Vigilant-Congressperson 0x5b1d57…b88895
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
13.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,031
lifetime
Volume
$24.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$386
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-20 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
76% 33% $-41
Other
23% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -136 $-110 70¢ $-96 +$15 06-20 02:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +95 $29 46¢ $43 +$15 07-17 00:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +136 $27 26¢ $36 +$9 07-17 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +60 $31 55¢ $33 +$2 07-19 14:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +38 $30 74¢ $28 $-2 07-20 02:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +376 $28 6¢ $24 $-4 07-20 16:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +27 $19 86¢ $23 +$5 07-05 18:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +34 $19 67¢ $23 +$4 07-20 21:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +205 $18 11¢ $22 +$4 07-14 14:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +44 $22 33¢ $15 $-8 07-15 18:31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +17 $13 84¢ $14 +$1 06-30 03:28
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 06-20 20:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +10 $8 76¢ $7 $-1 07-19 23:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-11 14¢ $-5 +$7 06-17 12:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $16 18¢ $4 $-11 06-19 19:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-30 08:05