Dead-Dinosaur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$376

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

7,222

Trades

10,979

lifetime

Volume

$470.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$3.41K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 86% -$899

Other

15% 76% -$2,854

Sports

0% 86% +$174

Politics

0% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-3,531	-$3,037	97¢	$-3413	-$376	06-09 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$10.0K	5,118	5,118	+0	No	+$15	05-29 04:30
bitcoin up or down on january 26	4	$8.7K	4,362	4,362	+0	Down	+$29	01-26 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 05:00 UTC	1	$4.3K	4,397	0	+4,397	Down	+$74	01-26 05:14
bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	5	$4.2K	2,220	2,220	+0	Down	+$213	06-09 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 22:30 UTC	9	$3.4K	3,665	1,395	+2,270	Down	-$781	01-03 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	6	$3.2K	1,647	1,647	+0	Down	+$34	05-21 15:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$3.0K	0	3,531	-3,531	open	—	06-09 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 18:30 UTC	4	$2.3K	2,604	283	+2,321	Up	+$187	01-04 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:30 UTC	6	$2.0K	2,018	394	+1,624	Down	-$122	01-05 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	3	$1.8K	944	944	+0	No	+$42	05-28 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	3	$1.8K	926	926	+0	No	+$25	05-27 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 09:15 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,692	0	+1,692	Up	-$17	01-16 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	3	$1.6K	818	818	+0	No	+$77	05-29 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:30 UTC	7	$1.5K	1,577	46	+1,531	Down	-$7	01-15 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	5	$1.5K	1,034	1,034	+0	Yes	-$473	06-07 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?	3	$1.4K	739	739	+0	No	+$39	05-24 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	4	$1.4K	757	757	+0	Yes	-$48	05-23 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:00 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,226	81	+1,145	Down	+$27	03-10 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:15 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,172	130	+1,042	Up	-$62	01-03 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 22:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,229	30	+1,199	Up	-$21	01-02 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$1	01-29 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 23:15 UTC	2	$1.1K	610	606	+5	Up	+$116	01-07 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 8?	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	No	+$40	06-08 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?	3	$1.0K	538	538	+0	No	+$37	06-07 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	No	+$36	06-07 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	2	$1.0K	536	536	+0	Yes	+$33	06-10 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?	3	$1.0K	533	533	+0	No	+$32	05-30 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	2	$1.0K	533	533	+0	Up	+$32	05-20 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?	3	$1.0K	530	530	+0	No	+$30	06-07 11:21
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	3	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Yes	+$27	06-07 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:09:22	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xfd9852…
10-29 21:49:21	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x9736d6…
10-29 17:24:29	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x3120a6…
10-29 17:19:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xde0329…
10-28 22:44:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xec320a…
10-28 21:59:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x697fb3…
10-28 21:14:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x05b030…
10-28 20:39:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbd1c4a…
10-28 18:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	84	9¢	$8	0x593fd1…
10-28 18:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x99f783…
10-28 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x5d1b5d…
10-28 18:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x72a6ff…
10-28 18:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xbc57e4…
10-28 17:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4f5cd0…
10-28 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x279e4a…
10-28 17:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbc5f3b…
10-28 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbaf0bc…
10-28 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x136c91…
10-28 16:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb6836b…
10-27 19:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9471cb…
10-27 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6de7f1…
10-27 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e905b…
10-27 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1c86cd…
10-27 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd9b30b…
10-27 18:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x39803e…
10-27 18:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x43e861…
10-22 19:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6ece49…
10-22 19:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x86d77c…
10-21 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75aa24…
10-21 18:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1218b6…
10-21 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x53975e…
10-21 18:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe8aa09…
10-21 18:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x89a080…
10-21 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x3e8aee…
10-21 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x255aee…
10-21 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xafd334…
10-21 17:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd76d6c…
10-21 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x059ff9…
10-21 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x8f34c9…
10-21 05:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x17f1d7…
10-20 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xfcf77d…
10-19 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xed0ec8…
10-19 20:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xb4ddbc…
10-19 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x405254…
10-19 20:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6491bf…
10-17 20:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x134b26…
10-17 20:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x370b1a…
10-17 20:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd5e449…
10-17 18:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93b751…
10-17 18:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbb2da0…
10-17 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x146330…
10-17 18:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13d883…
10-17 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xe85cec…
10-17 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x46364b…
10-17 18:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeac93a…
10-17 14:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x12fa0b…
10-17 14:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb9a020…
10-17 00:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	104	40¢	$42	0x3ba852…
10-17 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf08f83…
10-17 00:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x815541…
10-17 00:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3452eb…
10-17 00:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb3131e…
10-17 00:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	126	85¢	$107	0xc8bdfc…
10-17 00:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x8d5a75…
10-17 00:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	120	88¢	$105	0xef3e23…
10-17 00:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x16a0eb…
10-17 00:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x02249d…
10-17 00:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84eb29…
10-17 00:03:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48f0a4…
10-16 23:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x540aff…
10-16 23:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x640ba5…
10-16 23:53:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1706ca…
10-16 23:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf416cf…
10-16 23:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x858d39…
10-16 23:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9e518e…
10-16 23:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x471040…
10-16 23:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xec4733…
10-16 23:31:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xba62b4…
10-16 23:28:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x8a531b…
10-16 23:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1dbdfc…
10-16 23:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x00dde4…
10-16 23:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd9148f…
10-16 23:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6a5995…
10-16 23:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2bd717…
10-16 23:13:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x19b1af…
10-16 23:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x356775…
10-16 21:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8c22d5…
10-16 21:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe8899…
10-16 21:49:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x425c49…
10-16 20:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf2f289…
10-16 20:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe7cafa…
10-16 20:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfb4219…
10-16 20:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ba69f…
10-16 20:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xc306b2…
10-16 20:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd00c19…
10-16 20:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x395748…
10-16 20:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x349533…
10-16 20:22:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe10215…
10-16 20:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x227977…
10-16 20:12:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x85e1b4…