Somber-Dickey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-26 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

69% 5% -$3,390

Sports

27% 100% +$1,979

Crypto

3% 17% -$206

Politics

1% 0% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
boxing itauma hrgovi 2026 08 29	2	$2.7K	2,382	2,382	+0	Filip Hrgovic	+$1,979	08-29 23:03
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	7	$2.6K	5,797	5,797	+0	No	+$789	10-06 19:53
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?	1	$902	4,512	0	+4,512	No	-$902	10-03 15:30
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$640	2,820	0	+2,820	No	-$640	09-06 14:13
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$337	1,350	0	+1,350	No	-$337	09-19 12:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$309	73,000	0	+73,000	No	-$309	03-12 17:23
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?	2	$278	3,479	0	+3,479	No	-$278	09-29 18:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$250	22,727	0	+22,727	No	-$250	03-31 19:35
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$250	4,277	0	+4,277	No	-$250	09-19 12:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$250	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$250	03-31 19:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$183	91,500	0	+91,500	No	-$183	03-11 13:47
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$160	20,256	0	+20,256	No	-$160	05-16 11:55
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$110	110,000	0	+110,000	No	-$110	10-26 16:02
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$110	110,000	0	+110,000	No	-$110	10-26 15:48
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$105	1,784	0	+1,784	No	-$105	10-26 19:19
Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	2	$100	5,291	0	+5,291	No	-$100	10-06 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:00 UTC	1	$99	107,502	0	+107,502	Down	-$99	03-11 15:06
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	1	$98	178	0	+178	No	-$98	03-31 19:44
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?	1	$92	124	0	+124	Under	-$92	09-17 16:24
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	1	$58	58,000	0	+58,000	No	-$58	05-16 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:30 UTC	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	-$50	03-12 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:40 UTC	2	$42	445	0	+445	Down	-$42	03-12 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:25 UTC	1	$40	4,444	0	+4,444	Up	-$40	03-12 15:29
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06?	1	$18	861	0	+861	No	-$18	10-06 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:35 UTC	1	$17	49	0	+49	Up	+$32	03-12 15:37
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	843	0	+843	No	-$10	05-16 11:48
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	175	0	+175	No	-$10	05-16 11:48
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	05-16 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:45 UTC	1	$7	15	0	+15	Down	-$7	03-12 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:19:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,784	6¢	$105	0x61551e…
10-26 16:02:48	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22,755	0¢	$23	0x456999…
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,685	0¢	$5	0xbcc490…
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21,828	0¢	$22	0x8f1a93…
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19,301	0¢	$19	0x862324…
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18,227	0¢	$18	0x782f93…
10-26 16:02:47	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23,203	0¢	$23	0x5cc5da…
10-26 15:48:35	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44,155	0¢	$44	0xa72646…
10-26 15:48:35	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30,284	0¢	$30	0x893428…
10-26 15:48:35	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35,561	0¢	$36	0x4273ef…
10-06 20:17:06	Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,576	1¢	$50	0x376e76…
10-06 19:53:44	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	1,652	37¢	$611	0x9828eb…
10-06 19:39:09	Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x738bca…
10-06 19:29:50	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0x93b390…
10-06 19:25:26	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,333	30¢	$400	0xf67dd4…
10-06 19:19:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	4,145	26¢	$1,078	0xfb6c04…
10-06 18:58:45	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,923	10¢	$200	0x015667…
10-06 18:43:12	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x1745b4…
10-06 18:29:33	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xabd099…
10-06 11:01:24	Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	861	2¢	$18	0x546dee…
10-03 15:30:14	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	4,512	20¢	$902	0xff008b…
09-29 18:26:05	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xda53af…
09-29 18:25:12	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	3,438	8¢	$275	0x0333b3…
09-19 12:09:23	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	168	22¢	$37	0x592664…
09-19 12:08:39	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	2,863	5¢	$150	0x4deed3…
09-19 11:59:08	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x5548f9…
09-17 16:24:57	Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?	Over	BUY	124	74¢	$92	0x02006c…
09-17 16:23:21	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	727	28¢	$200	0xe2d035…
09-17 16:21:28	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	1,414	7¢	$100	0x8eb360…
09-06 14:13:18	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	2,820	23¢	$640	0x03c9fd…
08-29 23:03:10	boxing itauma hrgovi 2026 08 29	Filip Hrgovic	SELL	2,382	98¢	$2,336	0x1b2733…
08-29 21:45:09	boxing itauma hrgovi 2026 08 29	Filip Hrgovic	BUY	2,382	15¢	$357	0x9ef830…
05-16 11:55:57	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,066	0¢	$65	0x07ab3e…
05-16 11:52:02	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	58,000	0¢	$58	0xbdff60…
05-16 11:48:32	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	843	1¢	$10	0x11ae01…
05-16 11:48:10	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xda3aca…
05-16 11:48:08	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x959653…
05-15 15:34:36	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,190	1¢	$94	0xc4a9c3…
03-31 19:44:39	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0x2f8a4c…
03-31 19:35:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,727	1¢	$250	0x3e69f3…
03-31 19:35:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$250	0xd7fe22…
03-12 17:23:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	43,000	0¢	$129	0xcef2c3…
03-12 15:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x47e50d…
03-12 15:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	248	8¢	$20	0xc08874…
03-12 15:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	197	11¢	$22	0x1113c8…
03-12 15:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xe26fa6…
03-12 15:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x459447…
03-12 15:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4,444	1¢	$40	0x680b70…
03-11 15:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	107,502	0¢	$99	0x6d839a…
03-11 13:47:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	41,500	0¢	$83	0x34df9d…
03-11 13:47:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	13,333	1¢	$80	0xed6150…
03-11 13:42:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x2ef2eb…
03-11 13:42:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0xdbc166…