Single-Insurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$529

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,255

Trades

2,651

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-31 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 39% -$496

Other

8% 36% -$33

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	9	$427	314	314	+0	No	+$24	08-07 04:52
bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	12	$237	513	450	+63	Up	+$24	08-02 11:33
bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	12	$226	347	347	+0	Up	+$5	08-03 14:32
bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	6	$206	506	506	+0	Down	-$102	08-10 13:51
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	4	$170	102	102	+0	No	-$11	08-10 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	2	$167	210	210	+0	Down	+$58	08-08 08:01
bitcoin up or down on june 22 2026	8	$158	231	231	+0	Up	+$8	06-22 11:20
bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	6	$148	215	215	+0	Up	+$7	08-09 13:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	15	$132	398	398	+0	No	+$15	05-07 15:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	8	$128	330	330	+0	No	+$16	05-25 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	9	$121	250	250	-0	No	+$5	05-25 23:00
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 14	7	$117	99	99	+0	Yes	+$80	06-14 21:51
bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	10	$114	155	155	+0	Up	+$16	07-20 15:04
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	7	$109	122	122	+0	No	+$10	07-27 10:04
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	3	$103	181	181	+0	No	-$8	06-18 22:19
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	11	$102	147	147	+0	Up	-$8	07-06 14:21
will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	2	$100	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$2	09-05 07:06
bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	2	$98	78	78	+0	Up	+$18	08-07 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?	2	$98	131	131	+0	Down	+$7	09-02 05:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	12	$98	244	244	+0	No	+$15	06-03 14:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	7	$94	198	198	+0	open	—	08-09 00:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	19	$92	2,089	2,089	+0	No	+$7	05-07 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:10 UTC	2	$87	162	162	+0	Up	+$22	08-10 13:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	4	$86	175	175	+0	No	-$2	08-08 06:54
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 21	11	$85	116	116	+0	No	+$1	06-21 14:03
bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	12	$85	156	156	+0	Down	-$10	07-05 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	14	$79	615	615	+0	Yes	-$11	05-06 14:39
bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	11	$78	214	214	+0	No	+$2	07-05 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	5	$74	250	250	+0	Down	-$7	05-07 13:10
bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	2	$74	67	67	+0	Down	-$3	08-10 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf1fc0c…
10-31 09:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xef0450…
10-29 07:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xec322c…
10-23 09:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x17105d…
10-23 00:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x05a467…
10-23 00:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xe86ce8…
10-23 00:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x406b8d…
10-23 00:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	69¢	$9	0xad5212…
10-23 00:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xde4909…
10-23 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd24810…
10-18 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf209f4…
10-18 11:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa409fd…
10-18 11:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x146d84…
10-18 11:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0274da…
10-18 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x78c639…
10-18 11:05:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	107	6¢	$6	0x9ceb7a…
10-18 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe4a728…
10-18 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc5b78c…
10-18 09:19:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x0de28f…
10-18 09:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x868534…
10-18 08:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x349eae…
10-18 08:56:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x7eea2d…
10-18 08:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5c5e63…
10-18 08:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd933b9…
10-18 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c9d3b…
10-18 08:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x7daa57…
10-18 05:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x8a314c…
10-18 05:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x7949d9…
10-18 05:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x237d9d…
10-18 05:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa7827b…
10-18 05:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7462dd…
10-18 01:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x670269…
10-18 01:05:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xea44ee…
10-18 00:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e53d1…
10-18 00:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71ac11…
10-18 00:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x6ac70f…
10-18 00:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xae206c…
10-18 00:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa10351…
10-11 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xe9d13c…
10-11 14:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x71108f…
10-09 04:26:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	118	9¢	$11	0x810b76…
10-09 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xf22c26…
10-09 00:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x0321b9…
10-09 00:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xe2ab40…
10-09 00:33:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x227320…
10-08 11:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xffafcd…
10-08 11:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x4999c5…
10-08 11:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x7370f2…
10-08 11:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x8ff0fb…
10-08 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0e11f5…
10-08 11:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x3257ab…
10-08 11:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0346d8…
10-08 10:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x17f4e0…
10-08 10:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x49280c…
10-08 10:49:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x96ea30…
10-08 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x41d495…
10-08 10:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf48a1c…
10-08 10:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x02636b…
10-08 09:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xf09603…
10-08 09:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x0f9457…
10-08 09:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xe904b2…
10-08 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x2f538e…
10-08 09:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xc8c385…
10-08 09:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x44f0d8…
10-08 09:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x546a5b…
10-08 09:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x616c2e…
10-08 09:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4caa61…
10-08 09:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xef80d3…
10-08 09:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x831789…
10-08 09:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xf78ed9…
10-08 09:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7d3ca0…
10-08 08:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xe29bf5…
10-08 07:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x221cdf…
10-08 07:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x7176b6…
10-08 07:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x424473…
10-08 07:35:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x59c364…
10-04 23:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x8e10cb…
10-04 23:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbe5ffe…
10-04 23:34:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1bc862…
10-04 23:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8ce652…
10-04 23:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xf8b4c4…
10-04 23:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa9523b…
10-04 22:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xa8802d…
10-04 22:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x2ab841…
10-04 22:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8df685…
10-04 10:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x7324b8…
10-04 08:31:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x80f788…
10-04 08:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0xe43db0…
10-04 08:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x37b233…
10-04 08:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfa0a80…
10-04 08:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x537ade…
10-03 05:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc5245f…
10-03 05:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x23e303…
10-03 04:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x759f92…
10-03 04:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa5f8da…
10-03 04:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0744bc…
10-03 04:30:23	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0xde1c10…
10-03 00:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x677293…
10-03 00:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	128	13¢	$17	0x0365f7…
10-02 09:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0xf60b76…