Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
24.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
260
lifetime
Volume
$3.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$218
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 14:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% $-1
Other
25% 100% +$0
Crypto
8%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +270 $162 60¢ $164 +$2 07-03 14:10
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -47 $-42 92¢ $-43 $-1 06-04 06:53
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 12:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-03 19:31