Realized P&L
-$2.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.99K
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
3,973
lifetime
Volume
$560.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$8.12K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
71% 50% $-1,945
Other
22%
Sports
5% 0% $-120
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -4,000 $-3,696 92¢ $-3694 +$2 06-12 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,002 $2,661 36¢ $2.6K $-106 06-14 16:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,083 $1,484 19¢ $586 $-898 06-02 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -500 $-820 82¢ $-412 +$408 06-19 10:15
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +306 $82 76¢ $234 +$151 06-02 16:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +239 $172 86¢ $204 +$32 05-28 07:57
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +425 $171 36¢ $151 $-20 06-11 11:34
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $120 $150 +$30 06-17 23:58
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -1,633 $-129 $-92 +$37 05-30 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +6,490 $1,582 $32 $-1,550 06-25 06:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,000 $56 $8 $-49 06-15 12:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +98 $24 $0 $-23 06-11 12:22