Realized P&L
+$167.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.2K
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
197
Trades
7,310
lifetime
Volume
$1.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$184
Open exposure
$77.4K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-09 02:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
69% 51% +$59,467
Politics
31% 74% +$107,775
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,000 $8,100 52¢ $15.8K +$7,650 09-20 23:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $11,000 71¢ $14.2K +$3,200 09-21 05:55
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,000 28¢ $13.8K +$6,750 09-20 23:17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 $6,890 41¢ $8.2K +$1,340 09-07 12:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -7,098 -$5,824 89¢ $-6317 -$493 09-07 16:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $3,000 36¢ $5.5K +$2,475 09-27 11:32
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $1,950 28¢ $4.1K +$2,175 10-01 16:19
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,040 $3,112 31¢ $3.1K +$0 09-09 22:16
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5,055 $1,551 32¢ $1.6K +$42 09-20 09:18
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +1,617 $971 76¢ $1.2K +$258 09-21 11:31
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,250 $585 52¢ $1.2K +$596 09-24 22:00
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,056 $802 98¢ $1.0K +$233 09-06 20:26
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +1,148 $448 44¢ $511 +$63 09-21 15:53
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -3,792 -$2,010 10¢ $-360 +$1,649 05-10 10:56
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +660 $258 44¢ $294 +$36 09-21 15:37
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +489 $112 42¢ $203 +$90 10-09 02:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +11,041 $218 1¢ $72 -$146 06-01 20:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +0 -$330 4¢ $0 +$330 09-07 23:25