Realized P&L
+$135.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$51.5K
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved
178
Trades
4,196
lifetime
Volume
$8.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.03K
Open exposure
$590.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 05:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
60% 83% +$77,357
Politics
22% 93% +$44,566
Sports
17% 61% +$12,190
Crypto
1% 100% +$1,205
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +279,273 $234,673 94¢ $263.9K +$29,241 10-26 05:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +226,945 $200,600 94¢ $212.2K +$11,594 10-23 11:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +56,866 $50,230 92¢ $52.0K +$1,802 09-23 07:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23,510 $16,880 82¢ $19.4K +$2,516 10-18 08:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18,447 $17,669 98¢ $18.1K +$455 09-04 16:50
lindsay clancy convicted of murder No +14,070 $13,023 96¢ $13.5K +$470 09-05 07:56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +7,030 $5,958 100¢ $7.0K +$1,044 09-22 08:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,989 $1,790 92¢ $1.8K +$30 10-06 08:25
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,764 $1,694 98¢ $1.7K +$38 09-08 10:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,010 $977 97¢ $979 +$2 10-18 08:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $26 66¢ $33 +$6 08-15 08:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$6,514 98¢ $0 +$6,514 07-01 02:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +0 $3,494 89¢ $0 -$3,494 05-24 00:43
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$1,274 68¢ $0 +$1,274 09-22 14:08