Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b0163…9124a9
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
24.9%
Resolved
1,067
Trades
143,685
lifetime
Volume
$7.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$1.34K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-28 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
38% 51% -$617
Sports
37% 52% -$170
Politics
16% 24% -$425
Tech
5% 38% +$25
Crypto
3% 42% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +201 $214 100¢ $200 -$14 10-28 19:12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage T1 +200 $196 98¢ $197 +$1 10-28 21:23
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$3 10-28 21:12
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $122 100¢ $100 -$22 10-26 23:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +104 $108 96¢ $100 -$7 10-28 21:18
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +101 $109 99¢ $100 -$9 10-28 14:00
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +100 $101 100¢ $100 -$1 10-28 20:47
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +179 $93 56¢ $99 +$6 10-28 04:52
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No -71 -$63 95¢ $-68 -$5 10-28 21:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +55 $58 100¢ $55 -$3 10-28 21:12
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-28 12:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +51 $67 97¢ $50 -$17 10-28 20:08
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +50 $52 98¢ $49 -$3 10-28 21:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 +$0 10-28 20:13
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +118 $16 18¢ $21 +$4 10-28 21:24
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +14 $17 97¢ $14 -$3 10-28 20:50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-11 21:33
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-28 21:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 -$1 10-28 00:02
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 07-30 01:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $1 91¢ $0 -$1 08-30 11:33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +0 $3 91¢ $0 -$3 10-28 04:29
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 05-07 08:04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $7 71¢ $0 -$7 10-21 23:45
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +0 $6 88¢ $0 -$6 10-28 15:28
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +0 $7 86¢ $0 -$7 10-23 10:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $1 17¢ $0 -$1 05-08 08:50