Artistic-Tire 0xcd6be6…4b68f5
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.13K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved (90d)
17
Trades (90d)
222
4,976 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$47.5K
$741.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$19.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Politics
64% 71% +$33,283
Other
27% 63% -$25,506
Sports
7% 79% +$1,953
Crypto
2% 45% +$2,803
Tech
0% 0% -$1,778
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +7,068 $5,114 96¢ $6.8K +$1,706 10-12 15:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -3,100 -$2,887 97¢ $-3003 -$115 06-12 16:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,000 $4,972 32¢ $2.8K -$2,137 10-15 02:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,000 -$1,343 86¢ $-1710 -$367 05-15 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,000 12¢ $1.1K +$150 07-02 06:49
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 No +1,002 $837 100¢ $1.0K +$163 09-16 08:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $505 90¢ $895 +$390 05-03 18:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $680 72¢ $715 +$35 10-29 17:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,500 $1,977 11¢ $495 -$1,482 10-24 18:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $535 16¢ $330 -$205 09-23 17:58
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +1,000 $140 16¢ $155 +$15 08-07 07:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$160 3¢ $-132 +$28 09-05 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $120 3¢ $80 -$40 06-17 23:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,000 $756 4¢ $73 -$683 06-17 14:14
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +147 $4 23¢ $34 +$29 07-28 11:28
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,333 $143 1¢ $28 -$115 05-14 17:34
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +200 $16 3¢ $5 -$11 05-22 08:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 05-08 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 09-04 09:33
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 -$1,585 5¢ $0 +$1,585 08-23 13:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -0 $73 3¢ $-0 -$73 10-29 17:45