Sniveling-Manacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,338

lifetime

Volume

$226.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-06 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-560

Other

43% 67% $-736

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	110	$20.7K	16,729	15,107	+1,622	open	—	02-08 15:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	174	$13.5K	33,000	0	+33,000	open	—	03-30 14:37
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	155	$10.8K	4,400	11,095	-6,695	open	—	02-07 13:38
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	28	$8.5K	14,564	0	+14,564	open	—	04-10 18:11
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	39	$5.7K	5,243	1,857	+3,386	open	—	03-06 21:17
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	34	$4.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	07-11 17:04
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	2	$4.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-12 18:05
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	18	$4.2K	3,188	3,200	-12	open	—	03-30 04:02
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	27	$4.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-07 15:20
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	22	$3.7K	15,001	8,186	+6,815	open	—	01-18 18:48
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	34	$3.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-14 15:25
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	34	$2.8K	5,611	4,172	+1,439	open	—	02-27 08:13
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	7	$2.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-01 18:43
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	10	$2.6K	1,439	1,439	+0	open	—	02-23 07:57
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	26	$2.5K	2,014	3,291	-1,277	open	—	01-17 01:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-07 12:16
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	13	$2.4K	2,073	1,685	+388	open	—	02-06 20:44
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be at least 50	11	$2.3K	3,618	0	+3,618	open	—	01-18 01:36
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	1	$2.3K	4,671	0	+4,671	open	—	04-04 14:40
will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$2.2K	1,151	1,151	+0	open	—	02-08 16:29
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	28	$2.2K	1,259	1,056	+203	open	—	02-05 22:11
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	19	$2.0K	1,442	878	+564	open	—	01-11 19:50
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	46	$2.0K	2,800	2,767	+33	open	—	03-22 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-08 07:09
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-03 13:28
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	6	$1.9K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	02-11 09:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-08 13:40
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	13	$1.8K	2,355	2,355	+0	open	—	07-14 20:27
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	11	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-21 10:35
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	17	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-05 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 21:05:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	970	82¢	$795	0x1358ee…
08-05 09:55:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xfb5202…
07-27 11:19:37	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x8bd8b9…
07-27 11:19:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x544d27…
07-27 11:19:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	301	56¢	$168	0x2c4559…
07-27 11:19:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2445f7…
07-27 11:19:31	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x8d728c…
07-20 13:14:18	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xf85dd1…
07-20 13:14:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x7ede69…
07-18 20:28:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	628	67¢	$421	0xb064dd…
07-18 20:25:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	372	67¢	$249	0x9f80ff…
07-18 18:04:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcbd068…
07-18 18:04:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xf96d34…
07-18 17:59:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0xc40c41…
07-18 17:57:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0e05da…
07-18 17:55:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x66af2a…
07-18 17:54:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6d7709…
07-18 17:52:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe1b053…
07-18 17:45:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc1fe1e…
07-18 17:39:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	110	75¢	$83	0x732c8d…
07-15 20:48:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	974	52¢	$511	0x947da0…
07-15 20:48:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0xccfb00…
07-15 20:17:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,000	22¢	$225	0x5f8e8e…
07-14 20:29:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	10¢	$98	0x1d3d27…
07-14 20:27:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	700	47¢	$329	0x4ac847…
07-14 20:26:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x2e00c7…
07-14 20:24:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	113	44¢	$50	0x911d5a…
07-14 20:23:17	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0xf07e4f…
07-14 20:21:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x1e4d60…
07-14 20:00:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	355	30¢	$106	0x79f82c…
07-14 19:54:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	307	31¢	$95	0xef7e27…
07-14 19:54:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0xe5aa76…
07-14 19:54:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	164	31¢	$51	0x9d4683…
07-14 19:54:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0xdb948a…
07-14 19:54:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x162e86…
07-14 19:53:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	SELL	389	31¢	$120	0x1ef402…
07-14 16:53:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	2,000	40¢	$800	0xf44f44…
07-12 18:05:41	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	SELL	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x5030d2…
07-12 16:41:07	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0xea5b64…
07-12 10:16:07	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0xd6a067…
07-12 10:15:17	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	283	58¢	$164	0xe3a66d…
07-11 17:39:26	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	46	58¢	$27	0x929f44…
07-11 17:04:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	2,920	72¢	$2,102	0x739c86…
07-11 15:38:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	No	BUY	1,200	39¢	$468	0x9a61b4…
07-09 16:12:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x09718c…
07-09 01:58:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	305	91¢	$278	0x751d02…
07-09 00:12:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x0c8225…
07-08 22:25:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xfb2ccc…
07-08 21:05:28	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x5f7957…
07-08 20:41:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x20d3db…
07-08 20:21:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	81	91¢	$73	0x265bcb…
07-07 21:40:16	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xee3786…
07-07 16:28:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0xff1128…
07-07 16:25:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	SELL	2,000	13¢	$260	0xbb1e02…
07-07 12:16:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,500	80¢	$1,200	0xdfaa8f…
07-07 07:03:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,500	79¢	$1,185	0xa7965f…
07-07 05:52:32	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd1b500…
07-07 05:52:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x6ed365…
07-07 05:52:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x8d48f5…
07-07 05:51:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x9dfa81…
07-07 05:50:53	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xcf9f06…
07-07 05:50:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	142	50¢	$71	0x166888…
07-07 05:50:14	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x054135…
07-07 05:50:01	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x558450…
07-07 05:49:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xbe81b0…
07-07 05:49:25	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xbc674c…
07-07 05:49:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x061a8b…
07-07 05:49:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x8ff69d…
07-07 05:48:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0xa28463…
07-07 05:48:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x0cc7d1…
07-07 05:13:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0xaa8a9a…
07-05 22:12:20	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	492	77¢	$379	0xaa9469…
07-05 22:12:08	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2c0859…
07-05 15:15:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x661f64…
07-03 19:59:34	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x9e93d8…
07-03 17:52:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	367	78¢	$287	0xac6c02…
07-03 17:49:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	633	78¢	$493	0x6564d9…
07-03 16:02:07	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x9ae5eb…
07-02 18:35:20	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8298c4…
07-02 18:35:19	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x947a06…
07-02 02:27:28	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	115	58¢	$67	0x573206…
07-01 17:54:59	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x22fee3…
07-01 17:40:14	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x21f131…
07-01 16:25:07	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xfece05…
07-01 15:19:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xc74adc…
06-30 23:24:14	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x1c1775…
06-30 14:18:58	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	SELL	155	93¢	$144	0x4674a1…
06-30 14:17:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$941	0x95ce32…
06-30 14:16:02	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	79	94¢	$74	0xbf6249…
06-30 14:15:05	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x67ab4d…
06-30 09:47:17	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x77cbdc…
06-29 05:55:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x4b8159…
06-29 03:44:38	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	800	58¢	$464	0x27d022…
06-26 20:07:29	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x4788ab…
06-26 18:39:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x845fd4…
06-21 13:15:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	264	67¢	$177	0x89369f…
06-21 12:49:16	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x77ac73…
06-21 12:45:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf6ab9e…
06-21 12:12:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xef058a…
06-21 11:27:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2950ae…