Mad-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$611

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

4,653

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-09 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 41% $-758

Other

2% 100% +$148

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 1886 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	105	$1.7K	990	990	+0	open	—	05-13 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	47	$462	899	0	+899	Up	$-369	05-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	73	$433	1,288	0	+1,288	Up	$-83	05-14 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	52	$418	690	0	+690	Down	+$47	05-13 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	60	$399	894	0	+894	Up	$-60	05-13 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$372	255	255	+0	Up	+$133	05-12 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	68	$352	953	0	+953	Up	+$34	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	64	$348	955	0	+955	Up	$-148	05-14 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	35	$345	637	0	+637	Up	$-58	05-12 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	37	$342	687	0	+687	Up	$-80	05-12 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	50	$335	645	0	+645	Up	$-135	05-13 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	46	$329	940	0	+940	open	—	05-14 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	45	$323	770	0	+770	Up	$-143	05-13 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	35	$317	541	0	+541	Down	+$118	05-13 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	49	$314	622	0	+622	Up	$-141	05-14 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	50	$309	711	0	+711	Down	$-51	05-12 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	65	$303	799	0	+799	Up	$-2	05-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	74	$294	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	$-96	05-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	21	$293	385	0	+385	Down	+$67	05-13 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	38	$293	723	0	+723	Up	$-105	05-12 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	25	$290	470	0	+470	open	—	05-14 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	39	$284	600	0	+600	Down	+$41	05-14 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	37	$277	526	0	+526	open	—	05-14 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	29	$273	650	0	+650	open	—	05-14 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	44	$271	595	0	+595	Down	+$5	05-14 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	39	$270	435	0	+435	Down	+$111	05-14 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	39	$260	617	0	+617	Up	$-31	05-13 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	19	$241	417	0	+417	Down	+$34	05-13 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	35	$240	670	0	+670	Down	$-40	05-12 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	61	$238	462	0	+462	Down	$-21	05-13 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:51:15	btc updown 5m 1780977000	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcfb2f7…
06-08 08:17:01	btc updown 5m 1780906500	Up	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x9764a0…
06-08 08:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780905600	Up	BUY	1,600	1¢	$16	0x552cd5…
06-08 07:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780905300	Down	BUY	266	15¢	$39	0x1af5c0…
06-08 07:50:31	btc updown 5m 1780905000	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x8aaf57…
06-08 07:45:13	btc updown 5m 1780904700	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xef8c97…
06-08 07:40:21	btc updown 5m 1780904400	Up	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xf9a93e…
06-08 07:35:19	btc updown 5m 1780904100	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xf87809…
06-08 07:30:37	btc updown 5m 1780903800	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd8ade6…
06-08 07:25:21	btc updown 5m 1780903500	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xffe556…
06-08 07:22:37	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x7d5e60…
06-08 07:20:13	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe4b8fe…
06-08 07:16:51	btc updown 5m 1780902900	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbfde3e…
06-08 07:11:49	btc updown 5m 1780902600	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9828ec…
06-08 06:58:18	btc updown 5m 1780901700	Up	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0xfa4fe7…
06-08 06:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780901400	Down	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x5f1535…
06-08 06:43:04	btc updown 5m 1780900800	Down	BUY	136	24¢	$32	0x6ad1f8…
06-08 06:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780900200	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x542594…
06-08 06:27:30	btc updown 5m 1780899900	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x65308e…
06-08 06:21:00	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xdc2303…
06-08 06:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xaf26ab…
06-08 06:15:21	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xfe9c76…
06-08 06:10:30	btc updown 5m 1780899000	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xc2609a…
06-08 06:05:21	btc updown 5m 1780898700	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xf58c9c…
06-08 06:02:19	btc updown 5m 1780898400	Down	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0x78fcb8…
06-08 05:55:19	btc updown 5m 1780898100	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x12b610…
06-08 05:50:18	btc updown 5m 1780897800	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x6c2610…
06-08 05:45:15	btc updown 5m 1780897500	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x67dce1…
06-08 05:40:43	btc updown 5m 1780897200	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x41e756…
06-08 05:35:21	btc updown 5m 1780896900	Down	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x67ba6e…
06-08 05:30:49	btc updown 5m 1780896600	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa8cd04…
06-08 05:25:36	btc updown 5m 1780896300	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xe15335…
06-08 05:20:18	btc updown 5m 1780896000	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x9e187a…
06-08 05:18:36	btc updown 5m 1780895700	Down	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xa83eb7…
06-08 05:11:03	btc updown 5m 1780895400	Down	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x73c9c0…
06-08 05:10:10	btc updown 5m 1780895400	Down	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x75920f…
06-08 05:06:46	btc updown 5m 1780895100	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x6aaa2a…
06-08 05:00:16	btc updown 5m 1780894800	Down	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0xd3634f…
06-08 04:55:34	btc updown 5m 1780894500	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x17c21a…
06-08 04:50:19	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x542476…
06-08 04:45:19	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0xfd534b…
06-08 04:40:37	btc updown 5m 1780893600	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xafca2a…
06-08 04:35:19	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x279171…
06-08 04:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x436afe…
06-08 04:25:28	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xb21123…
06-08 04:20:21	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xa87762…
06-08 04:15:19	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x17e078…
06-08 03:54:09	btc updown 5m 1780890600	Up	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xeabe9a…
06-08 03:42:39	btc updown 5m 1780890000	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5d6924…
06-08 03:25:21	btc updown 5m 1780889100	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xb3b588…
06-07 17:10:15	btc updown 5m 1780852200	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x332245…
06-07 17:06:43	btc updown 5m 1780851900	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x663455…
06-07 17:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780851900	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xb38b4b…
06-07 16:35:31	btc updown 5m 1780850100	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xea4a21…
06-07 16:30:16	btc updown 5m 1780849800	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x9514ef…
06-07 16:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780849500	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x2d4b91…
06-07 16:20:24	btc updown 5m 1780849200	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x0341ec…
06-07 16:15:21	btc updown 5m 1780848900	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x9e5d1c…
06-07 16:10:19	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xbf9625…
06-07 16:09:27	btc updown 5m 1780848300	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x2acd9f…
06-07 15:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780846800	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x8255e1…
06-07 13:07:25	btc updown 5m 1780837500	Down	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x39ecb1…
06-02 08:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3786d5…
06-02 07:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x606618…
05-29 14:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc63526…
05-29 14:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6c997a…
05-29 06:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x314e67…
05-28 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70bf9f…
05-28 14:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x12fadc…
05-28 14:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe14468…
05-28 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc5c7c0…
05-28 13:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x15448d…
05-28 13:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x470e28…
05-28 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe70bd4…
05-28 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf65b7a…
05-28 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa82412…
05-28 12:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc4f171…
05-28 12:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x92d4c5…
05-28 11:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8113a2…
05-28 08:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33438a…
05-28 03:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0cf36b…
05-28 03:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x973eb2…
05-28 03:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0c6fe0…
05-28 03:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2d94de…
05-28 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cdddd…
05-28 03:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x837523…
05-28 03:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xeb96a6…
05-28 03:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ffbef…
05-28 03:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8270ce…
05-18 01:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0xdb6539…
05-18 01:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdb8b3a…
05-18 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xad1747…
05-18 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3d3a78…
05-18 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x377fed…
05-18 01:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xd59d44…
05-18 01:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfef0fd…
05-18 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcb386b…
05-18 01:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x18cfc9…
05-17 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x686dab…
05-17 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x009a29…