Dead-Dinosaur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$159

Unrealized P&L

-$300

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

314

Trades

8,786

lifetime

Volume

$399.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$3.34K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 89% +$159

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-3,531	$-3,037	94¢	$-3337	$-300	06-09 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 26	4	$8.7K	4,362	4,362	+0	open	—	01-26 18:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$5.0K	0	5,118	-5,118	open	—	05-29 04:30
btc updown 15m 1769403600	1	$4.3K	4,397	0	+4,397	open	—	01-26 05:14
bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	5	$4.2K	2,220	2,220	+0	open	—	06-09 14:56
btc updown 15m 1767479400	9	$3.4K	3,665	1,395	+2,270	open	—	01-03 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	6	$3.2K	1,647	1,647	+0	open	—	05-21 15:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$3.0K	0	3,531	-3,531	open	—	06-09 08:12
btc updown 15m 1767551400	4	$2.3K	2,604	283	+2,321	open	—	01-04 18:44
btc updown 15m 1767655800	6	$2.0K	2,018	394	+1,624	open	—	01-05 23:43
btc updown 15m 1768554900	5	$1.6K	1,692	0	+1,692	open	—	01-16 09:30
btc updown 15m 1768516200	7	$1.5K	1,577	46	+1,531	open	—	01-15 22:45
btc updown 5m 1773144000	5	$1.1K	1,226	81	+1,145	open	—	03-10 12:05
btc updown 15m 1767456900	6	$1.1K	1,172	130	+1,042	open	—	01-03 16:29
btc updown 15m 1767391200	4	$1.1K	1,229	30	+1,199	open	—	01-02 22:05
btc updown 15m 1769695200	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	01-29 14:14
btc updown 15m 1767827700	2	$1.1K	610	606	+5	open	—	01-07 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	2	$1.0K	533	533	+0	open	—	05-20 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	3	$1.0K	527	527	+0	open	—	06-05 14:08
btc updown 5m 1772996100	3	$1.0K	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	03-08 19:00
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1000	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	05-14 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773086700	2	$1000	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	03-09 20:09
btc updown 5m 1773154200	2	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	03-10 14:53
btc updown 5m 1773087000	2	$1000	1,040	0	+1,040	open	—	03-09 20:14
btc updown 5m 1773180300	2	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-10 22:09
btc updown 5m 1773087300	2	$1000	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	03-09 20:19
btc updown 15m 1769392800	7	$980	835	383	+452	open	—	01-26 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	12	$944	962	53	+909	open	—	05-21 23:54
btc updown 15m 1768514400	5	$921	942	21	+921	open	—	01-15 22:15
btc updown 15m 1768506300	10	$903	745	232	+514	open	—	01-15 19:59
btc updown 15m 1767384000	5	$858	1,022	185	+837	open	—	01-02 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:56:15	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	2,220	100¢	$2,213	0xf3169b…
06-09 14:22:21	wti up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x279bd7…
06-09 11:16:07	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xa60bab…
06-09 10:22:01	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0xa0b9f1…
06-09 10:07:39	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc92225…
06-09 08:12:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3,531	86¢	$3,037	0xef7894…
06-09 05:24:49	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xc46c65…
06-09 05:24:46	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	SELL	89	25¢	$22	0x307efc…
06-09 05:24:43	btc updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	98	25¢	$25	0xddb60a…
06-09 03:31:25	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe39d18…
06-07 11:32:21	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x4dc627…
06-06 15:59:52	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xfaf270…
06-06 12:51:37	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x1f7314…
06-06 12:48:57	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xdec8f5…
06-06 04:04:43	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbb528f…
06-06 04:03:19	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x72b868…
06-06 04:01:36	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x4aea81…
06-05 23:28:03	btc updown 4h 1780689600	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x840b26…
06-05 23:27:49	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xaed871…
06-05 16:51:03	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0x2e66f7…
06-05 16:24:37	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x143966…
06-05 14:09:34	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb9a628…
06-05 14:08:57	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	527	100¢	$524	0x333416…
06-05 12:54:31	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0x81e3ef…
06-05 11:36:36	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4e846b…
06-05 10:55:22	btc updown 4h 1780646400	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xa8de95…
06-04 16:34:21	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1240a6…
06-04 13:18:58	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xf477f1…
06-04 12:22:24	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0de63a…
06-04 08:24:25	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x129abc…
06-04 08:22:52	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd4fa00…
06-04 03:44:45	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1c86b0…
06-04 03:24:24	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd009cd…
06-04 03:21:21	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x6a829f…
06-03 23:14:04	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb14121…
06-03 14:47:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb26e2c…
06-02 21:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xaefc7a…
06-02 21:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7501aa…
06-02 18:51:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	513	98¢	$500	0x78221e…
06-02 18:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x7b3e5f…
06-02 18:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xd8eadd…
06-02 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x7cd0d8…
06-02 18:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8c9c32…
06-02 08:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaaa966…
05-30 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xc6f43f…
05-30 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	81¢	$22	0x5f8fcd…
05-30 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x28379a…
05-30 05:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbb6dae…
05-30 04:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x19c2fd…
05-30 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xab124a…
05-30 03:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x555dc0…
05-30 03:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x2239b9…
05-30 03:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x708b8f…
05-30 03:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x20f11c…
05-30 03:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x98d837…
05-30 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x536cf1…
05-30 03:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x34bd53…
05-30 03:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x156b60…
05-30 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x485e2c…
05-29 20:54:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x92daa9…
05-29 20:11:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xffe433…
05-29 19:49:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x819ce3…
05-29 19:43:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	No	SELL	24	48¢	$11	0xa4017e…
05-29 17:32:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x9c45e9…
05-29 04:30:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	5,118	98¢	$5,015	0xabc85d…
05-28 21:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb70b06…
05-28 21:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa5177f…
05-28 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x673da6…
05-28 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0af2e7…
05-28 21:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0a7920…
05-28 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x93bb0c…
05-28 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x37f08d…
05-28 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x8ec47b…
05-28 17:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x718900…
05-28 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x967f0d…
05-28 15:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9df513…
05-28 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x0c57f3…
05-28 02:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1e06f1…
05-28 02:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0x702578…
05-28 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xbf2179…
05-28 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4dc1e1…
05-28 02:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xfe66ed…
05-28 01:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xd33d51…
05-28 01:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea0e3d…
05-28 01:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe38fc0…
05-28 01:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x54a1af…
05-27 23:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xef5eba…
05-27 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd1670e…
05-27 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcd1ec5…
05-27 21:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x659aec…
05-27 21:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf074c8…
05-27 19:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6db0d7…
05-27 19:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x793d81…
05-27 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x83b23f…
05-27 19:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0xd1bfa3…
05-27 19:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xf37efa…
05-27 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0e0aaf…
05-27 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x8b3971…
05-27 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd4863f…
05-27 15:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x0ca7f4…