Earnest-Panic 0x46f451…e65352
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
24.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
236
lifetime
Volume
$3.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$93
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 09:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% $-1
Other
30% 100% +$0
Crypto
10% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -47 $-42 92¢ $-43 $-1 06-04 06:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +19 $15 84¢ $16 +$1 06-06 05:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +8 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 06-01 11:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$0 06-03 19:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 11:45
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 12:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-03 19:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-03 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-1 32¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 21:44