Judicious-Possession — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.25K

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$2.99K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

67% 81% -$1,189

Crypto

31% 100% +$153

Politics

1% 75% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,684	$3,903	26¢	$1.7K	-$2,198	11-05 07:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+442	$351	96¢	$425	+$74	11-04 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,915	$1,458	14¢	$394	-$1,064	09-27 10:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-172	-$158	99¢	$-171	-$13	05-19 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+229	$174	70¢	$159	-$15	10-26 08:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+175	$114	46¢	$81	-$32	11-05 07:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+30	$24	94¢	$28	+$4	09-14 10:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	$27	82¢	$26	-$1	10-26 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837	53	$5.0K	3,267	2,616	+651	No	+$491	02-18 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	11	$4.1K	2,331	2,050	+281	No	+$44	09-27 14:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	8	$4.0K	2,331	1,889	+442	open	—	11-04 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	39	$3.9K	6,684	0	+6,684	open	—	11-05 07:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$1.9K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	05-18 02:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	2	$1.9K	1,767	245	+1,522	open	—	10-26 08:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	5	$1.8K	491	1,506	-1,015	No	-$138	06-24 13:23
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	10	$1.5K	807	807	+0	No	+$23	03-23 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	2,915	0	+2,915	open	—	09-27 10:53
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	7	$1.3K	938	400	+538	No	+$14	03-04 09:15
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	20	$1.2K	975	614	+361	No	-$197	03-23 06:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	16	$1.2K	1,168	1,137	+32	Yes	-$444	06-10 13:18
will bitcoin dip to 52k february 23 march 1	3	$1.1K	1,122	0	+1,122	No	+$16	02-28 14:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	16	$1.0K	630	502	+128	No	+$83	06-18 06:21
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	10	$1.0K	1,142	0	+1,142	No	+$119	03-23 07:49
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	29	$849	859	859	+0	Yes	-$268	03-23 05:13
xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	5	$812	920	0	+920	Down	-$812	09-16 14:04
will sp 500 spx hit 5000 low in march 2026	3	$786	396	396	+0	No	+$0	03-25 01:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	6	$775	918	0	+918	No	+$143	05-21 02:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	24	$622	525	156	+370	No	+$48	04-21 08:24
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	10	$612	657	0	+657	No	+$45	02-16 07:56
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	8	$534	283	283	+0	No	+$19	03-23 06:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	3	$522	576	0	+576	No	+$54	04-07 02:01
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $450 in September?	1	$496	501	0	+501	No	+$5	09-27 07:39
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?	5	$461	540	0	+540	No	+$79	06-15 15:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4?	33	$445	249	249	+0	No	+$23	06-04 13:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$401	418	0	+418	No	+$17	11-03 14:15
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?	1	$392	400	0	+400	No	+$8	10-05 15:01
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	3	$318	168	168	+0	No	-$1	02-09 15:34
will spy dip to 610 by march 30 2026	2	$313	314	0	+314	No	+$1	04-03 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 07:11:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,817	40¢	$727	0xa0f7fe…
11-05 07:09:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	67¢	$84	0x56efd0…
11-04 13:08:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	442	98¢	$432	0xdc0385…
11-03 14:15:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x1c10ee…
11-03 14:14:58	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x77012b…
10-26 08:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	218	76¢	$166	0xde1dc1…
10-26 08:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xf3aabc…
10-26 08:44:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6e9662…
10-26 08:43:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x40a43a…
10-26 08:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfe710c…
10-26 08:42:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	245	96¢	$235	0xb71b7c…
10-23 06:32:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9e71d6…
10-19 00:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,110	57¢	$633	0x15cadf…
10-19 00:47:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xd504d7…
10-19 00:34:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xeaeb99…
10-18 12:29:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	393	98¢	$384	0x604eef…
10-18 12:29:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	295	98¢	$287	0x74c959…
10-12 13:04:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x0fe7f7…
10-09 08:48:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x350af7…
10-09 08:38:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8bb062…
10-09 04:15:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xb4425d…
10-09 04:15:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	62¢	$261	0xef82bf…
10-09 04:15:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	290	97¢	$282	0x021196…
10-09 02:55:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	61¢	$222	0x4de40b…
10-09 02:55:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x8a505e…
10-08 10:30:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	65¢	$141	0xc78dca…
10-08 09:10:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x63ddc3…
10-08 09:10:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x2da6e7…
10-08 09:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x5a9dcf…
10-08 09:05:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xeee4d0…
10-08 08:47:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0xa466f1…
10-07 10:07:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	69¢	$145	0x7dc654…
10-07 09:55:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x432b2c…
10-07 09:43:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x36f68f…
10-07 09:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe588a0…
10-07 06:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xafe69b…
10-07 06:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x32de21…
10-07 06:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc6e63f…
10-07 06:35:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x634bcf…
10-07 06:27:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xdf2291…
10-06 00:51:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in October?	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0xe23ab9…
10-05 15:13:23	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in October?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x3fdec6…
10-05 15:01:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x4f2246…
10-05 15:01:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x35e335…
10-05 15:00:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xa55f91…
10-01 13:53:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x815dbf…
10-01 13:11:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x1b141b…
10-01 08:22:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	69¢	$405	0x0ff984…
10-01 03:50:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	69¢	$147	0x003cd8…
09-29 03:23:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x2303ee…
09-29 03:18:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x090295…
09-29 03:13:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x369712…
09-29 02:51:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x60d80c…
09-29 02:48:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbfe5f2…
09-27 23:37:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0xe80e23…
09-27 22:38:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	72¢	$357	0x47c552…
09-27 20:25:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x062502…
09-27 20:23:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x42b8df…
09-27 15:05:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xb0586b…
09-27 14:48:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	416	93¢	$386	0xedf6b7…
09-27 14:48:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	399	92¢	$368	0xcf1c69…
09-27 10:53:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,915	50¢	$1,458	0xbbc9ba…
09-27 10:29:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	72¢	$18	0xa02a44…
09-27 07:44:26	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5027dc…
09-27 07:43:38	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb09f3…
09-27 07:39:09	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $450 in September?	No	BUY	501	99¢	$496	0x2aef5e…
09-27 02:18:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	400	93¢	$373	0x294a6e…
09-26 20:41:47	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xca9b95…
09-26 14:10:26	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x3dfdc8…
09-26 13:57:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x2d46a3…
09-26 13:43:45	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x530f9c…
09-26 13:42:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xc2fb37…
09-26 13:06:56	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x1dbec7…
09-26 06:34:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	SELL	700	93¢	$652	0xb027df…
09-17 11:24:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x12ba99…
09-17 11:24:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x30b406…
09-17 11:23:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x9299b9…
09-16 14:04:15	xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x3904ed…
09-16 13:56:43	xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x3cff68…
09-16 13:08:24	xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x3fc089…
09-16 13:04:51	xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbc549a…
09-16 12:50:34	xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0xcbc5ed…
09-16 03:46:24	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	206	99¢	$203	0x78eac8…
09-16 03:46:09	will wti reach 140 in september 2026	No	BUY	289	97¢	$281	0xbc4bab…
09-16 01:16:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xad72c5…
09-16 01:15:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0x1585aa…
09-16 01:14:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xc4ec99…
09-15 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xd253fb…
09-15 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	212	98¢	$207	0x46ea93…
09-14 15:09:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	1,767	92¢	$1,626	0x84b7f4…
09-14 13:30:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	2,331	94¢	$2,191	0xe9fff9…
09-14 13:28:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,331	92¢	$2,144	0x24f505…
09-14 11:01:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1d298d…
09-14 10:45:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2700a7…
09-14 10:34:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb30b39…
09-14 10:26:39	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbf5487…
06-24 13:23:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x755f76…
06-24 13:23:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,500	88¢	$1,322	0x2b29c2…
06-18 13:35:37	will googl dip to 340 in june 2026	No	BUY	204	79¢	$161	0xc584bf…
06-18 07:26:37	will msft dip to 360 in june 2026	No	BUY	96	70¢	$67	0xc3c2b4…