Vigilant-Congressperson 0x5b1d57…b88895
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Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
13.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,598
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$567
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-30 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
77% 33% $-41
Other
22% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -198 $-162 100¢ $-197 $-35 06-29 18:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -136 $-110 84¢ $-113 $-3 06-20 02:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -65 $-57 86¢ $-56 +$1 06-19 04:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +149 $79 34¢ $51 $-29 06-29 08:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -26 $-59 100¢ $-26 +$33 06-29 18:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -24 $-28 100¢ $-24 +$4 06-26 12:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +24 $23 100¢ $24 +$2 06-15 20:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +17 $13 82¢ $14 +$1 06-30 03:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$1 06-08 22:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 06-20 20:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 +$1 06-26 12:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $16 29¢ $7 $-8 06-19 19:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-11 20¢ $-7 +$5 06-17 12:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 +$1 06-29 13:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-13 08:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-30 08:05
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 18:41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +289 $46 0¢ $1 $-46 06-19 16:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -252 $-15 0¢ $-1 +$14 06-03 14:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -162 $-41 0¢ $-0 +$40 06-20 01:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +66 $39 0¢ $0 $-39 06-23 11:21