Hot-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$210

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

1,585

Trades

40,225

lifetime

Volume

$171.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-03 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$214

Other

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	58	$1.2K	857	844	+13	Down	+$3	05-12 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	120	$1.2K	1,196	1,196	+0	Up	-$28	05-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	103	$1.1K	1,039	985	+53	Down	-$61	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	105	$1.1K	1,064	961	+103	Up	+$39	05-12 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	73	$1.1K	781	781	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	95	$857	865	848	+16	Up	-$41	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	41	$777	670	510	+160	Up	+$6	05-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	74	$670	734	639	+95	Down	-$3	05-12 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	55	$662	579	529	+50	Up	+$21	05-12 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	59	$661	629	579	+50	Down	+$10	05-12 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	73	$642	630	510	+120	Up	+$5	05-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	90	$587	650	567	+83	Down	-$20	05-15 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	93	$526	552	518	+34	Down	+$20	05-15 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	105	$523	589	559	+30	Up	+$6	05-15 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	93	$488	611	521	+90	Down	-$4	05-15 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	62	$463	548	368	+180	Down	+$12	05-15 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	79	$456	476	398	+78	Down	+$5	05-15 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	73	$428	429	357	+72	Down	-$1	05-15 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	103	$427	491	416	+75	Up	-$4	05-15 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	52	$424	434	344	+90	Up	-$5	05-15 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	63	$409	419	407	+12	Up	+$5	05-15 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	52	$409	450	389	+61	Up	+$1	05-15 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	93	$404	427	427	+0	Down	+$33	05-12 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	72	$401	439	436	+3	Up	+$12	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	70	$394	397	371	+27	Up	-$13	05-15 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	104	$393	413	330	+84	Up	+$1	05-25 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	73	$393	416	415	+1	Up	+$21	05-15 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	45	$388	361	270	+91	Down	+$12	05-15 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	56	$373	391	381	+10	Down	-$21	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	91	$367	518	353	+165	Down	+$21	05-15 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x19db8c…
11-03 14:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4e59e0…
11-03 14:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xde35ae…
11-03 14:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x91016a…
11-03 14:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x2f8869…
11-03 14:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe04388…
11-03 14:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8ef98e…
11-03 14:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x074a6f…
06-01 15:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2fd867…
06-01 15:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xe4aab6…
06-01 15:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x795d26…
06-01 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x92514b…
06-01 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xaa11e6…
06-01 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xa9bcb0…
06-01 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x970c14…
06-01 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8da268…
06-01 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1832ea…
06-01 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x985270…
06-01 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xedda35…
06-01 15:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x77b20a…
06-01 15:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1da3c1…
06-01 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x034a3f…
06-01 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x278cec…
06-01 15:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e18fe…
06-01 15:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1d7c1e…
06-01 15:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc6bbab…
06-01 15:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xe804d6…
06-01 15:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xb14d57…
06-01 15:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xf32c55…
06-01 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x533cd4…
06-01 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x248c3b…
06-01 15:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xbb34ab…
06-01 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xedcffe…
06-01 15:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4bc373…
06-01 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe7d09f…
06-01 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x24c0e6…
06-01 15:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbbd1f4…
06-01 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x648e2a…
06-01 15:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x627df5…
06-01 15:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x00d288…
06-01 15:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x2e894a…
06-01 15:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x77c2a7…
06-01 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xd99eee…
06-01 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd702f1…
06-01 15:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xc6575d…
06-01 15:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x2a8364…
06-01 15:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf9584d…
06-01 15:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x29116f…
06-01 15:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x3070cf…
06-01 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xdf612e…
06-01 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x9bf57d…
06-01 15:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x9e9a9b…
06-01 15:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x39e91a…
06-01 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xa84fe4…
06-01 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x4bd611…
06-01 15:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8a30c6…
06-01 15:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x72d245…
06-01 15:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x566cd6…
06-01 15:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x09dcf3…
06-01 15:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x33752e…
06-01 15:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1e5876…
06-01 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbf1cbc…
06-01 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x6448c9…
06-01 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x29697d…
06-01 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x5ef74f…
06-01 15:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x4846d1…
06-01 15:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd296f9…
06-01 15:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x102331…
06-01 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x2bfcf1…
06-01 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x4d0ccd…
06-01 15:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf429c2…
06-01 15:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1a98c…
06-01 15:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd348fc…
06-01 15:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfbc2ee…
06-01 15:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xce4a92…
06-01 15:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2c12e0…
06-01 15:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x81d450…
06-01 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xeeed4a…
06-01 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x843a87…
06-01 15:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9b4876…
06-01 15:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x76c4c7…
06-01 15:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x53a4bd…
06-01 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc860b0…
06-01 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc0faab…
06-01 15:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3992d9…
06-01 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x89bcd7…
06-01 15:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x315e58…
06-01 15:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x54af8c…
06-01 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb60ed8…
06-01 15:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x8e916f…
06-01 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9da5f3…
06-01 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7aad52…
06-01 15:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3dcf12…
06-01 15:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x5fd79d…
06-01 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xb44477…
06-01 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xa99ad5…
06-01 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf1e97d…
06-01 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x84bd4f…
06-01 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x4fff6d…
06-01 15:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xe34254…