Vigilant-Congressperson 0x5b1d57…b88895
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$983
Unrealized P&L
+$157
Hit rate
51.9%
Resolved
439
Trades
5,850
lifetime
Volume
$68.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-31 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
68% 55% -$372
Other
31% 54% -$559
Tech
1% 0% -$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$48
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +176 $137 82¢ $145 +$9 10-07 16:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +144 $124 99¢ $142 +$19 10-30 13:28
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +532 $125 26¢ $141 +$16 10-28 10:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +146 $110 85¢ $125 +$15 10-30 13:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +147 $94 70¢ $104 +$10 10-21 09:58
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +190 $89 52¢ $98 +$9 10-30 12:23
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +379 $95 22¢ $85 -$9 10-31 02:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +92 $86 88¢ $82 -$4 10-31 04:48
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +93 $80 88¢ $82 +$2 10-28 13:46
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +80 $63 94¢ $75 +$12 10-25 19:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +79 $75 94¢ $75 $0 10-31 16:31
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +123 $77 59¢ $73 -$4 10-31 06:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +89 $65 80¢ $71 +$7 10-29 17:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +85 $60 80¢ $68 +$8 10-25 22:23
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +167 $65 38¢ $64 -$1 10-29 23:18
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +241 $40 26¢ $63 +$22 10-30 03:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +64 $57 96¢ $61 +$3 10-06 19:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +226 $72 26¢ $60 -$12 10-31 06:19
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +107 $49 56¢ $60 +$11 10-30 01:29
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +125 $41 44¢ $56 +$15 10-28 17:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +59 $45 88¢ $52 +$7 09-26 14:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +57 $43 86¢ $49 +$6 10-24 20:26
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +79 $45 62¢ $49 +$4 10-29 20:43
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +64 $44 74¢ $48 +$4 10-06 20:13
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +53 $42 88¢ $47 +$5 10-22 03:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +47 $36 99¢ $46 +$10 10-27 01:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +58 $35 74¢ $43 +$7 10-06 19:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +155 $50 26¢ $41 -$9 10-31 19:09
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +68 $40 58¢ $39 -$1 10-29 08:37
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +64 $38 58¢ $37 -$1 10-31 08:10