Realized P&L
-$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
2,267
Trades
3,699
lifetime
Volume
$384.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$3.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-28 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Other
62% 58% -$1,562
Sports
31% 45% -$9,142
Politics
7% 65% +$366
Tech
0% 100% +$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +493 $311 70¢ $348 +$37 10-14 07:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +234 $194 96¢ $225 +$30 10-08 13:30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +319 $204 68¢ $219 +$14 10-14 07:13
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +212 $191 99¢ $211 +$20 09-27 19:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +585 $246 34¢ $196 -$50 10-11 23:20
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +181 $156 86¢ $156 +$0 10-07 17:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +293 $132 52¢ $154 +$22 10-17 21:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +177 $154 82¢ $146 -$8 10-14 07:13
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +140 $87 94¢ $131 +$44 10-13 12:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +408 $147 32¢ $129 -$18 10-07 00:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +213 $153 58¢ $125 -$29 09-28 00:53
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +126 $97 98¢ $124 +$27 10-11 23:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +117 $71 98¢ $114 +$43 10-02 18:40
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +145 $112 70¢ $102 -$9 10-05 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +501 $210 20¢ $98 -$113 10-19 15:20
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +120 $84 60¢ $73 -$11 10-05 06:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +164 $79 33¢ $54 -$25 10-15 00:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +55 $43 98¢ $54 +$11 10-08 13:30
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +78 $57 62¢ $49 -$8 10-06 00:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +245 $78 18¢ $44 -$34 10-07 00:57
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +67 $34 62¢ $42 +$8 10-06 15:36
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +180 $41 23¢ $41 $0 10-05 09:28
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +68 $50 57¢ $39 -$12 10-05 06:51
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $36 92¢ $38 +$2 10-05 06:53
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +49 $42 74¢ $36 -$6 10-06 00:18
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +48 $37 57¢ $28 -$10 10-05 06:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +38 $32 72¢ $27 -$5 08-15 18:20
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $28 55¢ $26 -$2 10-05 06:46
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +44 $21 31¢ $14 -$7 09-08 12:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +94 $24 11¢ $10 -$15 10-07 17:56