Realized P&L
-$521
Unrealized P&L
+$863
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
82
Trades
691
lifetime
Volume
$255.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$369
Open exposure
$22.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-18 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
49% 78% +$1,474
Politics
27% 77% +$519
Crypto
24% 74% -$2,521
Sports
1% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,500 $4,260 96¢ $4.3K +$60 10-09 17:51
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +3,651 $3,349 97¢ $3.5K +$190 08-02 10:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,500 -$3,368 98¢ $-3442 -$74 08-31 20:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,000 -$1,922 98¢ $-1965 -$43 08-31 20:46
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No -1,205 -$1,175 98¢ $-1185 -$10 09-07 09:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -1,933 -$1,558 54¢ $-1044 +$514 08-19 19:14
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,000 -$984 98¢ $-984 +$0 07-28 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $940 97¢ $972 +$32 10-09 17:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,000 $957 96¢ $964 +$6 10-09 18:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No -926 -$899 99¢ $-915 -$16 09-08 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +914 $904 100¢ $913 +$9 10-18 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$488 98¢ $-492 -$5 08-30 17:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -500 -$496 98¢ $-491 +$4 08-31 20:45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +500 $464 97¢ $484 +$20 10-12 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 -$362 98¢ $-244 +$118 08-30 17:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +250 $239 98¢ $244 +$5 10-09 18:02
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 10-09 17:57
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -100 -$65 12¢ $-11 +$53 05-19 12:23