Made-Up-Glutamate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$141

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

135

Trades

3,610

lifetime

Volume

$1.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$437

Open exposure

$1.55K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

59% 53% -$4,930

Other

25% 54% -$3,723

Sports

14% 81% +$20,558

Crypto

3% 89% -$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	+1,497	$1,228	92¢	$1.4K	+$144	10-25 07:01
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	-150	-$161	94¢	$-142	+$20	10-25 07:00
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	+50	$18	44¢	$22	+$5	09-06 16:44
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+378	$104	4¢	$16	-$88	09-25 06:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	86¢	$0	$0	07-28 06:29
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	-$61	2¢	$0	+$61	07-11 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$82.5K	43,300	43,300	+0	No	+$334	03-01 11:01
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$81.4K	255,987	250,987	+5,000	No	-$671	07-19 21:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	138	$78.8K	46,411	46,656	-245	No	-$39	01-06 01:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	200	$66.5K	70,000	50,000	+20,000	No	-$796	03-22 08:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	119	$61.0K	48,059	42,511	+5,548	No	-$989	03-20 21:29
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	70	$59.7K	60,000	59,918	+82	No	+$292	01-03 16:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$57.1K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$834	03-17 18:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$52.8K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$4,200	01-17 15:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	97	$43.2K	40,000	34,787	+5,212	Yes	-$3,316	02-28 18:38
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	6	$38.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$840	06-25 13:46
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	36	$38.4K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$366	10-26 16:45
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	38	$37.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$101	01-16 09:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	90	$35.9K	47,073	47,073	+0	No	-$1,655	01-13 23:54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	99	$35.1K	25,000	19,986	+5,014	Yes	+$196	02-28 18:38
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	160	$34.1K	53,744	33,744	+20,000	No	-$1,377	01-14 22:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	46	$28.6K	21,099	21,099	+0	Yes	+$3,097	05-08 19:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	19	$24.8K	15,844	15,844	+0	Yes	-$533	03-21 00:25
will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	16	$23.5K	21,857	12,172	+9,685	Yes	+$5,485	07-03 11:05
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	26	$22.8K	36,170	36,170	+0	open	—	10-28 07:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$21.1K	20,893	20,893	+0	Yes	-$47	02-28 19:03
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	2	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$248	08-01 07:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	61	$19.7K	51,663	37,740	+13,923	No	-$159	03-25 13:36
will the us invade iran by march 31	24	$19.4K	17,428	17,427	+0	No	+$375	03-25 19:11
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	8	$18.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$237	01-13 23:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	29	$18.0K	10,000	9,959	+41	No	+$0	03-23 11:08
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	3	$17.8K	18,047	0	+18,047	No	+$216	05-27 18:32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	103	$17.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-28 06:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	13	$16.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$1,143	07-20 12:01
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$15.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$1,377	07-13 14:35
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	6	$14.7K	7,854	7,854	+0	No	+$49	03-02 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:25:52	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6,181	9¢	$556	0x89c60a…
10-28 07:24:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,555	9¢	$230	0xc8ab7f…
10-28 07:24:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x810079…
10-28 07:22:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0xb7006a…
10-28 07:22:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,160	9¢	$104	0x5f7694…
10-28 07:22:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,482	9¢	$227	0xb765e1…
10-28 07:17:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	598	10¢	$60	0xa18a7b…
10-28 06:40:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,429	11¢	$386	0x450736…
10-28 06:36:14	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,555	20¢	$311	0x2c881f…
10-28 06:35:53	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,595	20¢	$319	0x32b3e1…
10-28 06:34:52	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,990	26¢	$523	0x902005…
10-28 06:34:13	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6,642	27¢	$1,788	0xa5baf6…
10-28 06:33:34	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,920	63¢	$1,207	0xf788d5…
10-28 06:32:56	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	93	66¢	$61	0x21444d…
10-28 06:32:31	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x77d733…
10-28 06:27:55	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,828	39¢	$1,479	0x72baf8…
10-28 06:27:17	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	494	11¢	$55	0x07a8e4…
10-28 06:27:10	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	479	59¢	$282	0x04526b…
10-28 06:27:05	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x87b8f0…
10-28 06:26:49	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	421	59¢	$249	0xa79b43…
10-28 06:26:32	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,963	67¢	$1,990	0xf047f5…
10-28 06:26:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4,036	40¢	$1,603	0x734aa4…
10-26 16:45:06	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	218	95¢	$207	0xb5e7e5…
10-26 16:15:59	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0x9e2630…
10-26 16:15:53	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	355	95¢	$337	0x321e10…
10-26 16:15:47	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	446	95¢	$424	0x78315f…
10-26 16:15:41	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	223	95¢	$212	0xab218e…
10-26 16:15:35	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	446	95¢	$424	0x240cc5…
10-26 16:15:29	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	292	95¢	$277	0xb4b2d8…
10-26 16:15:23	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	308	95¢	$293	0x16841a…
10-26 16:15:17	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	276	95¢	$262	0x5e14ed…
10-26 16:15:11	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	160	95¢	$152	0x9406bd…
10-26 16:15:05	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	167	95¢	$158	0x1ce0ba…
10-26 16:14:59	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	178	95¢	$169	0x13192f…
10-26 16:14:53	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	304	95¢	$289	0x728402…
10-26 16:14:47	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	203	95¢	$193	0xc49805…
10-26 16:14:42	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	406	95¢	$386	0xa3b33a…
10-26 16:14:35	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	203	95¢	$193	0x07e652…
10-26 16:14:29	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	406	95¢	$386	0x5cf3a9…
10-26 16:14:23	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	356	95¢	$338	0x09f0ee…
10-26 16:14:17	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	406	95¢	$386	0xe2ccb1…
10-26 16:14:11	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	203	95¢	$193	0xfc31ea…
10-26 16:14:05	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	406	95¢	$386	0x657ae1…
10-26 16:13:59	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	510	95¢	$485	0x5da8cd…
10-26 16:13:53	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x7d1239…
10-26 16:13:47	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	253	95¢	$241	0x29a353…
10-26 16:13:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x58a723…
10-26 16:13:00	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7,151	95¢	$6,794	0x876de7…
10-26 16:13:00	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x7acc2d…
10-26 09:47:57	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x934b4d…
10-26 09:24:20	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xb0e5a3…
10-26 06:53:41	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	117	64¢	$75	0x835271…
10-25 15:18:35	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x418a15…
10-25 12:51:15	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	66	64¢	$42	0x0bf9d3…
10-25 08:36:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,286	45¢	$578	0xe6676d…
10-25 08:35:03	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	45¢	$49	0x8e4004…
10-25 08:17:29	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xa7f4a1…
10-25 08:15:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	125	45¢	$56	0x31b33d…
10-25 08:15:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	270	45¢	$121	0xe39cd8…
10-25 08:15:06	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,009	44¢	$445	0x336113…
10-25 08:07:30	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	557	75¢	$418	0x82459f…
10-25 08:00:30	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,270	42¢	$962	0x2409c5…
10-25 07:49:12	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0x95cbf0…
10-25 07:41:48	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,868	41¢	$1,974	0xc9d5a9…
10-25 07:40:30	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x93aa2f…
10-25 07:39:47	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	488	21¢	$103	0xb36c36…
10-25 07:38:47	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5fafd9…
10-25 07:38:30	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,443	75¢	$3,325	0xa6fc7e…
10-25 07:38:17	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	900	65¢	$582	0x2dfe5a…
10-25 07:38:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	790	42¢	$336	0x1091f3…
10-25 07:38:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24,210	42¢	$10,233	0x83236f…
10-25 07:02:50	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	2,818	95¢	$2,683	0xd53ded…
10-25 07:02:50	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x1b64b4…
10-25 07:02:48	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd00161…
10-25 07:02:48	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x3be7ac…
10-25 07:02:15	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	293	92¢	$271	0x1d004d…
10-25 07:01:54	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	625	91¢	$570	0x32bd2a…
10-25 07:01:32	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xa6529b…
10-25 07:01:32	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x43897b…
10-25 07:01:24	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x6ab922…
10-25 07:01:24	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x06be5a…
10-25 07:01:23	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	276	64¢	$177	0xd51fef…
10-25 07:01:23	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x9dc92e…
10-25 07:01:23	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x4cde8f…
10-25 07:00:56	Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	369	97¢	$359	0x5c530f…
10-25 07:00:36	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	650	91¢	$591	0xf5cd58…
10-25 07:00:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,535	52¢	$806	0x84f159…
10-23 19:49:42	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xdb233a…
10-23 19:49:42	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x06cf42…
10-23 15:07:53	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x4aa38e…
10-23 14:29:33	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa027f9…
10-23 12:04:09	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,995	3¢	$56	0xcccf39…
10-23 12:04:09	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,462	3¢	$41	0xac5be2…
10-23 12:04:09	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x586616…
10-23 12:04:03	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0xf41e56…
10-23 12:04:02	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0xe4ff1f…
10-23 12:04:02	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	363	3¢	$10	0xc0d531…
10-23 12:04:02	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	351	3¢	$10	0xb7def1…
10-23 12:04:02	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	114	3¢	$3	0x9e473d…
10-23 12:04:02	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x964543…