Realized P&L
+$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
602
Trades
4,971
lifetime
Volume
$739.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$21.9K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Politics
64% 71% +$33,283
Other
27% 62% -$25,614
Sports
7% 79% +$1,953
Crypto
2% 45% +$2,803
Tech
0% 0% -$1,778
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +7,068 $5,114 94¢ $6.6K +$1,494 10-12 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,000 $4,972 38¢ $3.5K -$1,507 10-15 02:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -3,100 -$2,887 97¢ $-3003 -$115 06-12 16:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,070 72¢ $2.2K +$105 10-18 15:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,000 -$1,343 86¢ $-1710 -$367 05-15 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,000 16¢ $1.6K +$650 07-02 06:49
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 No +1,002 $837 100¢ $998 +$161 09-16 08:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $505 88¢ $885 +$380 05-03 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,500 $1,977 12¢ $517 -$1,460 10-24 18:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $535 15¢ $290 -$245 09-23 17:58
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +1,000 $140 18¢ $180 +$40 08-07 07:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$160 3¢ $-148 +$12 09-05 05:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,000 $756 4¢ $81 -$675 06-17 14:14
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $120 3¢ $80 -$40 06-17 23:58
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,333 $143 1¢ $28 -$115 05-14 17:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +500 $100 4¢ $18 -$82 08-24 07:50
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +147 $4 12¢ $18 +$14 07-28 11:28
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +200 $16 3¢ $5 -$11 05-22 08:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 05-08 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 09-04 09:33
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 -$1,585 3¢ $0 +$1,585 08-23 13:54