Artistic-Tire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,074

lifetime

Volume

$576.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

69% 50% $-1,945

Other

24% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-120

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	46	$32.8K	21,491	12,264	+9,227	open	—	03-03 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	76	$21.2K	68,490	62,000	+6,490	open	—	06-25 06:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	48	$17.2K	19,742	19,742	+0	open	—	04-01 12:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	55	$15.7K	39,024	25,673	+13,351	open	—	05-28 07:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$12.0K	13,000	11,000	+2,000	open	—	02-28 06:46
iran strike on israel by february 28	29	$11.0K	5,937	6,500	-563	open	—	02-28 13:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	53	$8.5K	8,909	8,909	+0	open	—	04-21 14:27
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	32	$8.4K	4,926	4,182	+745	open	—	03-09 19:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	44	$8.3K	19,878	10,000	+9,878	open	—	07-01 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	20	$8.2K	6,565	6,065	+500	open	—	08-10 14:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	37	$8.0K	9,086	7,615	+1,471	open	—	06-14 21:44
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	22	$8.0K	8,580	0	+8,580	open	—	03-09 06:21
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	7	$7.6K	7,855	0	+7,855	open	—	04-09 13:52
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	114	$7.6K	29,903	30,376	-473	open	—	01-15 13:29
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	13	$7.5K	4,139	4,824	-685	open	—	03-20 17:38
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	41	$7.2K	7,532	0	+7,532	open	—	02-25 04:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	69	$7.1K	8,686	10,224	-1,538	open	—	01-23 15:44
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	28	$7.0K	5,790	8,790	-3,000	open	—	02-27 12:52
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	16	$6.8K	3,496	3,496	+0	open	—	03-02 15:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$6.6K	7,551	0	+7,551	open	—	02-28 06:19
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	5	$6.3K	2,564	4,064	-1,500	open	—	01-25 07:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$5.6K	7,807	807	+7,000	open	—	04-24 15:45
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	36	$5.4K	4,700	4,629	+71	open	—	01-14 23:58
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	72	$5.1K	14,510	17,200	-2,689	open	—	01-30 12:08
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	24	$4.9K	5,531	6,739	-1,208	open	—	03-10 21:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	27	$4.7K	4,112	4,612	-500	open	—	04-01 08:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$4.5K	3,597	3,597	+0	open	—	03-02 20:24
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	22	$4.5K	3,430	3,430	+0	open	—	03-04 12:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$4.3K	4,634	4,634	+0	Yes	+$70	05-08 19:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	50	$4.3K	15,451	8,322	+7,130	open	—	04-06 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x73fda8…
08-10 11:53:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xacbb5a…
08-07 14:25:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xb7254b…
08-07 14:20:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x80c10b…
08-07 14:18:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x83d40a…
08-07 13:56:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0x8d2cf1…
08-07 13:52:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	666	45¢	$300	0xcec61d…
08-07 12:33:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x7e6eed…
08-04 01:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,065	58¢	$1,778	0xe76818…
07-29 18:42:06	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xa9b3f1…
07-29 18:41:33	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x1cd1aa…
07-29 18:41:30	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x86aad4…
07-29 18:40:47	will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	Yes	BUY	747	99¢	$740	0xa112fa…
07-29 18:37:00	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x186145…
07-29 12:38:50	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	898	84¢	$752	0xec6857…
07-28 11:28:43	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$4	0xeedd4b…
07-27 15:30:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0xe3e634…
07-27 15:22:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	435	83¢	$361	0xe59ccd…
07-27 09:49:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xd6a69f…
07-22 13:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xcff707…
07-22 08:05:27	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	94	22¢	$21	0xedeb81…
07-22 07:41:57	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xde093a…
07-22 07:41:57	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xd8c3e9…
07-22 07:41:34	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xfcdf6b…
07-22 07:41:33	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	795	54¢	$429	0x52d68e…
07-22 07:41:21	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	906	21¢	$190	0xf433d0…
07-22 07:04:30	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	196	58¢	$114	0x48ef02…
07-21 15:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x8dbd0e…
07-21 02:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf31014…
07-21 01:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x36464e…
07-20 19:12:00	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x137d9f…
07-20 19:02:15	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	405	20¢	$81	0x920e51…
07-20 18:58:06	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x63b279…
07-20 18:57:51	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	587	20¢	$117	0x99ca2d…
07-19 17:39:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	3,000	6¢	$188	0x74ad78…
07-15 06:24:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x25a991…
07-15 05:25:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x6ec756…
07-15 04:58:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb67dde…
07-15 04:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x19f484…
07-14 22:52:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x039dfb…
07-14 22:22:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x965d21…
07-14 21:09:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb57e02…
07-13 14:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xab4812…
07-13 05:21:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0x291f4a…
07-10 13:59:41	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xfb0154…
07-08 15:49:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0x651bea…
07-08 14:36:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	58	60¢	$35	0xa90586…
07-08 14:34:46	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	187	60¢	$112	0x2cd3f4…
07-08 14:30:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	900	57¢	$513	0x8a685d…
07-08 10:06:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	3,000	20¢	$593	0x1efe5c…
07-08 08:20:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	3,000	16¢	$480	0x77f9ce…
07-07 18:01:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,152	5¢	$58	0xdaea05…
07-07 17:53:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x01a053…
07-07 17:33:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x642ab6…
07-07 17:33:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x61fcdb…
07-07 17:33:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x3879e3…
07-07 17:05:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x6998be…
07-07 16:24:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xab12b4…
07-07 16:24:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	576	5¢	$29	0xbfc79f…
07-07 16:24:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x885242…
07-07 15:00:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0xa59ad3…
07-07 15:00:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0x57a81e…
07-07 15:00:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0x54fb59…
07-07 14:59:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0xf475ba…
07-07 14:59:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0xa40ecc…
07-07 14:59:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0x079cfa…
07-07 14:54:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x2c837a…
07-07 14:54:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xc9d083…
07-07 14:54:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x4c304d…
07-07 14:53:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x39d948…
07-07 14:53:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x946b9e…
07-07 14:53:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x2c9f94…
07-07 14:53:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x77caf8…
07-07 14:53:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x53d4af…
07-07 12:01:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	1,857	94¢	$1,745	0x570d18…
07-06 14:27:38	will trump say messi or ronaldo in july 20260629200910955	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xd322d4…
07-06 14:24:58	will trump say messi or ronaldo in july 20260629200910955	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd5e561…
07-06 14:24:46	will trump say messi or ronaldo in july 20260629200910955	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x303a39…
07-06 14:21:11	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260703145736711	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbe880e…
07-06 14:21:04	will trump say messi this week 20260703145736710	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x6cbee5…
07-06 14:21:04	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260703145736711	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x3a27fc…
07-05 20:37:04	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x5afd68…
07-05 20:37:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xa71a66…
07-05 20:36:50	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe47ec3…
07-05 20:36:47	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x03d228…
07-05 20:36:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xa329fc…
07-05 20:36:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa7eda0…
07-05 20:36:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0xb931a9…
07-05 20:36:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0x267806…
07-05 20:36:25	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe0155d…
07-05 19:58:28	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x61e142…
07-02 06:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,178	10¢	$618	0xa45ffc…
07-02 06:21:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x3ad1c9…
07-02 02:12:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x5a6e80…
07-02 02:09:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xcb7807…
07-02 01:33:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xaf90ef…
07-02 01:33:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x4a9da8…
07-01 15:38:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,420	10¢	$242	0x22ad53…
07-01 14:00:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10,000	15¢	$1,500	0x065f99…
06-30 22:33:22	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	370	28¢	$104	0xd1eed4…