Realized P&L
+$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
179
Trades
2,058
lifetime
Volume
$114.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$3.47K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-31 21:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
59% 71% +$6,975
Other
33% 77% +$2,901
Crypto
4% 50% +$202
Sports
4% 71% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +709 $508 98¢ $698 +$189 10-28 16:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +994 $840 68¢ $671 -$169 10-25 15:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$415 82¢ $-412 +$2 09-13 12:30
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +345 $194 92¢ $317 +$123 10-14 12:12
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +518 $246 48¢ $251 +$5 10-27 22:28
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -390 -$281 58¢ $-226 +$55 06-24 10:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$172 94¢ $-187 -$15 06-03 16:01
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +307 $133 49¢ $150 +$17 10-29 17:04
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +202 $83 55¢ $110 +$27 10-29 17:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +96 $82 90¢ $86 +$5 10-14 08:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -100 $114 75¢ $-75 -$189 10-25 22:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +110 $96 67¢ $73 -$23 10-24 08:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $95 14¢ $68 -$28 10-21 07:41
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +124 $63 50¢ $62 -$1 10-29 17:06
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -822 -$69 6¢ $-45 +$24 10-13 13:45
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No -150 -$47 19¢ $-28 +$18 10-12 21:57
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +198 $4 6¢ $11 +$7 10-31 01:14