Realized P&L (24h)
+$116
Unrealized P&L
-$2.85K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
13
4,012 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.69K
$575.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$19.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
63% 63% +$6,286
Politics
26% 55% -$4,803
Tech
6% 67% -$1,182
Crypto
5% 67% +$350
Sports
0% 67% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? No +5,775 $5,659 98¢ $5.7K +$18 10-30 22:11
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,828 $3,388 73¢ $2.8K -$594 11-15 08:12
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,686 $1,800 48¢ $1.3K -$511 11-15 08:13
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -1,160 -$1,134 96¢ $-1117 +$17 09-11 02:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,700 -$1,221 64¢ $-1079 +$141 09-16 18:13
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? No +1,024 $881 97¢ $992 +$111 11-03 11:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$940 99¢ $-987 -$47 06-13 06:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,000 $850 95¢ $948 +$98 07-05 04:05
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in November? No +682 $578 94¢ $644 +$66 11-15 08:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +644 $2,427 90¢ $577 -$1,850 08-20 14:54
USD1 depeg by December 31? No -545 -$486 88¢ $-479 +$6 05-11 07:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 -$265 86¢ $-429 -$164 06-07 01:16
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? No +420 $359 97¢ $408 +$49 09-25 17:06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +433 -$249 94¢ $405 +$654 09-08 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -398 -$376 98¢ $-392 -$16 06-06 21:58
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +917 $239 31¢ $282 +$43 11-15 08:29
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +200 $101 73¢ $146 +$45 06-16 11:27
Plague case in US by December 31? No +149 $132 98¢ $146 +$14 10-09 23:09
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,102 $827 12¢ $132 -$694 09-30 03:14
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in November? Yes +224 $76 42¢ $95 +$19 11-15 00:04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $73 69¢ $69 -$4 11-15 08:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +644 $390 11¢ $68 -$322 08-20 16:25
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? No -71 -$221 95¢ $-67 +$154 11-07 21:23
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $108 14¢ $40 -$68 10-05 23:21
USDC depeg by December 31? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 10-23 02:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +100 $34 16¢ $16 -$18 10-05 23:23
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +15 $12 87¢ $13 +$1 08-30 06:14
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026 No +7 $7 97¢ $7 +$0 08-13 08:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 06-02 23:40
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +15 $3 13¢ $2 -$1 05-05 21:07