Burdensome-Judgment 0xd24b95…bdef76
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$146.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.62K
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
350
Trades
5,945
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$230
Open exposure
$148.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-27 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
82% 67% +$119,415
Other
18% 54% +$26,584
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 533 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +32,154 $19,171 66¢ $21.4K +$2,211 10-26 15:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +21,528 $19,806 92¢ $19.7K -$108 10-26 13:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +24,900 $18,208 72¢ $17.8K -$404 10-26 23:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +26,761 $16,665 66¢ $17.5K +$863 10-26 23:21
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +9,650 $7,270 83¢ $8.0K +$740 10-26 18:12
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,000 $7,055 92¢ $7.3K +$285 10-26 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,277 $5,701 68¢ $6.4K +$654 10-26 10:28
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8,000 $5,388 70¢ $5.6K +$172 10-25 13:45
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +6,000 $4,800 80¢ $4.8K -$30 10-27 05:18
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +5,182 $2,497 72¢ $3.7K +$1,234 10-26 10:23
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5,164 $3,560 72¢ $3.7K +$158 10-26 10:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,615 $3,995 60¢ $3.4K -$598 10-26 23:48
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,196 $3,499 78¢ $3.3K -$205 10-26 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,819 $2,720 68¢ $2.6K -$104 10-26 10:22
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,320 58¢ $2.3K +$20 10-20 18:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +2,509 $2,110 88¢ $2.2K +$104 10-12 20:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $1,840 66¢ $2.0K +$155 10-17 06:31
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +6,504 $1,893 29¢ $1.9K -$7 10-26 12:45
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1,951 $1,498 89¢ $1.7K +$232 10-13 23:32
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +3,190 $1,578 54¢ $1.7K +$129 10-26 15:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,420 83¢ $1.7K +$240 10-18 00:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,309 $1,959 72¢ $1.7K -$308 09-20 16:30
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,000 $1,410 72¢ $1.4K +$20 10-26 23:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,180 66¢ $1.3K +$150 09-16 11:29
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +1,118 $364 100¢ $1.1K +$754 10-25 12:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $770 80¢ $805 +$35 08-15 14:36
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,265 $206 62¢ $791 +$585 10-27 08:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $810 78¢ $780 -$30 10-26 10:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $64 76¢ $765 +$701 09-28 07:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,000 $735 70¢ $705 -$30 10-26 16:15