Realized P&L
-$2.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.90K
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
4,041
lifetime
Volume
$568.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$7.43K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
70% 50% $-1,945
Other
23%
Sports
5% 0% $-120
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -4,000 $-3,696 94¢ $-3778 $-82 06-12 16:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -1,618 $-1,574 84¢ $-1359 +$214 07-07 12:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,000 $800 $-200 07-02 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,337 $1,527 18¢ $584 $-943 07-15 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -500 $-820 55¢ $-272 +$547 06-19 10:15
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +306 $82 82¢ $251 +$168 06-02 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,002 $2,661 $109 $-2,553 06-14 16:04
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $120 $102 $-18 06-17 23:58
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +425 $171 21¢ $89 $-82 06-11 11:34
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -1,633 $-129 $-82 +$47 05-30 15:56