Sniveling-Manacle 0x4be5bf…aac1b3
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.88K
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
383
Trades
3,489
lifetime
Volume
$461.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$38.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Politics
64% 60% +$26,466
Other
31% 58% -$26,484
Sports
5% 65% +$4,156
Crypto
1% 75% +$208
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $5,780 68¢ $6.8K +$1,070 10-15 18:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6,107 -$5,856 96¢ $-5871 -$15 10-26 20:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +7,000 $3,600 66¢ $4.7K +$1,055 10-21 09:58
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,000 $3,485 68¢ $4.0K +$565 10-19 18:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,360 44¢ $2.2K -$185 10-07 09:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $1,858 68¢ $2.1K +$198 10-19 23:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,000 $1,350 68¢ $1.4K +$0 10-21 23:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,080 68¢ $1.3K +$270 09-10 02:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,000 -$941 97¢ $-974 -$33 06-30 14:17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2,000 $396 48¢ $960 +$564 06-11 15:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,000 $900 94¢ $940 +$40 09-06 00:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,000 $820 94¢ $935 +$115 08-06 21:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $780 84¢ $840 +$60 07-03 17:52
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,000 $670 73¢ $730 +$60 10-26 10:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $500 66¢ $665 +$165 09-01 03:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,000 $630 66¢ $665 +$35 10-20 18:16
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$470 97¢ $-484 -$14 06-30 14:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +500 $440 96¢ $480 +$40 10-20 19:45
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +858 $567 56¢ $478 -$89 10-28 17:45
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +500 $445 94¢ $472 +$27 05-28 07:42
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -356 -$350 97¢ $-346 +$4 10-23 15:54
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +500 $285 66¢ $330 +$45 09-12 20:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +806 $290 40¢ $318 +$28 10-22 00:28
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $258 99¢ $297 +$39 10-06 17:32
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No -155 -$144 95¢ $-148 -$4 06-30 14:18
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +192 $106 62¢ $120 +$14 09-10 03:15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +100 $77 98¢ $98 +$21 06-26 20:07
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -79 -$74 97¢ $-76 -$2 06-30 14:16
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +2,000 $1,355 2¢ $50 -$1,305 10-23 19:21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$115 72¢ $0 +$115 10-22 19:05