Bustling-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$270

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-14 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 52% $-1

Sports

32% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	8	$86	76	76	+0	open	—	02-09 06:03
btc updown 15m 1770616800	1	$20	354	0	+354	open	—	02-09 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$11	28	24	+5	Down	+$3	05-13 21:49
btc updown 15m 1770615900	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	02-09 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	7	$10	12	9	+3	Up	+$0	05-13 22:24
btc updown 15m 1770617700	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	02-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$6	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$6	6	4	+2	Down	$-0	05-13 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$5	5	4	+1	Down	$-1	05-13 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-13 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	51	1	+50	Up	$-1	05-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 01:04
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$2	9	8	+1	Down	$-1	05-13 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb168c9…
05-14 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x55375c…
05-14 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc287c…
05-14 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x052efd…
05-14 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x710bfc…
05-14 01:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xdffe44…
05-14 01:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeb23f0…
05-14 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x03f8ed…
05-14 01:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x20ae6c…
05-14 01:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd6875f…
05-14 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13ba10…
05-14 01:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae415a…
05-14 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0581b9…
05-14 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe2f427…
05-14 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x356dad…
05-14 00:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x467765…
05-14 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x956fc0…
05-14 00:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbd5d4e…
05-14 00:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x100894…
05-14 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x2d6ae5…
05-14 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8a70f…
05-14 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc56358…
05-14 00:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb57d1c…
05-14 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x7cc7f0…
05-14 00:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x15b665…
05-14 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x36dfa4…
05-13 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd15fba…
05-13 23:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6007b4…
05-13 23:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xd84f88…
05-13 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3826fd…
05-13 23:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd70635…
05-13 23:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x765243…
05-13 23:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeb04a1…
05-13 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x26a1e6…
05-13 23:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xc52012…
05-13 23:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3eff2d…
05-13 23:13:33	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7dc44b…
05-13 22:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9d00bb…
05-13 22:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcde733…
05-13 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7fea21…
05-13 22:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x07b01c…
05-13 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x70c881…
05-13 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x545094…
05-13 22:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe2f2fb…
05-13 22:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xae2939…
05-13 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xec7e1d…
05-13 22:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x94949e…
05-13 22:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d3425…
05-13 22:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe7c3f2…
05-13 22:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x49b325…
05-13 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x30f459…
05-13 22:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x56d572…
05-13 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7cc2c9…
05-13 22:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x3cb5af…
05-13 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa594b0…
05-13 22:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x81349a…
05-13 22:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x6da6a6…
05-13 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfbd525…
05-13 22:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x2ae2e5…
05-13 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb56a73…
05-13 21:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb32cb5…
05-13 21:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdca11d…
05-13 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb01c7e…
05-13 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1756e…
05-13 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x04c385…
05-13 21:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x150816…
05-13 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7fb527…
05-13 21:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc6d979…
05-13 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x381a6c…
05-13 21:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x040e0e…
05-13 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x02a4d9…
05-13 21:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc85a65…
05-13 21:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x443f73…
05-13 21:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x197c0b…
05-13 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x63f7c1…
05-13 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x783120…
05-13 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x21d74c…
05-13 21:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6b68df…
05-13 21:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x124cf0…
05-13 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xec41cf…
05-13 21:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb6871…
05-13 21:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f28ab…
05-13 21:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xf7ff64…
05-13 21:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x454086…
05-13 21:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x043f5c…
05-13 21:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0ffcd5…
05-13 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x99cdbe…
05-13 21:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7bfcfa…
05-13 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x07d5e4…
05-13 21:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xd37176…
05-13 21:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x34132b…
05-13 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x52116d…
05-13 21:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3f91c7…
05-13 21:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd066df…
05-13 21:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf139c7…
05-13 21:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x920d57…
05-13 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x050402…
05-13 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd5f5e2…
05-13 21:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7c9bb0…
05-13 21:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x35b702…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	37	$17.6K	2,219	05-14 01:19
Handy-Gig 0xa6e0…a0d3	37	$6.63K	1,351	05-14 01:19
Vengeful-Basil 0x7daf…8ca4	37	$6.45K	1,002	05-14 01:19
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	37	$2.78K	848	05-14 01:19
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	36	$1.18K	587	05-14 01:19
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	34	$4.53K	902	05-14 01:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	33	$36.6K	444	05-14 01:19
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	33	$30.1K	2,947	05-14 01:19