Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
2,602
Trades
31,932
lifetime
Volume
$313.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$139
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-30 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 45% +$356
Other
15% 44% -$1,596
Politics
13% 31% -$2,104
Tech
1% 31% -$20
Sports
0% 64% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -29 -$29 99¢ $-29 $0 07-22 08:20
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -22 -$19 84¢ $-19 +$1 07-22 08:21
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -20 -$18 89¢ $-17 +$1 07-30 20:58
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -14 -$14 100¢ $-14 $0 07-22 08:24
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -13 -$12 97¢ $-13 $0 07-22 08:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 $0 07-22 08:25
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 07-22 08:26
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -16 -$4 44¢ $-7 -$3 07-22 08:24
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -5 -$4 88¢ $-4 $0 07-22 08:26
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes -14 -$10 28¢ $-4 +$6 07-22 08:24
Rippling IPO before 2027? No -4 -$3 96¢ $-4 $0 07-22 08:26
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 07-22 08:26
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 07-22 08:26
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -2 -$2 82¢ $-2 $0 07-22 08:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 07-22 08:26
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes -14 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-22 08:24
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-22 08:26