Likable-Bijou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$959

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

387

Trades

1,310

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

55% 42% +$147

Sports

39% 29% +$790

Crypto

5% 72% +$22

Politics

1% 40% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	+131	$2	6¢	$8	+$6	11-05 02:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+46	$10	12¢	$5	-$4	10-07 01:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	+5	$4	88¢	$4	$0	11-04 07:13
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+6	$4	68¢	$4	$0	11-03 19:12
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+170	$5	2¢	$4	-$1	10-31 15:44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	-$2	22¢	$3	+$6	09-21 16:02
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+66	$1	4¢	$3	+$2	11-02 21:59
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+44	$2	5¢	$2	+$0	11-03 08:13
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+26	$2	8¢	$2	$0	11-03 08:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	-$1	14¢	$2	+$3	09-21 09:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+22	$2	8¢	$2	-$1	09-22 00:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	6¢	$1	-$2	08-20 10:32
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+24	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	11-04 13:44
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	-$21	3¢	$0	+$21	09-17 05:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$909	3,511	1,791	+1,720	Yes	+$1,428	07-14 19:21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	3	$348	179	179	+0	Yes	+$10	06-14 18:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$301	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$7	06-05 14:49
bkgr1 oly pan2 2026 06 08	23	$282	169	169	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$55	06-08 19:52
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	34	$269	160	160	+0	Yes	+$48	05-24 20:00
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	1	$254	325	0	+325	Over	+$72	06-17 11:34
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$232	1,763	285	+1,478	No	-$164	07-14 19:47
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$163	1,750	77	+1,673	No	-$155	06-29 18:18
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	11	$122	65	75	-10	Olympiacos B.C.	+$16	05-24 19:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 9pt5	1	$109	153	0	+153	Spurs	+$44	06-08 20:54
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$97	143	0	+143	Yes	+$46	06-16 20:54
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$95	1,750	95	+1,655	No	-$87	06-29 21:27
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$82	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$33	06-20 18:52
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$79	146	0	+146	Knicks	+$67	06-10 23:01
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$78	80	80	+0	Yes	+$72	05-16 22:58
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$63	1,750	66	+1,684	No	-$56	06-25 02:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	44	$62	267	261	+6	open	—	09-17 05:51
atp assche blockx 2026 07 26	1	$58	93	0	+93	Luca Van Assche	-$58	07-26 09:51
atp fery cerundo 2026 06 19	4	$56	92	0	+92	Francisco Cerundolo	+$36	06-19 07:55
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	47	$55	316	54	+262	Olympiacos B.C.	-$49	05-22 16:27
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$53	1,824	110	+1,714	No	-$43	07-11 21:36
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$50	78	0	+78	Knicks	-$50	06-13 22:49
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	35	$44	205	205	+0	No	+$31	05-24 13:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	22	$43	147	0	+147	No	-$43	05-30 17:57
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	1	$42	150	0	+150	Yes	+$108	06-14 19:24
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$39	1,890	167	+1,723	No	-$31	07-10 13:49
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	1	$37	132	0	+132	No	-$37	06-19 19:59
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	1	$37	131	0	+131	No	-$37	06-15 01:27
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$35	1,890	170	+1,720	No	-$25	07-09 02:29
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$34	64	0	+64	No	-$34	06-18 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:11:24	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x4d77d4…
11-05 00:47:07	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xe1cc59…
11-04 21:25:52	Exact Score: PSV 1 - 3 Club Brugge KV?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x728fa7…
11-04 21:06:33	Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 3 SSC Napoli?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xdea60c…
11-04 20:50:12	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x763f7b…
11-04 19:45:42	Exact Score: PSV 0 - 0 Club Brugge KV?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xb13d97…
11-04 19:44:30	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbb2eb7…
11-04 19:44:04	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1a2404…
11-04 19:31:57	FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x974174…
11-04 19:29:09	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xd0f14f…
11-04 19:28:24	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x4203f4…
11-04 19:27:22	Exact Score: PSV 1 - 3 Club Brugge KV?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xe12442…
11-04 19:26:40	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd07557…
11-04 19:25:30	Exact Score: Viking FK 1 - 3 Sabah FK?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x249a2e…
11-04 19:24:42	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 3 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe7c232…
11-04 19:23:37	Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 3 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xa127d6…
11-04 19:21:55	Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xe1ff47…
11-04 19:14:51	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x93a9a0…
11-04 18:44:21	Exact Score: AEK 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x0bd088…
11-04 17:39:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x12c0ec…
11-04 16:51:04	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x45c4cc…
11-04 16:34:27	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xcc4e5e…
11-04 16:27:42	Exact Score: AEK 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xcced0b…
11-04 15:22:36	Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x4694c9…
11-04 15:12:57	Exact Score: Viking FK 0 - 0 Sabah FK?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3577a2…
11-04 14:36:18	Exact Score: AEK 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x75b2c6…
11-04 14:30:01	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbe1fd8…
11-04 14:30:01	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa9379d…
11-04 14:30:01	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0d3a0e…
11-04 14:21:31	Real Madrid vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x7191b7…
11-04 14:14:37	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x703c6d…
11-04 13:44:16	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0xacc258…
11-04 12:57:24	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x41bf6d…
11-04 11:42:40	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x890c3a…
11-04 09:53:43	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x22158d…
11-04 08:45:55	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf173e1…
11-04 07:13:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x734358…
11-03 21:44:33	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille OSC?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xaea6e0…
11-03 20:59:30	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf3aa2b…
11-03 20:57:43	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille OSC?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xb0b1cf…
11-03 19:47:31	LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4b5a1c…
11-03 19:47:31	LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x050379…
11-03 19:12:10	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd348db…
11-03 18:53:16	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd76489…
11-03 18:46:24	Exact Score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfec8e6…
11-03 18:34:16	Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0 - 0 Sporting CP?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x665a29…
11-03 18:11:39	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x6aee8e…
11-03 16:41:30	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x3c5250…
11-03 15:51:18	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x743ab4…
11-03 15:23:16	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7c4c50…
11-03 14:54:39	Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0 - 0 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9d10a5…
11-03 14:50:49	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe3ac0c…
11-03 14:34:57	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x4395e5…
11-03 14:20:07	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille OSC?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa2ebd9…
11-03 14:09:36	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x46ddf9…
11-03 13:58:09	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xdb3a64…
11-03 13:16:01	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb4e869…
11-03 13:09:10	Real Madrid vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x58c741…
11-03 12:06:54	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5f21e5…
11-03 11:41:31	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbcf8cd…
11-03 09:24:46	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x861627…
11-03 09:00:40	Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0 - 0 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x48f25f…
11-03 08:35:01	Exact Score: LASK Linz 0 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x92b7cf…
11-03 08:13:42	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xdc3ed1…
11-03 08:08:04	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xc5bcc8…
11-03 07:49:40	Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0da95a…
11-02 21:59:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5b8786…
11-02 21:06:15	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa6b786…
11-02 14:39:45	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x15ba4c…
11-02 06:48:42	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xaa7d3d…
11-02 05:43:00	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	1¢	$2	0x007eb2…
11-02 00:44:54	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4c341f…
11-01 22:44:54	Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa216b0…
11-01 21:52:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x419723…
11-01 21:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3c5d1a…
11-01 20:08:22	Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ab23e…
11-01 18:48:52	Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa88963…
11-01 18:36:46	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbb970f…
11-01 17:52:09	Exact Score: Panathinaikos Athens 2 - 1 AEK Athens?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x919776…
11-01 15:29:34	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x85cb22…
11-01 15:27:55	Will BK Hacken vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6e83af…
11-01 15:25:06	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x729717…
11-01 15:07:48	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc7275d…
11-01 07:59:52	Will Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x7aa371…
11-01 06:22:21	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9a1752…
11-01 05:32:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf1a1dd…
11-01 00:00:45	Will Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6903c6…
10-31 19:17:27	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xdd5b3b…
10-31 18:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xb7f72d…
10-31 17:03:57	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd387be…
10-31 15:44:21	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xc3e4a3…
10-31 13:37:43	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21cd7d…
10-31 12:51:45	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf6fde9…
10-31 11:41:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	47	17¢	$8	0xd68734…
10-31 11:23:22	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0e216…
10-31 10:32:09	Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0498b…
10-31 10:28:34	Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65ffd7…
10-31 10:15:18	Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa8667e…
10-31 09:39:31	Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf5fe9a…
10-31 09:18:45	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb9a66a…