Unkempt-Strand 0x4569dd…ceec91
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Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
-$100
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
37
Trades
665
lifetime
Volume
$5.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$922
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 10-23 22:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
57% 69% +$44
Tech
28% 100% +$1
Politics
15% 78% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +605 $551 90¢ $548 -$3 10-05 06:45
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +282 $136 40¢ $114 -$22 10-03 15:41
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +83 $79 98¢ $81 +$2 10-09 03:50
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +61 $55 97¢ $59 +$4 10-16 19:10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +123 $58 45¢ $55 -$3 10-16 06:35
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +56 $43 70¢ $40 -$3 10-14 21:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +26 $18 34¢ $9 -$10 08-26 09:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +43 $25 6¢ $3 -$22 10-23 22:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +7 $4 36¢ $3 -$2 08-26 09:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 09-21 15:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes +54 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 08-26 09:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes +13 $1 18¢ $2 +$2 10-14 22:54
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +16 $10 7¢ $1 -$9 08-26 09:25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? Yes +16 $14 6¢ $1 -$14 09-09 21:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +11 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 08-26 09:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +10 $4 6¢ $1 -$4 09-29 10:53
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +1 $0 27¢ $0 +$0 07-29 20:20
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +11 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 09-06 22:03
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +3 $1 7¢ $0 $0 08-26 09:25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-26 09:25
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 07-30 00:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +4 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 08-26 09:25
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 09-08 17:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +1 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 07-30 16:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-30 16:09