Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

762

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$228

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-10

last 10-30 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% +$102

Tech

10% 100% +$8

Politics

4% 80% -$27

Sports

1% 100% +$7

Crypto

0% 0% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+200	$182	96¢	$192	+$10	08-29 13:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$27	28¢	$28	+$1	10-28 20:36
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	+7	$7	96¢	$7	+$1	07-11 15:15
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	22¢	$0	$0	07-16 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	9	$2.3K	1,300	1,100	+200	No	-$16	07-14 13:16
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	9	$1.9K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-29 17:41
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	11	$1.4K	1,100	325	+775	No	+$29	07-15 16:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	10	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	08-12 01:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	12	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$62	10-26 23:28
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	3	$942	500	500	+0	No	+$8	08-05 04:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	12	$934	686	686	+0	open	—	09-27 15:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	2	$870	500	500	+0	No	-$10	07-12 14:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	10	$653	400	400	+0	open	—	08-12 20:04
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	4	$572	300	300	+0	No	+$10	07-23 02:08
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	10	$432	351	351	+0	Yes	+$21	07-30 20:50
will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	4	$383	200	200	+0	No	+$2	07-14 12:31
will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	6	$333	200	200	+0	No	+$5	07-15 15:37
will spy reach 760 in july 2026	6	$301	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-15 17:49
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	4	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	07-13 19:45
will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	1	$266	280	0	+280	Yes	+$14	07-13 09:47
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	3	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	09-13 04:51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	10	$254	178	178	+0	open	—	08-10 14:35
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	3	$232	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-26 21:52
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	6	$209	112	112	+0	open	—	10-07 16:00
will lionel messi miss a penalty in the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716175341447	2	$207	214	0	+214	No	+$7	07-19 21:33
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	1	$192	200	0	+200	Yes	+$8	10-28 12:51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	08-29 13:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	20	$150	351	351	+0	open	—	10-16 17:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	26	$148	306	306	+0	open	—	10-17 12:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	3	$140	200	200	+0	No	+$4	07-14 21:05
will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	6	$135	154	58	+95	Yes	-$49	07-16 14:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	19	$127	250	150	+100	open	—	10-28 20:36
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	6	$126	70	70	+0	open	—	10-26 23:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	9	$105	102	102	+0	open	—	10-13 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:32:03	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf10fa4…
10-29 17:41:07	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	734	98¢	$720	0x644f1d…
10-29 13:31:49	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x086ba7…
10-29 13:31:46	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x5754e6…
10-28 20:36:22	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xc4fbf9…
10-28 12:51:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x466b66…
10-27 19:33:33	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x7d81a5…
10-26 23:28:33	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0xda50ef…
10-26 23:06:33	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x52ab40…
10-26 20:59:02	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xe75d87…
10-26 14:51:42	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	178	14¢	$25	0xdc220d…
10-26 07:04:08	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4fb69b…
10-22 18:17:15	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x453e67…
10-21 20:24:33	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x9a085a…
10-21 13:25:02	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x002a6c…
10-19 19:53:57	US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe58f98…
10-18 16:44:59	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xce29f6…
10-18 16:44:59	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xb5c5c4…
10-18 08:32:05	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0xaf9199…
10-17 20:56:02	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1fd8f9…
10-17 20:04:44	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x37faed…
10-17 12:26:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	89	24¢	$21	0xe24520…
10-17 12:26:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xecfb66…
10-17 01:55:20	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$8	0xb4e339…
10-16 21:55:50	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xa19db2…
10-16 17:07:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x7938b4…
10-16 17:06:39	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3fdeef…
10-16 16:44:55	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xac094e…
10-16 16:44:55	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0x2242b6…
10-16 16:44:55	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x1d771f…
10-16 10:44:28	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xd19893…
10-16 10:44:28	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	42	13¢	$6	0x5a6856…
10-16 09:49:22	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x1a7018…
10-16 01:48:49	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	43¢	$34	0x199899…
10-16 01:48:49	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x1624ad…
10-16 01:24:22	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x1bb47f…
10-15 23:04:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xf93e24…
10-15 21:02:05	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x569f2e…
10-15 21:02:00	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xeef247…
10-15 21:01:53	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x30590d…
10-15 21:01:45	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe794fa…
10-15 19:09:52	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x6c562b…
10-15 18:59:01	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd5f856…
10-15 18:31:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xd50e57…
10-15 17:29:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x00f680…
10-15 14:59:34	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x904b56…
10-15 14:59:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x532040…
10-15 13:47:32	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x193279…
10-15 10:08:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x0d2563…
10-15 06:29:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x69e5e6…
10-15 03:21:05	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xcd7ab9…
10-15 02:59:46	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x87c0a3…
10-15 02:53:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x42be29…
10-15 02:18:14	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x81c8bf…
10-15 02:18:02	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xdcf628…
10-15 02:17:46	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8252f7…
10-15 02:17:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x86222f…
10-15 02:16:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0x447886…
10-15 02:15:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xf7b706…
10-15 02:15:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb03148…
10-15 02:15:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ec431…
10-15 02:15:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x6d60c4…
10-15 02:15:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x107fbe…
10-14 20:11:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xff8a69…
10-14 20:11:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc6a869…
10-14 20:11:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x79ea76…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3e6b17…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2238dd…
10-14 20:11:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xfccea1…
10-14 20:11:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x4a1706…
10-14 10:42:04	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe3f4f8…
10-14 10:42:04	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7c6397…
10-14 10:40:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xf8e866…
10-14 10:40:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xee043f…
10-14 08:26:34	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0x71c16c…
10-13 21:33:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x3872c5…
10-13 12:36:04	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	150	26¢	$39	0x0c762a…
10-13 12:07:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x77ca5b…
10-13 11:23:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x7784a4…
10-12 14:58:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x041666…
10-12 09:04:34	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa51d5c…
10-12 03:01:32	Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x17e6d2…
10-12 02:12:09	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x960b9a…
10-12 02:11:57	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x98032f…
10-11 17:45:16	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb67d23…
10-10 14:21:33	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2516ab…
10-10 13:30:04	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xf64e5e…
10-10 12:18:33	Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1aed60…
10-10 09:38:31	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0x9418fa…
10-10 08:52:10	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x2e0248…
10-10 06:58:09	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc07cfd…
10-10 02:39:00	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x6ccab7…
10-09 23:41:08	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x456c1c…
10-09 22:07:49	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xf3bef6…
10-09 19:25:41	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5f1f2a…
10-09 12:17:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xaba2b1…
10-09 12:12:22	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xa63860…
10-09 11:03:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x95e0d7…
10-08 19:45:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xf61600…
10-08 19:37:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x2bbd7a…