Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.9%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-06 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

65% 50% +$3

Politics

31% 0% $-48

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	6	$94	102	102	+0	Yes	$-3	03-19 23:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$83	114	73	+41	Yes	$-27	03-18 05:29
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$73	51	51	+0	open	—	03-23 14:43
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$71	117	117	+0	open	—	03-18 05:41
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$69	150	150	+0	open	—	03-18 05:02
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$68	92	92	+0	Yes	+$4	03-17 11:06
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	3	$64	90	90	+0	No	$-1	03-17 02:07
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	7	$62	42	41	+1	open	—	03-19 11:10
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	7	$61	38	37	+1	open	—	03-23 15:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$59	81	81	+0	open	—	03-16 20:02
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	3	$59	61	60	+1	open	—	03-18 08:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	03-18 23:16
will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	2	$58	83	83	+0	open	—	03-16 10:08
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$58	45	45	+1	open	—	03-18 23:06
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	6	$57	45	44	+1	open	—	03-17 09:41
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	3	$57	64	64	+0	open	—	03-18 10:07
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$56	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 05:03
will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	7	$55	36	35	+1	open	—	03-23 23:41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	7	$55	40	39	+1	open	—	03-24 12:21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$52	44	44	+0	open	—	03-18 10:07
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	2	$52	45	45	+0	open	—	03-17 01:33
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	6	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	03-17 17:37
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$51	56	56	+0	open	—	03-16 20:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$44	0	49	-49	open	—	08-06 05:00
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	1	$43	0	51	-51	open	—	08-06 05:00
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	03-23 14:42
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$31	23	22	+1	open	—	03-23 15:40
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	03-16 13:30
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$28	55	55	+0	open	—	03-16 10:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	03-15 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:50:56	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7f0626…
08-06 09:50:54	mlb nym cle 2026 08 06	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa896f6…
08-06 09:50:51	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x29bdbf…
08-06 09:50:48	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xe32745…
08-06 09:41:02	atp darderi shang 2026 08 06	Juncheng Shang	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1fe277…
08-06 09:41:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf27dea…
08-06 09:41:00	itf esteve labrana 2026 08 06	Fernanda Labrana	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb3c377…
08-06 09:40:59	wta gibson alexand 2026 08 05	Talia Gibson	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8f5929…
08-06 09:40:57	cfl ham bc 2026 08 08 total 55pt5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8b9ee2…
08-06 09:40:57	mlb cws bos 2026 08 06	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3a6f43…
08-06 09:40:56	wta kostyuk keys 2026 08 05	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf8bb3d…
08-06 09:40:56	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x80345a…
08-06 09:40:54	mlb mia atl 2026 08 06	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf55636…
08-06 09:40:54	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9aa67c…
08-06 09:40:53	mlb sd ari 2026 08 06	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4913ca…
08-06 09:40:51	atp jodar musetti 2026 08 06	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x94c3f9…
08-06 09:40:48	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x340eb1…
08-06 09:40:45	mlb det sea 2026 08 06	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x60cd1c…
08-06 09:00:57	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb3910e…
08-06 09:00:56	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd6df8c…
08-06 09:00:56	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae3ddb…
08-06 09:00:53	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x00be36…
08-06 09:00:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf57415…
08-06 09:00:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf89c12…
08-06 08:01:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf1814e…
08-06 08:01:03	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9c5fbb…
08-06 08:01:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd3d18d…
08-06 08:00:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe4b676…
08-06 08:00:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xca42a3…
08-06 08:00:51	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x806fa6…
08-06 08:00:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9c1058…
08-06 07:50:53	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35da7a…
08-06 07:50:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5c63a9…
08-06 07:50:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x113688…
08-06 07:50:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x22a111…
08-06 07:50:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd0d749…
08-06 07:50:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x016a7f…
08-06 07:50:45	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x98f5b1…
08-06 07:50:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x02605f…
08-06 07:00:51	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc2fd58…
08-06 07:00:51	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x210b01…
08-06 07:00:50	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x910d00…
08-06 07:00:48	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe931f7…
08-06 07:00:47	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xae3309…
08-06 05:00:21	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xfe8c95…
08-06 05:00:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x9e3e1d…
08-06 05:00:18	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x4f7217…
08-06 05:00:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xc63d55…
08-06 05:00:14	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x687f33…
08-06 05:00:14	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	51	83¢	$43	0x5691fa…
03-24 12:21:25	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$0	0x6ec347…
03-24 11:51:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd8ea04…
03-24 11:30:45	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xed7011…
03-24 01:30:51	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x55c4d0…
03-23 23:41:01	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x141828…
03-23 23:33:23	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xf309eb…
03-23 22:32:57	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x86c31a…
03-23 22:21:07	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x63ff2d…
03-23 22:11:57	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x913b7d…
03-23 22:01:15	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xc61cc2…
03-23 21:22:03	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0xbf711e…
03-23 15:40:55	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0638fa…
03-23 15:31:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x61ca6a…
03-23 15:31:03	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x33bf60…
03-23 15:21:27	will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8cd96c…
03-23 15:21:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7dab65…
03-23 15:21:23	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x1989f0…
03-23 15:11:07	will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf5a5bd…
03-23 15:11:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd438f8…
03-23 15:11:07	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x11dfc1…
03-23 15:03:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x65e262…
03-23 15:03:15	will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x4c0904…
03-23 15:03:13	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x79d8d3…
03-23 14:50:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0x0a6563…
03-23 14:45:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x5bacad…
03-23 14:44:25	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x7c20e9…
03-23 14:43:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5de05d…
03-23 14:42:15	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x0f5f08…
03-20 08:07:39	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x256c3c…
03-20 08:06:59	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xefc4ee…
03-20 06:48:41	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xbfda6e…
03-20 05:04:35	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xaaf811…
03-20 05:03:55	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa42e5f…
03-20 05:03:25	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xcc79a8…
03-19 23:01:13	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0x4be218…
03-19 22:32:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x0b7d1d…
03-19 21:29:53	will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x246fbe…
03-19 21:29:51	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x449fc1…
03-19 20:02:53	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x028b85…
03-19 19:31:03	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0xbb1f64…
03-19 19:03:03	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc3ae6f…
03-19 15:29:09	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x45788a…
03-19 13:13:57	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	No	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x82d4f0…
03-19 11:10:41	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xfc95de…
03-19 11:00:39	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x30ab07…
03-19 10:50:59	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xd8bda7…
03-19 10:40:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa62c29…
03-19 10:31:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x641f87…
03-19 10:20:45	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0x80ee3c…
03-19 09:11:15	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x77368d…