Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.88K

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

332

Trades

4,312

lifetime

Volume

$744.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

$3.84K

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 10-26 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

54% 58% -$32,930

Other

46% 60% -$2,471

Crypto

0% 100% +$325

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 530 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+3,424	$2,512	72¢	$2.5K	-$29	10-26 10:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,378	$1,020	74¢	$1.0K	-$7	10-26 10:02
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+342	$158	96¢	$329	+$171	09-29 05:05
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	+342	$282	4¢	$12	-$270	09-22 07:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$1,742	72¢	$0	-$1,742	09-29 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	148	$49.7K	31,104	31,104	+0	open	—	09-29 20:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	37	$26.9K	13,705	13,705	+0	open	—	10-25 02:09
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	33	$25.5K	25,220	1,576	+23,643	Yes	+$1,122	09-08 23:21
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	62	$20.6K	24,862	24,862	+0	No	-$19,808	09-13 21:28
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	27	$17.2K	9,246	9,246	+0	SPD	+$1,227	09-07 14:10
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	29	$16.0K	9,159	9,159	+0	No	+$2,321	09-07 05:33
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	31	$15.7K	11,995	6,457	+5,538	No	+$1,073	10-25 05:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	38	$14.9K	17,430	0	+17,430	Yes	+$2,564	10-25 23:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	67	$14.6K	13,654	13,654	+0	Yes	+$8,290	10-25 23:35
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	152	$13.2K	16,709	4,177	+12,532	Yes	+$7,721	10-05 05:01
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	86	$12.8K	17,189	616	+16,573	Yes	+$4,977	10-05 01:46
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	82	$12.3K	30,048	29,831	+216	Yes	-$7,152	08-26 00:31
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	31	$11.5K	7,027	7,027	+0	Yes	+$2,374	09-20 18:47
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?	53	$11.1K	6,180	6,180	+0	No	+$1,129	08-24 14:09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	23	$10.4K	7,042	4,762	+2,280	Gen.G	+$1,433	10-24 23:49
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	20	$10.2K	9,054	1,814	+7,240	No	+$470	09-09 01:49
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	40	$9.2K	5,490	5,490	+0	open	—	10-24 20:33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	20	$9.2K	5,057	5,057	-0	No	+$851	09-07 08:11
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	21	$9.1K	11,214	0	+11,214	Yes	+$2,098	10-26 23:34
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	15	$8.8K	5,376	4,472	+904	LYON	+$133	10-24 21:19
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	53	$8.8K	5,523	5,523	+0	open	—	10-17 15:14
Lula participates in debate before first round?	18	$8.8K	4,763	4,763	+0	No	+$672	10-02 02:44
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	23	$8.8K	7,773	1,469	+6,303	Yes	+$342	10-09 02:18
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	27	$8.6K	6,120	6,120	+0	Yes	-$500	10-03 23:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	20	$8.1K	4,806	4,806	+0	open	—	09-19 00:08
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	53	$7.7K	11,563	791	+10,771	No	-$7,554	09-09 02:56
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	32	$7.5K	6,393	6,393	+0	No	-$822	10-04 22:06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	113	$7.5K	12,560	12,560	+0	No	-$4,130	10-25 23:08
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	17	$7.5K	3,978	3,978	+0	No	-$136	10-02 02:31
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?	20	$7.4K	5,338	5,338	+0	Yes	+$3,282	08-25 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:34:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	140	81¢	$113	0xa1388f…
10-26 23:34:33	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xf3d1f1…
10-26 23:32:05	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0xe3211c…
10-26 23:32:05	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	185	81¢	$149	0xa64c38…
10-26 23:29:38	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x7ae503…
10-26 23:29:36	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xdf9f84…
10-26 23:29:14	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x1000ca…
10-26 23:28:26	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x4a390b…
10-26 23:26:21	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x3e83f2…
10-26 23:26:17	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x8bf730…
10-26 23:26:09	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xc4cbed…
10-26 23:24:11	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	527	82¢	$432	0xd2f7bc…
10-26 23:24:11	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	527	82¢	$432	0xb7b7ef…
10-26 23:22:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc60966…
10-26 23:21:50	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0xdd97bd…
10-26 22:50:20	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,952	82¢	$1,600	0xbf2d94…
10-26 22:49:51	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	199	82¢	$163	0x0a3a1d…
10-26 22:49:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	320	81¢	$259	0x9f3aa1…
10-26 22:49:44	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,913	81¢	$1,549	0x48f37a…
10-26 20:41:44	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x8a0ec3…
10-26 20:39:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	159	81¢	$129	0x4d2f7e…
10-26 20:38:05	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	154	81¢	$125	0x255b7d…
10-26 20:37:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	175	81¢	$142	0x374080…
10-26 20:37:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1bbf08…
10-26 20:37:48	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	424	81¢	$343	0x406881…
10-26 20:37:41	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5dc67b…
10-26 20:37:27	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	293	81¢	$237	0x4bb5ef…
10-26 20:37:17	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x88b6c0…
10-26 20:37:06	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	290	80¢	$232	0x372fc5…
10-26 12:55:35	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xdc3614…
10-26 12:55:14	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xf8c1dd…
10-26 11:11:20	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	209	92¢	$192	0x6858c4…
10-26 10:59:15	Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xbbb739…
10-26 10:11:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,927	73¢	$1,406	0x2f957c…
10-26 10:08:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x81ca09…
10-26 10:05:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xa6fa52…
10-26 10:03:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x270a35…
10-26 10:02:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0x972d6e…
10-26 10:02:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,378	74¢	$1,020	0x93bb4d…
10-26 09:59:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	219	73¢	$160	0x628ba0…
10-26 09:05:23	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x88564c…
10-26 09:05:00	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x53548e…
10-26 08:57:50	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,242	91¢	$1,126	0x917d12…
10-26 08:28:20	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	733	84¢	$615	0x77b4c2…
10-26 08:28:11	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0x640eb5…
10-26 08:25:17	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x3a6266…
10-26 08:24:56	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xfec91e…
10-26 08:24:56	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	799	83¢	$662	0x7211d2…
10-26 08:23:44	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xdb5039…
10-26 08:23:44	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	247	84¢	$207	0xcdcb90…
10-26 08:23:44	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x748cd8…
10-26 08:23:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	642	84¢	$539	0xf34a30…
10-26 08:23:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xbee879…
10-26 08:23:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa95736…
10-26 08:23:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$25	0x70b69a…
10-26 08:23:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x524d14…
10-26 08:23:27	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,482	83¢	$1,230	0x97931a…
10-26 08:23:21	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	800	83¢	$664	0x29101b…
10-26 07:55:26	Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	463	96¢	$445	0xd3241d…
10-26 07:47:29	Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	165	68¢	$113	0xf66cac…
10-26 07:42:00	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x64dae5…
10-26 07:41:54	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7ebae2…
10-26 07:41:48	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x385390…
10-26 07:40:56	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	310	90¢	$279	0xc2fe59…
10-26 07:40:42	Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	426	90¢	$383	0xbba5de…
10-26 07:37:51	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x5ef8dc…
10-26 07:37:42	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	160	89¢	$143	0xfa4d18…
10-26 07:37:26	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,705	89¢	$4,187	0x2e285c…
10-26 07:19:39	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7f2c97…
10-26 07:19:38	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	513	81¢	$415	0xcfd8ce…
10-26 07:05:14	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x24d429…
10-26 07:05:06	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,204	80¢	$3,363	0x60b32c…
10-26 06:59:57	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xe67688…
10-26 06:52:30	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe39f4a…
10-26 03:49:32	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	428	1¢	$4	0x676546…
10-26 00:44:24	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9b29f2…
10-26 00:41:06	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x77c312…
10-26 00:05:44	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd3d1db…
10-26 00:04:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xafc2ed…
10-26 00:04:05	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	342	1¢	$4	0x7a0351…
10-26 00:03:57	Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	No	SELL	205	3¢	$6	0x83b2b6…
10-26 00:03:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf5f94d…
10-25 23:59:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7526f4…
10-25 23:59:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x058cdf…
10-25 23:59:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	435	3¢	$13	0x7aa689…
10-25 23:58:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xa5e292…
10-25 23:58:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	675	3¢	$18	0x50ff9b…
10-25 23:58:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	176	3¢	$5	0x916435…
10-25 23:57:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	170	3¢	$6	0xb7d961…
10-25 23:57:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0xba4383…
10-25 23:56:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x789cce…
10-25 23:55:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xe6e8b3…
10-25 23:51:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xe9f7eb…
10-25 23:51:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xccfc83…
10-25 23:51:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	380	10¢	$38	0xa8168a…
10-25 23:51:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x34a9e3…
10-25 23:50:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x8e1e48…
10-25 23:50:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	98	12¢	$11	0x2ea6de…
10-25 23:50:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	201	12¢	$23	0x2d64c0…
10-25 23:50:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	201	12¢	$23	0xee54af…