BUY | 45,591 | 0¢ | $46 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Down | BUY | 227 | 99¢ | $224 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xbaa4…8253 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 1,670 | 100¢ | $1,668 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xbaa4…8253 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x12a364… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xf412…ce6d | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x0437…13d2 | Down | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x4b19…3ee1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Quick-Witted-Beastie 0xe807…8d4d | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | Down | BUY | 1,620 | 100¢ | $1,618 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2,500 | 100¢ | $2,498 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Down | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 9,008 | 100¢ | $8,999 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | Down | BUY | 1,620 | 100¢ | $1,618 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Cold-Midwife 0xbf5c…cd66 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x63fd…0aa1 | Down | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $180 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | Probable-Burst 0x5008…fe38 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x01be…7c4d | Down | BUY | 630 | 100¢ | $629 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x70bc…ca86 | Up | BUY | 38,786 | 0¢ | $39 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xbb79…125a | Down | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x024c…97ca | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17ac37… |
| 10-25 11:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x0b50…82a7 | Down | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xb55d80… |
| 10-25 11:09:20 | (anonymous) 0xa97c…be3f | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbbac28… |
| 10-25 11:09:20 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbbac28… |
| 10-25 11:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x3dd8d0… |
| 10-25 11:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x0f2b…76de | Down | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x3dd8d0… |
| 10-25 11:08:39 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5e043… |
| 10-25 11:08:39 | (anonymous) 0xf049…caab | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5e043… |
| 10-25 11:08:36 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd3bc3d… |
| 10-25 11:08:36 | Knowing-Vegetarianism 0xf9ee…31e6 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd3bc3d… |
| 10-25 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x46a911… |
| 10-25 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x4cb3…db3a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x46a911… |
| 10-25 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x46a911… |
| 10-25 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5e5d7c… |
| 10-25 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xf049…caab | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5e5d7c… |
| 10-25 11:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x314b…51b5 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x09dad4… |
| 10-25 11:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x09dad4… |
| 10-25 11:08:08 | (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x8d4d6a… |
| 10-25 11:08:08 | (anonymous) 0x70bc…ca86 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8d4d6a… |
| 10-25 11:08:08 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x8d4d6a… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xe21a…44cb | Down | SELL | 195 | 99¢ | $193 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Up | SELL | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $83 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x44f74f… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x2f79ad… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f8b79… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x54be…735f | Up | BUY | 145 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d | Down | BUY | 240 | 99¢ | $237 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f79ad… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x4bd0…00bf | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | Solid-Representation 0x0980…1eda | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x2f79ad… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf7ac9… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3bdb…37bc | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2f8b79… |
| 10-25 11:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Up | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f79ad… |