Second-Igloo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$824

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

7,878

Trades

15,042

lifetime

Volume

$1.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-21 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 94% +$211

Other

8% 92% -$759

Sports

6% 22% -$256

Politics

0% 0% -$34

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 856 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	13	$16.3K	16,308	0	+16,308	Down	+$16	10-21 01:11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$11.3K	8,074	8,074	+0	No	+$0	06-17 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$8.3K	8,280	0	+8,280	Down	+$8	10-20 21:40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$6.1K	3,391	3,391	+0	No	-$24	06-17 01:04
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	2	$6.0K	6,140	6,140	+0	Over	-$61	05-16 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	22	$5.9K	5,883	0	+5,883	Down	+$6	10-21 00:31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$5.7K	3,378	3,378	+0	No	-$3	06-17 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$5.6K	5,560	0	+5,560	Down	+$6	10-20 13:00
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$5.2K	4,223	4,223	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$84	05-14 21:32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	6	$5.2K	3,885	3,885	+0	G2 Esports	-$73	05-16 14:30
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$5.1K	3,131	3,131	+0	Yes	+$17	06-17 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$4.9K	4,908	0	+4,908	Up	+$49	10-20 22:39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	7	$4.5K	4,166	4,166	+0	Detroit Tigers	-$42	05-15 18:23
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	2	$4.4K	2,984	2,984	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$0	05-16 10:30
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	4	$3.8K	3,281	3,281	+0	New York Yankees	-$10	05-15 22:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$3.6K	5,972	5,972	+0	Yes	-$60	06-17 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$3.5K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$3	10-20 04:29
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	10	$3.4K	3,227	3,227	+0	100 Thieves	-$15	05-16 23:13
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	3	$2.9K	3,041	3,041	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$60	05-14 17:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.9K	3,021	3,021	+0	No	-$47	05-16 11:33
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	4	$2.8K	2,673	2,673	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	-$17	05-15 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$2.8K	2,760	0	+2,760	Up	+$3	10-12 09:59
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	2	$2.7K	2,292	2,292	+0	Team Heretics	-$23	05-15 17:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$2.5K	2,480	0	+2,480	Down	+$2	10-20 05:59
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$2.3K	2,328	2,328	+0	Khaos Williams	-$47	05-16 16:30
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	9	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Down	+$2	10-21 04:44
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$2.2K	1,672	1,672	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$50	05-16 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2.1K	2,060	0	+2,060	Up	+$2	10-20 15:45
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$2.0K	2,615	2,615	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$26	05-14 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$2.0K	1,979	0	+1,979	Down	+$2	10-20 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 04:54:32	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa22a71…
10-21 04:54:30	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x6002c8…
10-21 04:45:00	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x117572…
10-21 04:44:48	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x3cbafb…
10-21 04:44:44	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc4138…
10-21 03:14:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8048d4…
10-21 02:44:30	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe2afde…
10-21 02:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xceef48…
10-21 02:31:35	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xd1ab7e…
10-21 01:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	55¢	$27	0xc36e3e…
10-21 01:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3bb690…
10-21 01:44:39	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e3e39…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeacdc3…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd419c7…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc86e48…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc79ad5…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc12102…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa2352e…
10-21 01:44:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2b8b37…
10-21 01:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	833	100¢	$833	0xee329c…
10-21 01:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x0bbf5f…
10-21 01:19:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24820d…
10-21 01:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb17d2c…
10-21 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe0b076…
10-21 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2be57…
10-21 01:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	704	100¢	$704	0x976c84…
10-21 01:09:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x583b53…
10-21 00:52:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae69bb…
10-21 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc1ebb8…
10-21 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x942802…
10-21 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x7a6c62…
10-21 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x34f0b0…
10-21 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x1fd70d…
10-21 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x640be0…
10-21 00:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeceeca…
10-21 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe97465…
10-21 00:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa60030…
10-21 00:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x69bf7c…
10-21 00:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7d7117…
10-21 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc48d00…
10-21 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6dd634…
10-20 23:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xc482bb…
10-20 22:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	623	99¢	$617	0xb8becd…
10-20 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,380	100¢	$1,379	0x89ee82…
10-20 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d23aa…
10-20 21:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fd02b…
10-20 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a907…
10-20 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	790	100¢	$789	0x594e3e…
10-20 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0xef6302…
10-20 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0x66ef76…
10-20 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0x0de401…
10-20 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0x02346b…
10-20 20:59:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x38e877…
10-20 20:59:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x867da6…
10-20 20:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	519	99¢	$514	0x26da4f…
10-20 20:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcb9fe5…
10-20 20:19:54	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9b98e…
10-20 20:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xcb8c66…
10-20 20:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x351c7f…
10-20 19:09:47	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xee7503…
10-20 19:09:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe871e4…
10-20 19:09:38	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3ba81a…
10-20 18:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x307bec…
10-20 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x50235b…
10-20 18:19:35	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xfd4803…
10-20 17:59:54	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd77af5…
10-20 17:59:54	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3c904f…
10-20 17:59:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x20df5b…
10-20 17:44:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd8aba1…
10-20 17:34:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdd4151…
10-20 17:24:48	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8659fd…
10-20 17:14:35	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xff6149…
10-20 17:14:35	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x84ce09…
10-20 17:14:35	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x616546…
10-20 17:14:35	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x46f54e…
10-20 16:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xd1d7d7…
10-20 16:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x53d354…
10-20 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x5e1f51…
10-20 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,720	100¢	$1,718	0x508f89…
10-20 14:44:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x706e12…
10-20 14:44:42	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd02e9a…
10-20 14:44:41	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7b0c2e…
10-20 14:44:41	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e7832…
10-20 14:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xf84322…
10-20 14:19:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xdfff1f…
10-20 14:14:56	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xd14902…
10-20 14:14:56	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xa30b25…
10-20 14:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x967ab6…
10-20 14:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x7fd0b0…
10-20 14:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcd8563…
10-20 14:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb68dd7…
10-20 14:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x4d6731…
10-20 14:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x1b0fc1…
10-20 14:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc8d765…
10-20 14:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb9fa3d…
10-20 14:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x7c5782…
10-20 14:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x7475cb…
10-20 14:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3d69f5…
10-20 14:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x29f872…
10-20 14:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x1f47a8…