Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
28.4%
Resolved
39
Trades
240
lifetime
Volume
$684
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$164
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 08-22 22:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
45% 39% -$56
Politics
42% 40% -$30
Crypto
14% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +39 $5 98¢ $38 +$33 05-01 04:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $27 99¢ $30 +$2 05-07 16:14
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +32 $2 74¢ $24 +$21 05-01 02:28
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No +22 $5 90¢ $20 +$15 04-30 23:53
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +58 $12 22¢ $12 +$0 07-12 10:52
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +219 $48 5¢ $11 -$37 08-22 22:41
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +10 $6 88¢ $9 +$3 05-01 01:21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +8 $5 84¢ $7 +$1 05-03 18:01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 84¢ $7 +$1 04-30 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +18 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 05-07 17:29
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +17 $5 16¢ $3 -$3 04-30 20:30
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +11 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 04-30 19:47