Caring-Curtain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$4.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$697

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-06 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 97% +$22

Other

46% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+725	$700	96¢	$697	$-3	07-06 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771866300	2	$1.1K	575	575	+0	open	—	02-23 17:10
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$786	796	0	+796	open	—	03-05 01:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$700	725	0	+725	open	—	07-06 11:22
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$569	686	0	+686	open	—	02-23 17:20
eth updown 5m 1771862400	2	$295	151	151	+0	open	—	02-23 16:05
btc updown 5m 1771862100	2	$241	147	145	+2	open	—	02-23 16:01
btc updown 5m 1771862700	2	$150	198	0	+198	open	—	02-23 16:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-11 17:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$27	26	2	+24	open	—	04-23 00:04
Tunis: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Charles Broom	2	$23	12	12	+0	Pol Martin Tiffon	+$1	05-12 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$18	19	0	+19	Up	+$1	05-14 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$16	202	0	+202	open	—	05-14 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Up	+$2	05-14 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-14 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$12	17	0	+17	Up	+$5	05-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-14 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-14 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-14 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-14 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-14 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 11:22:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	725	96¢	$700	0xcfbd79…
05-18 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xe7d9ea…
05-14 09:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5b7155…
05-14 09:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x92623e…
05-14 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xa93f83…
05-14 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5ba8b3…
05-14 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x98b340…
05-14 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7d8066…
05-14 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb90ee…
05-14 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x7eef0c…
05-14 08:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x23c1a4…
05-14 08:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd9c28e…
05-14 08:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2cb1bd…
05-14 08:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0x1b7ac1…
05-14 08:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x07d776…
05-14 08:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4d516d…
05-14 07:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5831a1…
05-14 06:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x54d30d…
05-14 06:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1bef42…
05-14 06:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x74aa46…
05-14 06:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x93a2aa…
05-14 06:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb84d8e…
05-14 05:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x289b63…
05-14 05:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x25bbe3…
05-14 05:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2b7497…
05-14 05:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x958c87…
05-14 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5b0489…
05-14 05:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x069eab…
05-14 05:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xec4397…
05-14 05:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1bfbb3…
05-14 05:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x37a214…
05-14 04:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x922f23…
05-14 03:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xff8808…
05-14 03:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4ae143…
05-14 03:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xcc3490…
05-14 01:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x150b77…
05-14 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb7aa06…
05-14 01:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1170b4…
05-14 01:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82c461…
05-14 01:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8e25bc…
05-14 01:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x804a8a…
05-14 01:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xcbe608…
05-14 01:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x7b53f8…
05-14 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa262ec…
05-14 00:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1620f…
05-14 00:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb71a2f…
05-14 00:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc86db8…
05-14 00:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf8615c…
05-14 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1da4ea…
05-14 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c3564…
05-14 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcce5db…
05-14 00:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecbf23…
05-14 00:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xfbe6ed…
05-14 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x27cf65…
05-14 00:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6b03ca…
05-14 00:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2251f…
05-13 23:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe58452…
05-13 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1fac4b…
05-13 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae94f6…
05-13 14:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdbef92…
05-13 14:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x67bfa9…
05-13 14:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x495b42…
05-13 14:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6dc269…
05-13 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc706c5…
05-13 13:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4f9c6…
05-13 13:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xddba64…
05-13 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x18a7e6…
05-13 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb4b30…
05-13 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4e77ce…
05-13 13:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbe587d…
05-13 13:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xca50f4…
05-13 13:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1419ac…
05-13 13:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd9355…
05-13 13:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf03f7…
05-13 12:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x621167…
05-13 12:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23b5ad…
05-13 12:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9db9b9…
05-13 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28b7f0…
05-13 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d4e10…
05-13 10:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb0a83…
05-13 10:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5b981…
05-13 10:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe7c953…
05-13 10:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5ffa1a…
05-13 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75f50f…
05-13 09:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9e93e6…
05-13 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdaa874…
05-13 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc54aaf…
05-13 08:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfa9a3a…
05-13 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2f074c…
05-13 08:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xca3adb…
05-13 08:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb73e02…
05-13 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc613ad…
05-13 07:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb7888…
05-13 07:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc88eb2…
05-13 06:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f4d19…
05-13 06:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd03281…
05-13 05:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbbed89…
05-12 17:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf60b23…
05-12 17:30:50	Tunis: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Charles Broom	Pol Martin Tiffon	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2e75ef…
05-12 16:35:53	Tunis: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Charles Broom	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xa121ba…