Gleaming-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$125

Unrealized P&L

-$149

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

76% 33% +$22

Other

24% 82% +$104

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+187	$136	0¢	$0	$-136	06-07 19:42
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+52	$14	0¢	$0	$-14	05-16 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	8	$1.5K	839	839	+0	open	—	04-22 06:06
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	5	$1.5K	833	833	+0	open	—	04-16 06:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	8	$1.1K	1,045	355	+690	open	—	04-12 20:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	9	$892	504	504	+0	open	—	04-27 10:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$836	569	507	+63	open	—	03-27 13:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$703	322	451	-129	open	—	06-01 06:48
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	3	$650	1,415	0	+1,415	open	—	04-15 17:55
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$547	300	300	+0	open	—	05-02 02:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$527	511	158	+353	open	—	05-25 17:25
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$480	571	0	+571	open	—	06-09 17:54
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	5	$475	429	429	+0	open	—	03-08 14:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$458	270	270	+0	open	—	06-01 06:48
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$454	351	231	+119	open	—	04-25 19:51
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$440	260	260	+0	open	—	04-13 06:33
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$415	215	215	+0	open	—	03-14 13:44
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$400	505	0	+505	open	—	03-09 14:28
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$335	419	0	+419	open	—	05-16 14:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$306	188	188	+0	open	—	04-12 20:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$300	176	176	+0	open	—	03-27 13:40
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$300	343	0	+343	open	—	05-10 10:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	2	$299	235	117	+117	open	—	03-03 16:05
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$263	147	147	+0	open	—	03-08 05:54
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$251	182	90	+92	open	—	03-08 18:29
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$235	147	147	+0	open	—	03-16 10:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$223	120	120	+0	open	—	05-28 17:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$218	250	0	+250	open	—	05-18 12:14
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$190	105	105	+0	open	—	04-04 13:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	05-07 08:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$176	200	0	+200	No	+$24	05-02 14:58
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$175	652	0	+652	open	—	05-16 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:54:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xfa2b7d…
06-08 13:35:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	198	81¢	$160	0x0e0edb…
06-08 13:27:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	148	81¢	$120	0xe94dca…
06-08 09:58:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xb11859…
06-07 19:42:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3b00fe…
06-07 19:41:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x709380…
06-07 05:39:22	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd8ee47…
06-07 05:38:46	atp shimabu rodiono 2026 06 07	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x4d227f…
06-06 13:17:06	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xaeb66c…
06-04 16:05:54	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x6dbd3d…
06-04 16:05:03	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xef7bad…
06-04 16:04:09	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x225a09…
06-04 14:18:10	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x083207…
06-04 05:22:16	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xeb3f61…
06-02 09:29:39	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x2366f4…
06-02 09:28:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x71b431…
06-01 06:57:56	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6c43cb…
06-01 06:57:06	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry	Diane Parry	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x18369d…
06-01 06:48:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0x30b2ec…
06-01 06:48:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	451	100¢	$450	0xf3eccf…
05-30 19:54:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x089b78…
05-30 19:54:00	Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x40e74b…
05-30 12:56:15	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x686629…
05-30 11:23:05	Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova	Amanda Anisimova	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x43690c…
05-29 21:41:23	Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xf8d6c4…
05-28 19:12:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	150	79¢	$119	0xdff07b…
05-28 17:55:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x0f54b1…
05-28 17:47:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	180	74¢	$134	0xad75d9…
05-28 10:05:07	Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x1bcc6d…
05-27 14:43:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x370368…
05-27 09:32:32	Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xf0c6b6…
05-27 09:28:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	34¢	$36	0x24d927…
05-27 08:18:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	151	79¢	$119	0x98e388…
05-25 17:25:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x6b1585…
05-24 14:19:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x95a9b8…
05-24 14:16:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x6f568a…
05-24 09:04:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x88aec7…
05-23 21:00:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$14	0x1c40d9…
05-23 11:20:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0e3615…
05-22 21:45:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xbaa207…
05-22 21:43:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9a4387…
05-22 21:15:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x6b16a0…
05-22 15:07:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	120	86¢	$103	0xf23681…
05-22 15:05:50	Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapova	Maya Joint	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x3e01cf…
05-22 15:03:44	Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1d709d…
05-20 21:38:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x813425…
05-20 18:39:11	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaca243…
05-20 11:17:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc0650a…
05-19 20:00:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x3205c6…
05-19 19:51:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xfe0f25…
05-18 12:14:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x5cfd5f…
05-18 12:14:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0x769343…
05-16 20:25:24	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xff1218…
05-16 20:24:42	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x57739a…
05-16 20:14:03	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xcd1d6c…
05-16 20:10:56	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x432ad8…
05-16 19:34:25	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xecea11…
05-16 19:26:36	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd40cf1…
05-16 19:20:46	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x055ca9…
05-16 14:22:06	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	71¢	$120	0x7ff906…
05-16 14:17:28	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x7a5885…
05-15 21:06:22	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x2f0632…
05-15 11:18:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x598632…
05-15 07:52:20	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x7a685c…
05-14 18:39:40	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x242583…
05-12 20:17:35	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x69dcbc…
05-12 20:02:04	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x667bcb…
05-12 19:53:45	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x219b73…
05-12 19:44:39	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	90	69¢	$62	0xa0d75d…
05-12 14:26:07	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	90	71¢	$64	0x694fb2…
05-12 14:25:37	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x21e23b…
05-12 10:03:00	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xfad114…
05-12 10:02:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc6e402…
05-11 13:22:43	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x7f64bf…
05-11 09:26:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb51023…
05-11 09:25:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x92c9c3…
05-10 20:52:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	Jessica Pegula	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7632eb…
05-10 10:38:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x10c2e4…
05-10 10:34:49	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	343	87¢	$300	0x5f6f48…
05-08 12:51:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jessica Pegula	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x4e35e5…
05-08 12:51:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0fe6a2…
05-07 09:27:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x437cb9…
05-07 08:41:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x6d8207…
05-06 10:45:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf12fc0…
05-06 10:42:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xca119b…
05-06 10:41:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	68¢	$61	0xe09d64…
05-06 08:44:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x5f7048…
05-06 08:40:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x27b9ff…
05-05 19:35:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xc2a48f…
05-05 14:12:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x82e94f…
05-05 11:46:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x1b2503…
05-05 11:46:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd93f4d…
05-05 11:04:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova	Anastasia Potapova	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x244108…
05-04 20:45:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Nikola Bartunkova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7d4c3b…
05-02 14:58:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x7e6eba…
05-02 14:57:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x6a8773…
05-02 13:30:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x183804…
05-02 02:38:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd482ee…
05-02 02:37:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x9eca42…
05-02 02:26:48	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x940a1f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	94	$460.5K	37,299	06-09 21:30
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	76	$798.0K	14,513	06-10 00:48
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	70	$221.1K	17,806	06-01 04:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	70	$16.0K	2,271	06-07 23:31
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	68	$65.5K	804	06-08 20:17
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	66	$402.8K	925	06-09 18:58
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	64	$11.1M	22,320	06-10 00:52
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	63	$8.04K	2,783	06-08 17:00